World Politics · resolved market
Will Kim Moon-soo be the People's Power Party candidate for president?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21149909e80c13a5c21889b6d648671d4ebe40a87bca022fd7b7f37fba646af2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,582,698
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,171,840
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,582,698 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 493 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed92…e5a1backed No | 5c | 377,214$20,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,414.97 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +643.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7616…69eebacked No | 6c | 233,022$13,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,810.53 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c8…a348backed Yes | 58c | 173,880$100,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73,097.24 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1281…8d51backed Yes | 59c | 129,521$76,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,195.4 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd4…f3b6backed Yes | 55c | 114,629$63,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,250.49 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…6657backed No | 3c | 84,950$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,799.8 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed No | 51c | 56,086$28,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,384.41 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f1…5716backed No | 44c | 49,961$21,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,958.98 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbd…ed66backed Yes | 51c | 47,436$24,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,336.49 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd303…9c76backed Yes | 73c | 43,152$31,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,571.86 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1c…4d4dbacked Yes | 78c | 39,964$31,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,739.38 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac1…6b06backed No | 3c | 35,851$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.9 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x022e…2a77backed Yes | 69c | 34,935$24,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,918.84 | 80 | 25%20 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +187.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c21…d2febacked Yes | 70c | 33,503$23,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,930.17 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00a6…9343backed Yes | 43c | 32,382$13,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,515.48 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb49…b5b3backed Yes | 76c | 32,065$24,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,710.2 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x384a…54e6backed Yes | 73c | 31,381$23,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,336.31 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1a…e489backed No | 2c | 28,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaac…2e1fbacked Yes | 41c | 26,611$10,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,700.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1b…1bd8backed No | 59c | 26,611$15,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,700.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 2c | 25,201$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.23 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d6d…24bebacked Yes | 79c | 23,971$18,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,033.88 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5898…5028backed No | 56c | 23,272$12,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,979.93 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x454b…8bacbacked Yes | 78c | 22,330$17,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,857.12 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d3a…b03ebacked No | 23c | 22,279$5,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,033.54 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a59…5580backed No | 20c | 21,717$4,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,445.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…b103backed No | 49c | 20,871$10,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,202.74 | 205 | 38%78 W · 127 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5b…a790backed Yes | 60c | 19,323$11,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,764.95 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 40c | 17,078$6,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,838.88 | 576 | 36.3%209 W · 367 L | -27.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb8…f4f1backed Yes | 38c | 16,895$6,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,474.69 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cb…3bbdbacked No | 39c | 16,388$6,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,422.59 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +102.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7a…201abacked Yes | 70c | 16,300$11,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,840.45 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…5523backed Yes | 79c | 16,007$12,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,335.61 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a20…b29ebacked Yes | 63c | 15,815$10,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,813.58 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…bfdabacked Yes | 68c | 14,481$9,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,615.87 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -4.8wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8ecd…0703backed No | 11c | 13,115$1,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,475.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb73…370fbacked Yes | 46c | 12,955$5,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,000.61 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdec2…b04abacked Yes | 57c | 12,588$7,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,473.16 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe658…072bbacked Yes | 74c | 12,446$9,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,184.12 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d76…6dacbacked No | 47c | 12,377$5,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,802.04 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 20cpaid | +223.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Yes | 51c | 12,000$6,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,899.99 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73f2…6452backed Yes | 42c | 11,852$4,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,874.02 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ac…84f3backed No | 1c | 11,764$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.21per pick | 21cpaid | +134.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaf39…3101backed No | 50c | 11,433$5,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,707.74 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b8…f0cbbacked Yes | 52c | 10,856$5,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,168.28 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9968…a104backed Yes | 78c | 10,706$8,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,346.67 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x516a…84f6backed No | 45c | 10,026$4,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,477.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe965…6559backed No | 16c | 9,060$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,449.74 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3d…351dbacked Yes | 51c | 8,804$4,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,353.81 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3af3…75ebbacked Yes | 47c | 8,778$4,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,688.48 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…e311backed Yes | 64c | 8,675$5,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,134.42 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…ea5abacked Yes | 47c | 8,516$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,516.16 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…c12dbacked Yes | 73c | 8,505$6,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,298.81 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff9e…56a1backed Yes | 57c | 8,283$4,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,582.02 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 28c | 7,546$2,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,087.87 | 314 | 43.9%138 W · 176 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0773…1539backed Yes | 56c | 7,500$4,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,334.99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -70%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1601…2841backed Yes | 42c | 7,063$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,062.97 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0deb…12c9backed Yes | 61c | 7,000$4,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,738.51 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…e5ddbacked Yes | 69c | 6,728$4,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,058.13 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c93…4e2fbacked Yes | 47c | 6,500$3,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,420 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dee…628abacked Yes | 55c | 6,322$3,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,866.86 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…3b8bbacked Yes | 68c | 6,000$4,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8d22backed No | 45c | 5,710$2,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,564.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe610…b9eebacked No | 46c | 5,595$2,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,584.63 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17e…0868backed Yes | 48c | 5,492$2,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,863.27 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1aae…483cbacked Yes | 70c | 5,444$3,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,626.11 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 44c | 4,988$2,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,776.42 | 361 | 4.4%16 W · 345 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f73…8d13backed Yes | 53c | 4,966$2,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,318.56 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e68…5472backed Yes | 39c | 4,744$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,893.58 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf40…1bd2backed No | 47c | 4,736$2,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,206.54 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd5…ac33backed Yes | 78c | 4,646$3,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.74 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce68…f6b8backed Yes | 51c | 4,500$2,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,205 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d29…5d93backed Yes | 69c | 4,486$3,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,382.54 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde77…04d2backed Yes | 70c | 4,400$3,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,339.22 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66cc…a735backed Yes | 59c | 4,310$2,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,753.26 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.27per pick | 36cpaid | -84.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Yes | 71c | 4,176$2,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,203.09 | 167 | 44.3%74 W · 93 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x914a…361bbacked Yes | 73c | 4,054$2,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108.18 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 74cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed No | 0c | 4,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 412 | 1%4 W · 408 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +171.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a45…d5f8backed Yes | 71c | 3,700$2,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,067 | 29 | 3.4%1 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 9cpaid | -95.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cc…387abacked No | 17c | 3,630$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.15 | 85 | 29.4%25 W · 60 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7923…e7cfbacked Yes | 49c | 3,617$1,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,836.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…4a37backed No | 22c | 3,337$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.98 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2876…c4b2backed No | 51c | 3,269$1,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,655.84 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 15cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x457a…44debacked No | 15c | 3,239$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2f31backed Yes | 43c | 3,175$1,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,810.28 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91d1…c60abacked No | 54c | 3,149$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefdb…7358backed Yes | 53c | 3,148$1,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,481.22 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -6.3wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb2…682cbacked Yes | 74c | 3,138$2,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed Yes | 8c | 3,112$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,867.39 | 118 | 50.8%60 W · 58 L | +29.2wins | +0.25per pick | 26cpaid | +132.4%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x0db9…d97cbacked Yes | 79c | 3,000$2,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…9862backed No | 41c | 3,000$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79fa…8a55backed Yes | 80c | 3,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47a0…1de0backed No | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef9f…425ebacked Yes | 72c | 2,926$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.08 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4de7…2d9abacked Yes | 56c | 2,899$1,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275.56 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 30cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba6…af21backed No | 48c | 2,888$1,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,386.42 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Yes | 51c | 2,800$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,374.62 | 54 | 14.8%8 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9464…bd9fbacked No | 56c | 2,700$1,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,501.99 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -4.7wins | -0.22per pick | 27cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x75b1…e2e8backed Yes | 47c | 2,692$1,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,415.97 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +76.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 27c | 2,606$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.16 | 563 | 14.6%82 W · 481 L | -39.3wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kim Moon-soo be the People's Power Party candidate for president?this page
- Will Ahn Cheol-soo be the People's Power Party candidate for president?No won
- Will Han Dong-hoon be the People's Power Party candidate for president?No won
- Will Han Duck-soo be the People's Power Party candidate for president?No won
- Will Hong Joon-pyo be the People's Power Party candidate for president?No won
- Will Lee Jun-seok be the People's Power Party candidate for president?No won
- Will Na Kyung-won be the People's Power Party candidate for president?No won
- Will Oh Se-hoon be the People's Power Party candidate for president?No won
- Will Won Hee-ryong be the People's Power Party candidate for president?No won
- Will Yoo Seong-min be the People's Power Party candidate for president?No won
- Will Yoon Suk Yeol be the People's Power Party candidate for president?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.