World Politics · resolved market
Will Hong Joon-pyo be the People's Power Party candidate for president?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d23cf11b74496f263b09f4711d3843d885150c4c1a1f9a7ba69d0f9c62e483c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $623,050
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $572,520
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $623,050 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7616…69eebacked Yes | 22c | 83,576$18,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,446.17 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…b103backed Yes | 30c | 36,489$10,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,838.51 | 205 | 38%78 W · 127 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab92…50d3backed Yes | 35c | 26,422$9,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,247.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6f…d295backed No | 65c | 26,422$17,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,247.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed No | 72c | 24,392$17,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,758.01 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Yes | 16c | 18,549$3,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,017.97 | 54 | 14.8%8 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…65e2backed Yes | 16c | 15,736$2,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,504.04 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 23cpaid | +105%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe145…62ecbacked Yes | 37c | 12,276$4,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,545.06 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -45%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff9e…56a1backed Yes | 28c | 12,172$3,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,461.84 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdec2…b04abacked Yes | 21c | 10,779$2,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,237.69 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d86…d560backed Yes | 30c | 8,740$2,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,621 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked No | 72c | 7,794$5,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,217.75 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c93…4e2fbacked Yes | 28c | 7,431$2,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,066.04 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3441…fe36backed No | 65c | 7,049$4,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,472.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb8…f4f1backed Yes | 30c | 6,608$1,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,974.51 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66cc…a735backed Yes | 18c | 6,500$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.27per pick | 36cpaid | -84.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x022e…2a77backed Yes | 29c | 5,953$1,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,715.87 | 80 | 25%20 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +187.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87fa…3341backed Yes | 24c | 5,466$1,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,311.76 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4520…65b0backed Yes | 33c | 5,405$1,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,761.56 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b3…4155backed Yes | 29c | 5,373$1,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,535.44 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d20…8490backed Yes | 20c | 5,327$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.04 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 71c | 4,984$3,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,434.19 | 576 | 36.3%209 W · 367 L | -27.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3c…b218backed Yes | 32c | 4,303$1,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,376.69 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf082…a593backed Yes | 16c | 4,212$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.52 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +47%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8752…d602backed Yes | 17c | 3,900$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3af3…75ebbacked Yes | 34c | 3,752$1,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,267.13 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x91d1…c60abacked Yes | 35c | 3,612$1,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,264.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e79…b2d0backed Yes | 36c | 3,414$1,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,233.04 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 3c | 3,093$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.1 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c21…d2febacked Yes | 25c | 3,048$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.87 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47a0…1de0backed Yes | 38c | 3,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd17e…0868backed Yes | 35c | 2,735$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.66 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c37…92a4backed No | 77c | 2,724$2,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.85 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55c1…238dbacked Yes | 36c | 2,669$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.82 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa779…f660backed Yes | 19c | 2,405$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.75 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…b6c2backed Yes | 22c | 2,208$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.21 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 29c | 2,151$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.66 | 371 | 17.8%66 W · 305 L | -18.9wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed Yes | 14c | 2,140$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.26 | 314 | 43.9%138 W · 176 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff49…69f5backed Yes | 13c | 2,131$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.02 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 10cpaid | +235.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc366…adc4backed Yes | 15c | 2,114$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a45…d5f8backed Yes | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 29 | 3.4%1 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 9cpaid | -95.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaae…eb7ebacked Yes | 17c | 1,988$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedff…9559backed Yes | 17c | 1,965$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1601…2841backed Yes | 40c | 1,908$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.27 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2791…3923backed No | 62c | 1,887$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.47 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18d…9863backed Yes | 16c | 1,797$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.5 | 78 | 16.7%13 W · 65 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aae…483cbacked Yes | 30c | 1,787$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.18 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 21c | 1,715$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.85 | 278 | 28.1%78 W · 200 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6c…f6aabacked Yes | 4c | 1,609$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.34 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 22c | 1,598$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.37 | 563 | 14.6%82 W · 481 L | -39.3wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe199…5d36backed Yes | 19c | 1,516$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b06…846dbacked No | 75c | 1,480$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.01 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73b9…ecc4backed Yes | 23c | 1,454$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.78 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | +100.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7a…b5f7backed No | 64c | 1,446$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.39 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50c1…016cbacked Yes | 34c | 1,402$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x073a…e4eabacked Yes | 15c | 1,400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.9 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc9…f272backed Yes | 11c | 1,351$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.3 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed No | 71c | 1,326$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.25 | 361 | 4.4%16 W · 345 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6641…4a1abacked Yes | 15c | 1,322$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5215…e0d2backed Yes | 17c | 1,304$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.72 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 40cpaid | -69%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1020…3aacbacked Yes | 10c | 1,297$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.63 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73de…c416backed Yes | 37c | 1,294$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4455…f9c0backed Yes | 38c | 1,283$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.24 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…b150backed Yes | 28c | 1,100$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x621c…907ebacked Yes | 24c | 1,032$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.45 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6122…ee7cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,000$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.49 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16bd…e288backed Yes | 12c | 999$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.88 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +31%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x381c…cbafbacked Yes | 30c | 983.73$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.47 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 3c | 974.24$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 172 | 27.9%48 W · 124 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8bb…fb35backed Yes | 38c | 901.23$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.79 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeae7…1884backed Yes | 34c | 879.44$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.9 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 77c | 839.67$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.26 | 894 | 48.3%432 W · 462 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…7eaabacked Yes | 34c | 837.78$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.84 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9edb…9f05backed Yes | 28c | 800$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c8a…d888backed Yes | 28c | 788.17$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.8 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1a…83eabacked Yes | 37c | 750$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277 | 60 | 21.7%13 W · 47 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaef2…4c00backed Yes | 26c | 750$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…a60abacked Yes | 26c | 701.5$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae06…8acebacked Yes | 29c | 700$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde77…04d2backed Yes | 25c | 680$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd50…c17bbacked Yes | 22c | 669.64$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.6 | 175 | 24.6%43 W · 132 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa698…f763backed Yes | 32c | 664.25$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 21c | 663.01$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.77 | 1,344 | 44.3%595 W · 749 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x113e…3febbacked Yes | 24c | 660$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9352…cab5backed No | 76c | 660$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb504…44f5backed Yes | 33c | 599.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 28cpaid | -82.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaba9…a356backed No | 65c | 574.52$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.08 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd2…2b28backed Yes | 20c | 512.64$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0669…7345backed Yes | 36c | 511.74$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.23 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 510.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 1,437 | 10.2%147 W · 1,290 L | -4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 22c | 506.93$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.79 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x246c…d49cbacked No | 67c | 430.68$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.98 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06c6…9bc5backed Yes | 17c | 410$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.7 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 29c | 404$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.77 | 166 | 12.7%21 W · 145 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7994…a467backed Yes | 33c | 400.91$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.3 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6f…0f0cbacked Yes | 15c | 392.97$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.95 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 24c | 314.24$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.46 | 450 | 21.1%95 W · 355 L | -21.9wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…6a69backed Yes | 36c | 305.56$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49fd…0198backed Yes | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 69 | 20.3%14 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x417a…9784backed Yes | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hong Joon-pyo be the People's Power Party candidate for president?this page
- Will Ahn Cheol-soo be the People's Power Party candidate for president?No won
- Will Han Dong-hoon be the People's Power Party candidate for president?No won
- Will Han Duck-soo be the People's Power Party candidate for president?No won
- Will Kim Moon-soo be the People's Power Party candidate for president?Yes won
- Will Lee Jun-seok be the People's Power Party candidate for president?No won
- Will Na Kyung-won be the People's Power Party candidate for president?No won
- Will Oh Se-hoon be the People's Power Party candidate for president?No won
- Will Won Hee-ryong be the People's Power Party candidate for president?No won
- Will Yoo Seong-min be the People's Power Party candidate for president?No won
- Will Yoon Suk Yeol be the People's Power Party candidate for president?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.