World Politics · resolved market
Will Han Dong-hoon be the People's Power Party candidate for president?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x77eb9557038e4c4c00315a2be92522cc8ba1e735cd1d9cfc74b53ae28bcf0dc5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,276,519
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $921,905
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,276,519 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 229 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed92…e5a1backed Yes | 12c | 52,023$6,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,041.96 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +643.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x461a…4030backed Yes | 11c | 50,000$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7616…69eebacked Yes | 20c | 44,816$8,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,766.11 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d12…caa9backed Yes | 20c | 40,604$8,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,283.08 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44bf…ea02backed Yes | 11c | 39,781$4,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,272.14 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x022e…2a77backed Yes | 14c | 37,343$5,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,173.53 | 80 | 25%20 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +187.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6307…010bbacked Yes | 26c | 29,441$7,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,661.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5b…a718backed Yes | 10c | 29,181$2,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,918.09 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd0c…bcbabacked Yes | 18c | 26,233$4,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,681.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78c8…0a0fbacked Yes | 1c | 25,709$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.67 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd528…96f2backed Yes | 22c | 24,851$5,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,455.66 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d3a…b03ebacked Yes | 18c | 21,975$3,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,909.26 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d76…6dacbacked Yes | 21c | 20,145$4,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200.88 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 20cpaid | +223.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb0aa…8e3ebacked Yes | 26c | 20,093$5,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,177.87 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f5…3e59backed Yes | 13c | 18,666$2,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,463.61 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdec2…b04abacked Yes | 20c | 17,481$3,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,436.99 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d86…d560backed Yes | 18c | 15,570$2,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,735.8 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x135b…9103backed Yes | 17c | 14,312$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c8…a348backed Yes | 21c | 14,014$2,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,893.52 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf40…1bd2backed Yes | 18c | 13,135$2,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,415.72 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c21…d2febacked Yes | 16c | 11,811$1,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,875.54 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ecd…0703backed Yes | 12c | 11,194$1,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,306.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…bfa2backed Yes | 13c | 11,148$1,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,415.88 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2791…3923backed Yes | 18c | 10,981$1,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,958.75 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2876…c4b2backed Yes | 12c | 9,940$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220.25 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 15cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1077…0722backed Yes | 18c | 9,775$1,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,713.7 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 20cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7e…3e1dbacked Yes | 11c | 9,305$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.13 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…b103backed No | 75c | 9,009$6,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,227.67 | 205 | 38%78 W · 127 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f5…1541backed Yes | 12c | 8,944$1,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8d22backed Yes | 23c | 8,657$1,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,965.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa847…88a5backed Yes | 15c | 8,545$1,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,267.92 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -87%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6122…ee7cbacked Yes | 17c | 7,687$1,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330.61 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9464…bd9fbacked Yes | 17c | 7,014$1,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,198.42 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -4.7wins | -0.22per pick | 27cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9edb…9f05backed Yes | 15c | 6,990$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.4 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b0…6440backed Yes | 25c | 6,207$1,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,551.85 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a54…c062backed Yes | 11c | 6,154$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.37 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -45%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2f31backed Yes | 21c | 5,966$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280.34 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 15c | 5,952$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.57 | 563 | 14.6%82 W · 481 L | -39.3wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe658…072bbacked Yes | 22c | 5,837$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…b6c2backed Yes | 27c | 5,550$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.3 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d20…8490backed Yes | 17c | 5,500$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.8 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae06…8acebacked Yes | 25c | 5,436$1,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,384.86 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14b5…16bfbacked Yes | 11c | 5,337$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.56 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0deb…12c9backed Yes | 18c | 5,000$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.94 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b4…1cbabacked Yes | 15c | 4,986$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aaf…1f8ebacked Yes | 29c | 4,832$1,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,381.12 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.15per pick | 13cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x46f0…fe05backed Yes | 15c | 4,820$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.06 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd4…f3b6backed Yes | 21c | 4,350$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.07 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…31e9backed Yes | 15c | 4,251$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.45 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed Yes | 16c | 4,238$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.52 | 314 | 43.9%138 W · 176 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18e…a539backed No | 78c | 4,077$3,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.12 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x892d…602cbacked Yes | 11c | 4,072$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f30…f73bbacked Yes | 21c | 4,000$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.93 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 9cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4455…f9c0backed Yes | 13c | 3,980$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.01 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6780…e6babacked Yes | 13c | 3,966$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.1 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64f3…34b6backed Yes | 17c | 3,712$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.04 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x890c…ee71backed Yes | 14c | 3,560$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.43 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aae…483cbacked Yes | 19c | 3,559$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.91 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x840e…e9bebacked Yes | 14c | 3,466$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.9 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x516a…84f6backed Yes | 21c | 3,354$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3af3…75ebbacked Yes | 14c | 3,150$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.14 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 14c | 3,027$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.09 | 278 | 28.1%78 W · 200 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66cc…a735backed Yes | 15c | 3,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.27per pick | 36cpaid | -84.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x47a0…1de0backed Yes | 19c | 2,998$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.26 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf06f…89c0backed Yes | 13c | 2,908$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.13 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…eb81backed Yes | 13c | 2,882$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1020…3aacbacked Yes | 22c | 2,800$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6413…d9cebacked Yes | 16c | 2,762$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.89 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe59d…6bfcbacked Yes | 13c | 2,745$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.01 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6c…f6aabacked No | 76c | 2,697$2,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.27 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed Yes | 12c | 2,362$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.72 | 135 | 25.2%34 W · 101 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7456…5148backed Yes | 19c | 2,302$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.44 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +5.7wins | +0.22per pick | 24cpaid | +116.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x46ee…eb1ebacked Yes | 12c | 2,200$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.59 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 20c | 2,025$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401 | 58 | 15.5%9 W · 49 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x246c…d49cbacked Yes | 24c | 1,952$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.34 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51e9…c658backed Yes | 10c | 1,948$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 21cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93d0…65f1backed Yes | 18c | 1,855$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.6 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3564…ea75backed Yes | 27c | 1,832$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.74 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 13c | 1,829$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.26 | 361 | 4.4%16 W · 345 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5784…6788backed Yes | 18c | 1,790$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.9 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 15cpaid | +82.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcc…b294backed No | 80c | 1,767$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.36 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0e…188cbacked No | 75c | 1,757$1,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.28 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49fd…0198backed Yes | 17c | 1,719$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.83 | 69 | 20.3%14 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9292…a1e8backed Yes | 29c | 1,709$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…b150backed Yes | 17c | 1,640$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.6 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x169d…32f0backed Yes | 15c | 1,601$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa779…f660backed Yes | 20c | 1,600$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a3…cd82backed Yes | 14c | 1,560$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.37 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ac…3e1ebacked Yes | 16c | 1,501$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.12 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 18cpaid | -89%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3c…b218backed No | 75c | 1,499$1,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.35 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9968…a104backed Yes | 16c | 1,489$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.25 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5dee…628abacked No | 75c | 1,468$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.19 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1a…e489backed No | 79c | 1,466$1,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb2…16c5backed Yes | 14c | 1,440$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.97 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 20cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 80c | 1,420$1,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.9 | 140 | 33.6%47 W · 93 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4559…c3d6backed Yes | 11c | 1,400$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x181c…3151backed Yes | 15c | 1,393$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.97 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18d…9863backed Yes | 7c | 1,382$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.3 | 78 | 16.7%13 W · 65 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b03…d80abacked Yes | 25c | 1,356$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeae7…1884backed Yes | 15c | 1,308$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.25 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Han Dong-hoon be the People's Power Party candidate for president?this page
- Will Ahn Cheol-soo be the People's Power Party candidate for president?No won
- Will Han Duck-soo be the People's Power Party candidate for president?No won
- Will Hong Joon-pyo be the People's Power Party candidate for president?No won
- Will Kim Moon-soo be the People's Power Party candidate for president?Yes won
- Will Lee Jun-seok be the People's Power Party candidate for president?No won
- Will Na Kyung-won be the People's Power Party candidate for president?No won
- Will Oh Se-hoon be the People's Power Party candidate for president?No won
- Will Won Hee-ryong be the People's Power Party candidate for president?No won
- Will Yoo Seong-min be the People's Power Party candidate for president?No won
- Will Yoon Suk Yeol be the People's Power Party candidate for president?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.