TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will West Ham win on 2025-02-15?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$25,524
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$27,874

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,524 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 205 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe626…2fe6backed Yes42c4,289$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8004264.3%27 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No58c3,000$1,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,260.2579650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed No70c2,411$1,687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.7514732.7%48 W · 99 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-44%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes40c1,666$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666.479639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No60c1,666$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.469772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Yes42c1,191$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.432037.2%119 W · 201 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbdba…3e7abacked Yes1c999.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-72.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc614…b14bbacked Yes41c678.78$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2755829.3%17 W · 41 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-38.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No58c665.45$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.9990751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Yes25c586.58$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.6438645.3%175 W · 211 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No58c541.47$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.6783459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No58c517$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.1424566.1%162 W · 83 L+24.5wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No59c424.67$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.1140046%184 W · 216 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x225c…863ebacked Yes40c260$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fdc…6f0abacked Yes40c260$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25eb…8ce7backed No58c255.99$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.5217447.7%83 W · 91 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc2c7…2954backed No60c255$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfba1…6d31backed No60c255$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+70.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x000f…04acbacked No60c250$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2668…8113backed Yes24c215.66$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+18.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8415636.5%57 W · 99 L-11.7wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked No58c190.27$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.9113547.4%64 W · 71 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb06…8a8bbacked No60c190$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf04d…7d54backed No60c185$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$741100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0560…d77dbacked Yes40c184.99$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742744.4%12 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked No58c183.33$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.9940135.2%141 W · 260 L-0.7wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7ee…a4a4backed Yes41c182.44$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No58c155.86$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.7381559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ec9…8ef2backed Yes12c144.92$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.191353.8%7 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.15per pick38cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x58e2…dae0backed Yes41c140.02$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.41560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9e8…d8fabacked Yes40c137$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6985…90e8backed Yes42c125.9$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.88366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid-7.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4092…eb69backed Yes41c125.66$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.52757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc342…1718backed Yes42c122.67$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.5220%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0765…e6e5backed Yes42c118.83$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ae6…ddc0backed Yes42c112.62$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x177e…bc77backed No60c110$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked No59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4114754.4%80 W · 67 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72a2…5cb6backed Yes40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9418…4f2abacked Yes41c97.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404628.3%13 W · 33 L-0.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b0d…62dfbacked No61c96.16$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb30c…7ab2backed No61c92.38$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.032360.9%14 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae75…22cbbacked No59c90.53$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.942100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+48.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe15…5205backed Yes42c90.17$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x377e…fb4bbacked No61c89.1$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.75650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd4f…2ce5backed No60c88.82$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.53366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a83…4ad5backed No59c87.31$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa77…df63backed Yes42c86.62$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6cee…8bb4backed No60c85$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7d2…f555backed No60c84$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.618260.4%110 W · 72 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad01…0400backed No61c84$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.761369.2%9 W · 4 L+3.2wins+0.25per pick45cpaid+93.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xeaae…59f6backed No59c82.15$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.682100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+95.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37a7…dd85backed Yes42c79.24$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.28250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-36.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1048…43ffbacked No59c78.54$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ec1…3099backed No60c77.98$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66f8…7640backed No59c77.88$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.93250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeed0…e5c0backed No59c75.03$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.762100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+50.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1850…e582backed No61c73.79$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.785100%5 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+64.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0352…451ebacked Yes40c69$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.620%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a05…8e85backed Yes40c69$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9715…0710backed Yes41c68$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6212…241cbacked Yes40c66$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bb8…7471backed No61c64$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.9614062.9%88 W · 52 L+16.6wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+66.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x54a2…04d5backed Yes40c64$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d26…f02dbacked No60c63$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01f8…ee9fbacked Yes41c62$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8aa…fabebacked No60c62$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9828…5968backed Yes40c60$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafcf…8427backed Yes40c59.66$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1530%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb2ed…d61fbacked No59c57$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04c5…cabcbacked No60c56$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a0e…4dc6backed No59c55.93$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.936167.2%41 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2066…9b0abacked Yes40c55$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa646…7117backed No59c52$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.552100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c2…dc4fbacked No59c50.42$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.67425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-57.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc64e…3cdbbacked Yes39c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.56628.8%19 W · 47 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc31d…93f4backed No60c49.43$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.77666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+27%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8655…a314backed Yes41c49.27$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf185…1bd1backed Yes41c48.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203941%16 W · 23 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes41c48.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2029653%157 W · 139 L-23.0wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-15.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0229…c95cbacked Yes41c48.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67df…a98ebacked No59c48$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe052…b139backed Yes40c48$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33c3…8b1abacked Yes40c48$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b2d…b288backed No59c47.63$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.532100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+143.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e4d…c64fbacked Yes42c47.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc13f…c93bbacked Yes42c47.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203135.5%11 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x67b8…2449backed Yes42c47.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206556.9%37 W · 28 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7be6…0530backed No59c47.27$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.38540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-29.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x653e…a47abacked Yes42c47.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-57.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac97…ba57backed Yes42c47.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-36.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd730…a1f3backed Yes40c47$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf80…0a90backed Yes40c47$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.820%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf731…25fabacked Yes40c46$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb00…56e1backed No59c46$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda46…0b85backed No60c45$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2e…515cbacked No60c45$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe65d…f1b0backed Yes40c45$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f47…661fbacked Yes40c44$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e42…d0a7backed Yes40c43$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.