Premier League · resolved market
Will Brentford win on 2025-02-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x61c7d1a95ad333e39841568b1fae7d273799e8e893c2f6a82d721ace9038b726
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,340
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,874
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,340 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 65c | 15,140$9,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,840.83 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 35c | 13,016$4,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,458.35 | 280 | 70%196 W · 84 L | +49.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 45c | 7,349$3,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,076.05 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Yes | 49c | 7,173$3,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,689.44 | 147 | 32.7%48 W · 99 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 35c | 3,125$1,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,031.25 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Yes | 56c | 1,761$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.32 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94eb…37e6backed Yes | 68c | 1,159$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.19 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Yes | 49c | 1,103$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.23 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 66c | 1,044$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.01 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Yes | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…a5d4backed Yes | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.19 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 65c | 796.95$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.99 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1475…e632backed Yes | 64c | 642.92$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.73 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +36%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Yes | 79c | 605.76$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.76 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked No | 67c | 590$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf240…03c2backed Yes | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked No | 67c | 494.58$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.37 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0c…ad7cbacked Yes | 64c | 427.73$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.98 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb6…768dbacked Yes | 79c | 334.45$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 10c | 313.81$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.54 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked No | 66c | 301.9$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.25 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Yes | 35c | 300$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 229 | 32.3%74 W · 155 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed Yes | 35c | 286$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.9 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x103d…770ebacked No | 36c | 277.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Yes | 61c | 263.42$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.42 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Yes | 70c | 255.43$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.2 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cd5…177bbacked Yes | 35c | 229.97$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5679…d458backed Yes | 62c | 217.6$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.69 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Yes | 33c | 199.98$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.99 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked No | 66c | 176.62$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.57 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb30c…7ab2backed Yes | 35c | 171.43$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.43 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25eb…8ce7backed Yes | 32c | 160.07$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.84 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e0…14adbacked Yes | 33c | 154.12$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.26 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b7…af8bbacked Yes | 34c | 150$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 67c | 118.55$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.43 | 245 | 66.1%162 W · 83 L | +24.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Yes | 34c | 117.75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.75 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 67c | 112$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.04 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb8…7471backed Yes | 35c | 105$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.25 | 140 | 62.9%88 W · 52 L | +16.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f1…f229backed No | 68c | 102.94$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked No | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 156 | 36.5%57 W · 99 L | -11.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb978…a2a0backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 33c | 99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.33 | 147 | 32%47 W · 100 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef7…b0debacked Yes | 34c | 94.12$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.12 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22bf…bc0cbacked No | 67c | 86.39$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…a5b1backed No | 67c | 80.06$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92be…d717backed No | 42c | 72.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f9…004dbacked Yes | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.43 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +7.1wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Yes | 66c | 70.93$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.12 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2a…0e15backed Yes | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5a…1aefbacked No | 67c | 62.78$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.06 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb5b…69ebbacked Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 144 | 41%59 W · 85 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…54c7backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f22…a26ebacked Yes | 34c | 60.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.79 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad01…0400backed Yes | 35c | 56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.25per pick | 45cpaid | +93.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x728c…4e58backed No | 67c | 50.75$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.31per pick | 59cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 67c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…501ebacked Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 157 | 26.8%42 W · 115 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d4…2f06backed Yes | 68c | 45.06$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.29 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…ebe9backed Yes | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5502…207ebacked Yes | 57c | 43.93$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.89 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908d…b6aebacked Yes | 50c | 43.62$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.62 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 33c | 42.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.42 | 292 | 38.4%112 W · 180 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11bd…e68fbacked Yes | 34c | 38.15$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +77.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac8…327abacked No | 67c | 38.13$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2936…07f5backed Yes | 33c | 34.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.94 | 109 | 32.1%35 W · 74 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5383…b04fbacked Yes | 34c | 34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec9…8ef2backed Yes | 33c | 32.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.03 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 34c | 31.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.93 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0015…1daebacked Yes | 68c | 24.44$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x676e…7b25backed Yes | 71c | 21.51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd754…6747backed Yes | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01f8…21f8backed Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadb6…de99backed No | 66c | 19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Brentford win on 2025-02-15?this page
- Will West Ham vs. Brentford end in a draw?No won
- Will West Ham win on 2025-02-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.