MLB · resolved market
Mariners vs. Twins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d8020cdf21744bae01787e48a2fa3cd77cb380e1168c5c6f9d7a86ff90256ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Twinsof Mariners, Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $83,895
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $85,148
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,895 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Mariners | 48c | 6,461$3,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,101.3 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Mariners | 46c | 6,164$2,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,835.23 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Mariners | 45c | 6,083$2,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,720 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Twins | 64c | 5,516$3,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,995.09 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Twins | 52c | 4,303$2,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,065.35 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Twins | 52c | 4,051$2,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,944.36 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9708…925bbacked Twins | 53c | 4,022$2,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,894.8 | 166 | 43.4%72 W · 94 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Mariners | 45c | 3,578$1,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,610.24 | 173 | 51.4%89 W · 84 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Twins | 59c | 3,072$1,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,245.32 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Twins | 53c | 2,831$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330.72 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Twins | 54c | 2,752$1,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,255.03 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Twins | 53c | 2,600$1,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.72 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Mariners | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Twins | 54c | 2,326$1,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070.13 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Mariners | 47c | 2,294$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c77…a901backed Mariners | 30c | 2,282$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.42 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Mariners | 1c | 2,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Twins | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.99 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8763…bf06backed Mariners | 48c | 1,979$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Twins | 52c | 1,670$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.6 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Twins | 54c | 1,522$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.97 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Mariners | 46c | 1,339$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6187…1746backed Twins | 61c | 1,246$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.11 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Mariners | 48c | 1,137$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.76 | 173 | 54.9%95 W · 78 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…612abacked Mariners | 42c | 1,057$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Mariners | 46c | 1,046$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Mariners | 31c | 1,005$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.47 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Mariners | 2c | 1,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Mariners | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x043b…73a6backed Twins | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Mariners | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7324…e8a9backed Twins | 52c | 979$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Twins | 63c | 955.58$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.2 | 123 | 39%48 W · 75 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72cf…69aebacked Mariners | 48c | 833.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Twins | 53c | 754.72$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.72 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12f2…0a1dbacked Mariners | 47c | 749.98$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.49 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eea…c6e3backed Mariners | 13c | 664.52$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…68d1backed Mariners | 49c | 646.41$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…b3d7backed Mariners | 47c | 642.51$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.98 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Mariners | 33c | 575.51$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.38 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Mariners | 2c | 506$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Mariners | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2c…a1c2backed Mariners | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Twins | 53c | 318.89$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.88 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Mariners | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Mariners | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Mariners | 47c | 299.98$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.99 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Mariners | 24c | 284$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Twins | 72c | 266.41$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.4 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Twins | 52c | 259.98$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.79 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Mariners | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…780dbacked Mariners | 48c | 238.48$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.47 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x226d…f49ebacked Mariners | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Mariners | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked Mariners | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -9.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Mariners | 47c | 200.32$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Mariners | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff1b…b86bbacked Twins | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6f…f75bbacked Mariners | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Mariners | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Mariners | 48c | 199.95$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.97 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Twins | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9839…040ebacked Twins | 53c | 151$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.97 | 141 | 46.8%66 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc9…7e5bbacked Twins | 53c | 132.08$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.08 | 189 | 51.3%97 W · 92 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Mariners | 45c | 128.53$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.84 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…a9abbacked Mariners | 48c | 128$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2e…3a26backed Mariners | 48c | 123$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42ef…8e83backed Twins | 53c | 122$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…7a30backed Mariners | 48c | 118$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Mariners | 49c | 113.06$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 170 | 37.6%64 W · 106 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…7d12backed Mariners | 46c | 112.9$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.89 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Twins | 51c | 111.7$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.73 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Mariners | 46c | 110.56$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.86 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Mariners | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 375 | 52.5%197 W · 178 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Twins | 53c | 100.43$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.2 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…9c02backed Mariners | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 179 | 54.7%98 W · 81 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Twins | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 182 | 36.3%66 W · 116 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x023b…727dbacked Twins | 53c | 90$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c3…bdd0backed Twins | 53c | 85$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Twins | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe08c…43a8backed Twins | 53c | 72$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23f8…d139backed Mariners | 46c | 69.89$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff24…76c1backed Twins | 52c | 69.23$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.23 | 93 | 32.3%30 W · 63 L | -16.8wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Mariners | 33c | 67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.88 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09c4…40cdbacked Mariners | 48c | 66.67$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +8.5wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f33…c1febacked Mariners | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3b…f625backed Mariners | 46c | 61.57$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.12 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | +6.9wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa910…0777backed Twins | 56c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.7 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +5.3wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd286…7704backed Mariners | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51a0…436bbacked Twins | 56c | 54.04$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.96 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf002…047fbacked Mariners | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 168 | 51.8%87 W · 81 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…a9d7backed Mariners | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 249 | 53%132 W · 117 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Mariners | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 504 | 47.2%238 W · 266 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d75…41dcbacked Mariners | 48c | 48.58$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x887a…c417backed Twins | 53c | 47.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.42 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc31d…93f4backed Mariners | 48c | 47.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd61c…1a4fbacked Twins | 52c | 46.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x641b…6116backed Mariners | 45c | 45.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.42 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fca…c949backed Mariners | 49c | 42.26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.63 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f02…1b48backed Mariners | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.