Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb3b987172e2f6b3173ede42294bfcc594dfc0371c7d7cd965a00194c6ab73b68
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,111
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,425
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,111 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 27c | 7,500$2,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,025 | 143 | 46.9%67 W · 76 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 73c | 5,346$3,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,443.42 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 1c | 3,498$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.81 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 73c | 1,621$1,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.67 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc079…8accbacked Yes | 28c | 730.36$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.5 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -5.6wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 72c | 417.49$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.85 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…64e9backed No | 72c | 325.79$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.22 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e41…3745backed Yes | 28c | 321.43$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -52%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…95a6backed Yes | 7c | 201.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed No | 74c | 107.69$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f91…9388backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bc…80f7backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…f7f9backed Yes | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5f…446bbacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked Yes | 23c | 45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 72c | 32.14$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 215 | 60%129 W · 86 L | +15.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb61…bd7fbacked No | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf99d…f867backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace end in a draw?this page
- Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2025-11-02?No won
- Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2025-11-02?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.