TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA (BO3)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Dplus KIAof BNK FEARX, Dplus KIA
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$102,594
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$118,947

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,594 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb083…b3f0backed BNK FEARX37c22,735$8,466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,466.2736433.8%123 W · 241 L-17.5wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Dplus KIA61c22,019$13,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,587.5725546.3%118 W · 137 L+0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe916…4563backed Dplus KIA61c9,000$5,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,509.9912338.2%47 W · 76 L-7.7wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-10.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x343c…741dbacked BNK FEARX38c6,111$2,322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,322.17450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed BNK FEARX39c5,169$2,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,015.7527346.9%128 W · 145 L-14.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed BNK FEARX31c5,000$1,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,535.283,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf137…a557backed Dplus KIA62c4,350$2,697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,653450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+49%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25a9…7076backed BNK FEARX39c3,854$1,503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,503.1916844.6%75 W · 93 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6df6…8458backed BNK FEARX10c3,425$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.2135431.1%110 W · 244 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x20ee…1391backed BNK FEARX8c3,155$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.479149.5%45 W · 46 L+7.0wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x06c0…e618backed Dplus KIA63c2,885$1,817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,067.3527957.7%161 W · 118 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Dplus KIA62c2,760$1,709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,051.0892450.9%470 W · 454 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d59…d20fbacked BNK FEARX39c2,555$996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$996.416045%27 W · 33 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed Dplus KIA61c2,030$1,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.41,03547.2%489 W · 546 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa941…ec2ebacked Dplus KIA62c1,900$1,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72251160.3%308 W · 203 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb326…7075backed BNK FEARX10c1,861$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.7517410.9%19 W · 155 L0.0wins0.00per pick11cpaid-24.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed BNK FEARX38c1,579$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.351,18044.5%525 W · 655 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17b9…430dbacked BNK FEARX39c1,079$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.8213747.4%65 W · 72 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a7f…4b5dbacked BNK FEARX39c1,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39032350.8%164 W · 159 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe529…e7b1backed BNK FEARX39c999.99$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3908769%60 W · 27 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16f0…a28dbacked BNK FEARX35c963.16$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.357544%33 W · 42 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed BNK FEARX29c943$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.772,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed Dplus KIA79c799.17$631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.8354353.8%292 W · 251 L+32.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa1d2…492ebacked Dplus KIA61c778.19$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.884365.1%28 W · 15 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd1f2…e9dabacked Dplus KIA64c669.36$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.9710456.7%59 W · 45 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x64ad…3050backed Dplus KIA79c616.57$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.6312361.8%76 W · 47 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick57cpaid-0.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Dplus KIA62c607.9$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.632,22637.5%834 W · 1,392 L-29.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Dplus KIA57c607.45$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.21,59842.4%677 W · 921 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Dplus KIA61c600.01$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.011,60948.4%779 W · 830 L+24.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4283…fbd4backed Dplus KIA63c593.39$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.8845041.1%185 W · 265 L-25.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcfdb…7a75backed Dplus KIA73c516.14$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.615370.6%108 W · 45 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed BNK FEARX39c502.38$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19648852%254 W · 234 L-2.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x56bb…8e6bbacked BNK FEARX21c500$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1052814.3%4 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick18cpaid-29.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cba…3ec4backed BNK FEARX40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,54543.7%675 W · 870 L-18.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Dplus KIA61c499.99$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19527452.2%143 W · 131 L+16.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x406c…bdc6backed BNK FEARX5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201816.7%3 W · 15 L-3.6wins-0.20per pick37cpaid-63.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Dplus KIA62c392$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.9612143%52 W · 69 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6777…2612backed BNK FEARX38c300$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1144533.3%15 W · 30 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fed…fa70backed BNK FEARX39c282.13$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.034040%16 W · 24 L-4.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-31%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x32f0…564cbacked BNK FEARX30c269.78$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8036331.1%113 W · 250 L+0.7wins0.00per pick31cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfa8…cd1ebacked BNK FEARX39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10079156.1%444 W · 347 L-2.6wins0.00per pick56cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5388…4d5abacked BNK FEARX42c225.61$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.6119041.1%78 W · 112 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+35.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked BNK FEARX37c223.62$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.1613259.1%78 W · 54 L+10.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+18.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked BNK FEARX21c202.85$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.5141752.5%219 W · 198 L+14.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed BNK FEARX37c197$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.4114236.6%52 W · 90 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa429…792bbacked Dplus KIA70c188.6$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.63966.7%26 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed BNK FEARX13c167.52$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7818340.4%74 W · 109 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-18%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba0…3d98backed Dplus KIA62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.294858.3%28 W · 20 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick67cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x25c2…5f5abacked Dplus KIA62c161.13$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.23862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd32f…ae42backed Dplus KIA62c161$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.187054.3%38 W · 32 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf0c…2265backed BNK FEARX39c153.85$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6028855.9%161 W · 127 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ec3…9766backed Dplus KIA68c140.94$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.2312364.2%79 W · 44 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe063…8a04backed BNK FEARX27c136.99$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.9914338.5%55 W · 88 L-0.5wins0.00per pick39cpaid-27.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54b5…2e90backed Dplus KIA62c129.03$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.038257.3%47 W · 35 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcda0…a51abacked BNK FEARX40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018165.7%119 W · 62 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked BNK FEARX39c122.56$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4822858.3%133 W · 95 L+0.5wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f43…ed78backed Dplus KIA78c106.86$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.571060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+17.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1da7…2e56backed Dplus KIA64c104.95$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.787663.2%48 W · 28 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked BNK FEARX36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3686649.7%430 W · 436 L+18.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed BNK FEARX38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3821735.9%78 W · 139 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa97…494fbacked BNK FEARX36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363447.1%16 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51cb…b68ebacked Dplus KIA62c80.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.651266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19f1…f301backed Dplus KIA62c80.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.6516264.2%104 W · 58 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd44f…4d77backed BNK FEARX32c66.74$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.154555.6%25 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8e86…7932backed BNK FEARX39c64.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2561150.6%309 W · 302 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked BNK FEARX39c60$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.41,35651.1%693 W · 663 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f47…1f3ebacked BNK FEARX42c59.52$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252055%11 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x476b…8a58backed Dplus KIA62c52.48$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.941,13663.1%717 W · 419 L+51.0wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+3.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x81c9…5ebcbacked BNK FEARX38c51.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.84140%0 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x729a…1e51backed BNK FEARX39c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.536465.1%237 W · 127 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc553…5928backed BNK FEARX39c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.541743.9%183 W · 234 L+1.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb25e…39aabacked Dplus KIA80c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1024570.6%173 W · 72 L+13.6wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x115a…097fbacked BNK FEARX40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202458.3%14 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c62…09babacked BNK FEARX39c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc67d…7988backed Dplus KIA62c40$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x94ad…6880backed Dplus KIA62c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe49c…773ebacked BNK FEARX39c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+209%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b72…6dbebacked Dplus KIA62c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.466116.5%109 W · 552 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-27.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b4…1785backed BNK FEARX39c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaadb…9f00backed Dplus KIA61c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.72343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed BNK FEARX39c26$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1443148%207 W · 224 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x861d…4003backed Dplus KIA80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fb4…8830backed Dplus KIA62c24.19$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.1912437.9%47 W · 77 L+0.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcae1…7dddbacked Dplus KIA62c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.610865.7%71 W · 37 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x218e…e49dbacked Dplus KIA62c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.617466.7%116 W · 58 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5937…cc97backed Dplus KIA63c19.05$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.053369.7%23 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7eb…28d6backed Dplus KIA62c17.52$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.661450%7 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.