Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Manchester United win on 2025-04-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbab1dc1fe9b005201b68096250d98ce5ff85c882bc260e10ba78b47c0234dac6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $489,438
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $469,196
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $489,438 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x18d2…81e0backed Yes | 59c | 127,941$75,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75,452.42 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…1dd2backed No | 41c | 81,026$33,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,805.62 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Yes | 1c | 61,315$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Yes | 0c | 55,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38f9…da6bbacked Yes | 0c | 52,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a4d…ee44backed Yes | 0c | 26,011$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf53…b6b4backed Yes | 0c | 21,650$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked No | 41c | 21,527$8,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,681.57 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +28%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4117…88fbbacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 52c | 10,479$5,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,004.74 | 330 | 55.2%182 W · 148 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 14cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Yes | 13c | 9,246$1,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,217.51 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 41c | 8,000$3,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,689.98 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda93…f09cbacked No | 43c | 7,360$3,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,195.13 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes | 57c | 6,121$3,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,488.99 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +7.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…2bc1backed Yes | 1c | 5,090$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf892…7f58backed No | 43c | 4,900$2,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,814.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1080…b316backed No | 43c | 4,726$2,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,693.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 28c | 4,598$1,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,273.91 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a8…4673backed No | 43c | 3,256$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,855.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked No | 41c | 3,185$1,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,879.21 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf85…ff54backed No | 7c | 3,177$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,952.67 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +469%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 19c | 2,502$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,025.43 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed No | 9c | 2,203$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,996.69 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 30c | 2,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 57c | 1,755$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.63 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 43c | 1,688$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.4 | 246 | 55.7%137 W · 109 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Yes | 57c | 1,500$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf09…651fbacked No | 43c | 1,333$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 41c | 1,100$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b37…c06bbacked Yes | 57c | 1,053$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Yes | 56c | 999.96$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.98 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 68c | 944.12$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.65 | 122 | 43.4%53 W · 69 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae1e…d204backed Yes | 57c | 891.22$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9caf…94dcbacked Yes | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed No | 55c | 799.09$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.02 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked No | 41c | 726.86$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.97 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe39b…67e6backed Yes | 57c | 701.75$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked No | 44c | 685.8$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…38cebacked Yes | 58c | 605.71$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.21 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Yes | 56c | 586.82$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.62 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 41c | 566.92$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.48 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 64c | 528.91$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.99 | 153 | 76.5%117 W · 36 L | +37.4wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9423backed Yes | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc20c…fa4bbacked Yes | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaae6…2b88backed No | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad16…e610backed Yes | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c0…0eecbacked Yes | 57c | 464.3$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83e2…ce08backed No | 44c | 450$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe20…4d3ebacked Yes | 57c | 440$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Yes | 58c | 361.33$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.57 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +6.2wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1d92…a53bbacked Yes | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Yes | 59c | 339.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Yes | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 42c | 332.92$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.1 | 140 | 42.1%59 W · 81 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 29c | 300$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked No | 7c | 300$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 275 | 37.1%102 W · 173 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 47c | 275.85$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.94 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78c2…8316backed Yes | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 39cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 58c | 250$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ae…cb95backed Yes | 58c | 250$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x366c…6578backed Yes | 78c | 210.15$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.92 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +94.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b48…51d0backed No | 44c | 205$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Yes | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Yes | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x716c…65cabacked No | 7c | 200$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 58c | 195.07$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.14 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe483…b5a0backed Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x169e…de26backed No | 43c | 166.8$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Yes | 57c | 164.73$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.27 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 60c | 154.79$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.83 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x023d…82f1backed No | 44c | 147.39$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 56c | 146.91$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.71 | 178 | 35.4%63 W · 115 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9598…255cbacked Yes | 59c | 145.32$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3e…271dbacked No | 44c | 141$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +91.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed No | 40c | 139$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.73 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc5…4709backed Yes | 59c | 138.88$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc001…bb2abacked Yes | 57c | 117.67$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 42c | 114$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.14 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed No | 43c | 110.53$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.9 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed No | 54c | 107.38$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.37 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffa5…6343backed No | 44c | 106.39$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x509b…429dbacked Yes | 59c | 100.25$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd82…342bbacked No | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…2486backed No | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c39…458dbacked Yes | 59c | 99.64$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dec…50d9backed Yes | 57c | 92.37$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4770…8fa6backed No | 44c | 92.07$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.56 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +153.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…8509backed No | 42c | 89.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.19 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x710b…ce8fbacked Yes | 57c | 88.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…28e2backed Yes | 57c | 88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.16 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 58c | 86.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…e041backed Yes | 58c | 86.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed No | 41c | 80$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.2 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 43c | 78.08$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.51 | 158 | 46.8%74 W · 84 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester United win on 2025-04-17?this page
- Will Lyon win on 2025-04-17?No won
- Will Manchester United vs. Lyon end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.