World Politics · resolved market
Will Han Duck-soo be the People's Power Party candidate for president?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95534417f10863c4b7e4bd71c070fdc6c0b0c25b6fd10f87a3142f66dc00e835
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,780,140
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,824,418
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,780,140 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x76bb…b3b7backed Yes | 0c | 10,092,160$10,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,092.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab55…df2abacked Yes | 0c | 3,094,124$5,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,938.5 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a22…e34cbacked Yes | 0c | 1,843,494$1,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,843.49 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd4…f3b6backed Yes | 1c | 1,721,491$25,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,540.05 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe965…6559backed Yes | 0c | 993,790$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.79 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…8c94backed Yes | 0c | 300,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 142 | 40.8%58 W · 84 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f5…2090backed Yes | 0c | 209,420$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a45…d5f8backed Yes | 1c | 205,588$1,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,882.7 | 29 | 3.4%1 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 9cpaid | -95.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9297…e0ccbacked Yes | 0c | 200,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa847…88a5backed Yes | 0c | 176,000$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -87%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1a…e489backed Yes | 0c | 175,074$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.07 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe138…8448backed Yes | 7c | 161,991$10,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,626.53 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f0…fe05backed Yes | 2c | 156,185$3,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,229.18 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7616…69eebacked Yes | 2c | 139,512$2,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,822.25 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde77…04d2backed Yes | 0c | 131,000$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda0b…f4f6backed Yes | 1c | 106,065$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3303…b5e3backed Yes | 0c | 103,890$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.89 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6028…10eebacked Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cb…3bbdbacked Yes | 0c | 100,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.98 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +102.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2a…d14ebacked Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 160 | 29.4%47 W · 113 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 114 | 28.9%33 W · 81 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfad7…d4adbacked Yes | 0c | 99,900$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecc2…3bf3backed Yes | 0c | 99,251$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 5c | 96,046$4,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,742.57 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71e5…d10bbacked Yes | 4c | 86,755$3,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,658.62 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaec0…5a19backed Yes | 0c | 80,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -77.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…ac39backed Yes | 0c | 79,450$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2f31backed Yes | 0c | 77,777$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.78 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81ae…7126backed Yes | 4c | 77,268$3,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,027.58 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +416.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…6657backed Yes | 1c | 72,500$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.7 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c62…5d44backed Yes | 1c | 68,821$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.2 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe9…8308backed Yes | 0c | 60,300$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.05 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…8a10backed Yes | 0c | 60,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95f7…6c70backed Yes | 0c | 56,100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.1 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd0…8bc2backed Yes | 0c | 51,603$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.4 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x930a…30a5backed Yes | 0c | 50,910$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93d0…65f1backed Yes | 0c | 50,806$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.17 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…b103backed Yes | 1c | 49,811$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.62 | 205 | 38%78 W · 127 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e68…5472backed Yes | 6c | 47,065$2,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,673.03 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…9a58backed Yes | 0c | 46,700$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff17…970bbacked Yes | 4c | 46,306$1,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,796.31 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x107c…491bbacked Yes | 0c | 41,821$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9443…e5ecbacked Yes | 2c | 35,076$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46aa…690ebacked Yes | 1c | 32,858$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.74 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d3…29e1backed Yes | 0c | 30,924$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.37 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4081…cfb0backed Yes | 0c | 30,660$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.66 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 8cpaid | +152.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa934…c6fabacked Yes | 1c | 30,348$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.5 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 25cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe85e…2aebbacked Yes | 0c | 30,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…31e9backed Yes | 0c | 28,850$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.06 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f9…4206backed Yes | 1c | 28,642$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.29 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac1…6b06backed Yes | 2c | 27,799$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.67 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d20…8490backed Yes | 1c | 26,991$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.78 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7584…d6e6backed Yes | 0c | 26,069$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.18 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 18cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x690c…f733backed Yes | 0c | 26,000$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd2…2518backed Yes | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15a9…8f82backed Yes | 0c | 22,800$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8181…92b8backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a1…4209backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x761d…0687backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e56…35d5backed Yes | 1c | 19,608$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.15 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e98…ae0fbacked Yes | 4c | 18,119$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.24 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbe…e790backed Yes | 8c | 17,912$1,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,389.54 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8764…069dbacked Yes | 0c | 16,782$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x310e…5050backed Yes | 5c | 15,903$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.25 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x832f…ef80backed Yes | 1c | 15,643$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.96 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7bc…504abacked Yes | 11c | 15,276$1,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,656.79 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa066…bfd4backed Yes | 4c | 15,120$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.09 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…c83dbacked Yes | 0c | 14,990$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13dd…b2b7backed Yes | 4c | 14,094$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7315…ddb2backed Yes | 0c | 13,925$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f48…bf49backed Yes | 1c | 13,821$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x570d…3d72backed Yes | 7c | 13,688$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 1c | 13,365$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.41 | 452 | 1.1%5 W · 447 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +156.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce68…f6b8backed Yes | 0c | 12,401$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.94 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 12,000$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 412 | 1%4 W · 408 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +171.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x474e…9b94backed Yes | 0c | 11,866$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfda6…4eddbacked Yes | 1c | 11,769$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.85 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…b8a4backed Yes | 2c | 11,459$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 19cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a7…9ddcbacked Yes | 4c | 11,027$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.22 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87fa…3341backed Yes | 1c | 10,738$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.8 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed Yes | 0c | 10,200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 71 | 23.9%17 W · 54 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 16cpaid | +86.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a97…3964backed Yes | 1c | 10,200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc331…1d71backed Yes | 5c | 10,093$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 41 | 17.1%7 W · 34 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6780…e6babacked Yes | 1c | 10,013$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.24 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf921…94dbbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb78a…6291backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab8e…3d89backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aaf…1f8ebacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.15per pick | 13cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef0…f55dbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 15cpaid | +471.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3872…f162backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78c8…0a0fbacked Yes | 2c | 9,467$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.81 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdec2…b04abacked Yes | 4c | 9,160$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.94 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa414…75c9backed Yes | 4c | 7,296$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.15 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +239.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16bd…e288backed Yes | 0c | 7,248$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +31%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea1…c0e4backed Yes | 6c | 7,155$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.25 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2220…9c74backed Yes | 3c | 6,924$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.03 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe238…27b3backed Yes | 1c | 6,355$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.65 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Yes | 0c | 5,805$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.09 | 54 | 14.8%8 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19bb…a23dbacked Yes | 2c | 5,657$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Han Duck-soo be the People's Power Party candidate for president?this page
- Will Ahn Cheol-soo be the People's Power Party candidate for president?No won
- Will Han Dong-hoon be the People's Power Party candidate for president?No won
- Will Hong Joon-pyo be the People's Power Party candidate for president?No won
- Will Kim Moon-soo be the People's Power Party candidate for president?Yes won
- Will Lee Jun-seok be the People's Power Party candidate for president?No won
- Will Na Kyung-won be the People's Power Party candidate for president?No won
- Will Oh Se-hoon be the People's Power Party candidate for president?No won
- Will Won Hee-ryong be the People's Power Party candidate for president?No won
- Will Yoo Seong-min be the People's Power Party candidate for president?No won
- Will Yoon Suk Yeol be the People's Power Party candidate for president?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.