Will Portugal win on 2025-10-14?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfac0ede906069601847057680d56bed30d17119988ecebb9b10be500abcd47bd

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Oct 14, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $154,018
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $165,660

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $154,018 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xd16a…7691backed No	13c	23,882$3,105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,777.11	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+2.4wins	+0.18per pick	43cpaid	+114.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6f8b…01aabacked No	18c	20,000$3,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,399.93	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	+1.4wins	+0.06per pick	38cpaid	+37.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x53e5…6177backed No	18c	9,475$1,734 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,741.68	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	+1.9wins	+0.11per pick	36cpaid	+19.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ea8…1fbfbacked No	36c	6,793$2,433 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,359.96	48	43.8%21 W · 27 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed No	12c	6,089$732 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,356.93	287	31%89 W · 198 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No	19c	2,492$473 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,018.3	82	40.2%33 W · 49 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes	64c	2,421$1,547 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,546.81	88	55.7%49 W · 39 L	+9.0wins	+0.10per pick	45cpaid	+27.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No	32c	2,000$630 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,369.98	292	32.9%96 W · 196 L	-5.9wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad28…770cbacked Yes	76c	1,975$1,501 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,501	38	52.6%20 W · 18 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33c2…9818backed No	42c	1,650$691 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$959.18	36	33.3%12 W · 24 L	-3.7wins	-0.10per pick	44cpaid	-36.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked No	18c	1,500$270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,229.98	236	22%52 W · 184 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed No	18c	1,395$245 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,149.08	132	35.6%47 W · 85 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x421d…320abacked No	20c	1,125$225 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$900	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	+1.3wins	+0.12per pick	24cpaid	+18.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x80a4…22ccbacked Yes	80c	1,096$876 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$876.48	114	39.5%45 W · 69 L	-8.3wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf6d1…32b8backed Yes	52c	1,075$558 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$558.41	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.22per pick	53cpaid	+46.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No	18c	1,000$180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$820	162	44.4%72 W · 90 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed No	20c	1,000$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$800	385	26.8%103 W · 282 L	-9.1wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No	32c	957.94$302 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$655.85	46	45.7%21 W · 25 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa19…fb67backed Yes	6c	900.01$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	20	45%9 W · 11 L	+1.4wins	+0.07per pick	38cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fef…5840backed Yes	76c	784.21$596 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$596	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.9wins	+0.16per pick	51cpaid	+63.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c6a…d6aebacked No	20c	778.5$156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$622.8	20	55%11 W · 9 L	-1.4wins	-0.07per pick	62cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ab5…900bbacked Yes	55c	713.95$391 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$391	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13ce…35f0backed Yes	80c	656.39$525 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$525.11	21	76.2%16 W · 5 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	74cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39b3…53b9backed Yes	80c	550$440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$440	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.21per pick	45cpaid	+277.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x74dc…cc04backed Yes	78c	527.89$413 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$412.83	34	50%17 W · 17 L	-2.2wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdda3…d55fbacked Yes	78c	500$389 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$389.25	139	33.8%47 W · 92 L	+7.8wins	+0.06per pick	28cpaid	+31.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked No	19c	499.99$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$404.99	105	35.2%37 W · 68 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes	77c	400$307 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$306.67	89	49.4%44 W · 45 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc556…958dbacked No	25c	400$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$300	82	36.6%30 W · 52 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	+3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No	19c	376$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$304.56	250	38.8%97 W · 153 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No	39c	344.82$135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$210	246	47.6%117 W · 129 L	+7.7wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27a9…8781backed Yes	61c	327.87$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	29	51.7%15 W · 14 L	-1.6wins	-0.05per pick	57cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x014c…f5b6backed No	30c	313.33$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$219.33	43	51.2%22 W · 21 L	+4.5wins	+0.11per pick	41cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x33b9…ed3abacked Yes	63c	297.84$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186.86	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e0c…b90abacked Yes	79c	295.24$233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$233.24	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-1.7wins	-0.18per pick	63cpaid	-31.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes	70c	294.33$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204.8	263	54.8%144 W · 119 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No	22c	278.1$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$216.51	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa250…917bbacked Yes	69c	274.97$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.54	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.9wins	-0.39per pick	59cpaid	-72.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x32bc…9d8ebacked Yes	78c	249.67$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.53	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.8wins	-0.78per pick	78cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf744…7392backed No	42c	238.1$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138.1	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-1.6wins	-0.12per pick	50cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Yes	58c	200.27$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.16	142	52.1%74 W · 68 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa987…52e0backed Yes	73c	190.57$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.10per pick	65cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12f0…6a90backed Yes	75c	178$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.5	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.17per pick	37cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4635…a60abacked Yes	70c	174.66$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.26	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-1.6wins	-0.15per pick	60cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ae5…f51dbacked Yes	80c	173.25$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.6	25	44%11 W · 14 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x113f…95a6backed Yes	58c	172.41$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	31	48.4%15 W · 16 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked No	21c	157.14$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124.14	50	36%18 W · 32 L	+2.0wins	+0.04per pick	32cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked No	20c	149.57$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120.2	396	21%83 W · 313 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x735a…3ef2backed Yes	74c	134.57$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	66	43.9%29 W · 37 L	-5.7wins	-0.09per pick	53cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x762c…ce9ebacked Yes	76c	129.79$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.64	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.8wins	-0.76per pick	76cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes	71c	127.77$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.52	85	38.8%33 W · 52 L	-4.4wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c5a…c258backed Yes	80c	125$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.27per pick	77cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdca0…140ebacked No	21c	119.05$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.05	172	40.7%70 W · 102 L	+11.0wins	+0.06per pick	34cpaid	+22.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No	19c	117.52$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.19	100	33%33 W · 67 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed Yes	68c	116.29$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.08	42	35.7%15 W · 27 L	-5.4wins	-0.13per pick	49cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xedbd…06c9backed Yes	58c	103.45$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x56e6…45e9backed No	19c	101$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.81	71	60.6%43 W · 28 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x562f…e46fbacked Yes	80c	100$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	24	33.3%8 W · 16 L	-5.0wins	-0.21per pick	54cpaid	-56.5%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed No	26c	100$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74	109	44%48 W · 61 L	-8.5wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3389…62d9backed Yes	80c	100$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.16per pick	66cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e13…e6ffbacked No	20c	100$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.18per pick	15cpaid	+66.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf2f…2f32backed Yes	59c	100$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.58	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.18per pick	51cpaid	-51%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d0a…0809backed No	42c	95.25$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.25	82	19.5%16 W · 66 L	-6.1wins	-0.07per pick	27cpaid	-19%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes	78c	87.34$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.13	346	30.1%104 W · 242 L	-21.8wins	-0.06per pick	36cpaid	-39.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4292…9cd8backed Yes	58c	86.21$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	58cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1306…c689backed Yes	59c	84.75$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	156	45.5%71 W · 85 L	+9.3wins	+0.06per pick	40cpaid	+10%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xea1e…fec3backed Yes	76c	75.24$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.18	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-1.7wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-46.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe562…4fa9backed No	28c	71$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.12	293	38.2%112 W · 181 L	+9.0wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x385b…03c9backed Yes	59c	70$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.3	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-1.7wins	-0.16per pick	43cpaid	-56.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0138…d279backed Yes	60c	63.31$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.98	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.60per pick	60cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9160…5bfebacked Yes	80c	62.63$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.1	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+0.7wins	+0.07per pick	63cpaid	+45.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4ef…fccfbacked Yes	80c	62.5$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	-2.7wins	-0.12per pick	47cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x115a…097fbacked Yes	80c	62.5$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.13per pick	54cpaid	+26.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5933…741fbacked Yes	74c	62.16$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.74per pick	74cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e8e…4a9fbacked No	19c	61.16$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.8	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.20per pick	30cpaid	+169.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6193…592cbacked No	20c	60$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.80per pick	20cpaid	+400%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d9e…bfaebacked Yes	73c	56.49$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.73per pick	73cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc3f…1686backed No	41c	51.22$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.22	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.59per pick	41cpaid	+143.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed No	20c	50$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40	115	54.8%63 W · 52 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	+8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed No	20c	50$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40	789	27.5%217 W · 572 L	+2.0wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2bb3…fc4dbacked Yes	80c	50$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.8wins	-0.80per pick	80cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5dfc…1a07backed Yes	77c	43.54$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.65	13	76.9%10 W · 3 L	+1.1wins	+0.08per pick	69cpaid	+16%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc13e…d3fdbacked Yes	58c	43.1$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.58per pick	58cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86af…1562backed Yes	80c	37.5$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-2.3wins	-0.46per pick	66cpaid	-71.8%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc487…dc86backed Yes	58c	34.48$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	31	51.6%16 W · 15 L	-1.6wins	-0.05per pick	57cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60e3…08a6backed Yes	60c	33.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	32	59.4%19 W · 13 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8747…8b5dbacked No	40c	33.03$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.82	6	100%6 W · 0 L	+2.3wins	+0.38per pick	62cpaid	+71.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe41f…1c5bbacked Yes	61c	32.87$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.99	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-2.3wins	-0.33per pick	33cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6b2d…8a5fbacked Yes	69c	29.14$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.30per pick	64cpaid	-48.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd66c…31f0backed Yes	80c	25$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.8wins	-0.80per pick	80cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x561e…e68ebacked Yes	80c	25$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	26	53.8%14 W · 12 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	58cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a28…7630backed Yes	80c	25$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	24	58.3%14 W · 10 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	60cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fba…1404backed Yes	80c	25$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-2.7wins	-0.34per pick	72cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9318…a645backed Yes	80c	25$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	59	50.8%30 W · 29 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf64…92bdbacked Yes	80c	25$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	16	50%8 W · 8 L	-2.2wins	-0.14per pick	64cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x34eb…cafbbacked Yes	80c	25$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.48per pick	48cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec21…6842backed Yes	80c	25$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-1.3wins	-0.43per pick	76cpaid	-54.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2082…c686backed Yes	80c	25$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.22per pick	72cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e2d…2d55backed Yes	76c	24.33$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.49	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-1.5wins	-0.19per pick	69cpaid	-29.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x856d…2223backed Yes	80c	23.75$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.5wins	-0.76per pick	76cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Portugal win on 2025-10-14?this page
Will Hungary win on 2025-10-14?No won
Will Portugal vs. Hungary end in a draw?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Portugal win on 2025-10-14?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event