NBA · resolved market
Mavericks vs. Nuggets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x72c5244aa41398b3853819c5c11df60f24b9eea05c5baf936b5a4f7b5012cceb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mavericksof Mavericks, Nuggets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $320,422
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $332,106
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $320,422 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 334 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Nuggets | 60c | 24,392$14,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,711.27 | 150 | 56.7%85 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Nuggets | 5c | 20,602$1,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100.69 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Mavericks | 59c | 18,214$10,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,414 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa38…ffb3backed Nuggets | 30c | 13,341$4,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,001.6 | 109 | 25.7%28 W · 81 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Mavericks | 41c | 12,047$4,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,157.36 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…64eebacked Mavericks | 33c | 8,489$2,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,662.72 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x576b…7336backed Nuggets | 2c | 6,868$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.78 | 183 | 16.9%31 W · 152 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x128e…a35bbacked Mavericks | 57c | 5,797$3,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,491.96 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc3…be1abacked Nuggets | 40c | 4,083$1,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,633.02 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Mavericks | 20c | 3,969$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,175 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Nuggets | 51c | 3,951$2,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,019.23 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6c…2df8backed Nuggets | 58c | 3,620$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a70…52ccbacked Mavericks | 69c | 3,396$2,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.66 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 69cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Nuggets | 27c | 3,215$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.32 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Nuggets | 7c | 3,123$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.47 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e6…cc3abacked Nuggets | 25c | 3,120$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.4 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Mavericks | 64c | 2,891$1,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.89 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Nuggets | 51c | 2,695$1,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380.92 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Mavericks | 70c | 2,679$1,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.75 | 236 | 46.6%110 W · 126 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Nuggets | 56c | 2,510$1,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,417.85 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Nuggets | 58c | 2,421$1,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,404.22 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Nuggets | 58c | 2,408$1,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,408.34 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Nuggets | 30c | 2,407$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.1 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…75f6backed Mavericks | 42c | 2,390$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,386.37 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 44cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac6…a6cebacked Mavericks | 44c | 2,355$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,318.55 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc88…681abacked Nuggets | 58c | 2,354$1,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,363 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Mavericks | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.98 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Mavericks | 50c | 1,989$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.74 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x529f…1cfabacked Mavericks | 53c | 1,833$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.1 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Nuggets | 35c | 1,783$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.14 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc7…3a04backed Mavericks | 70c | 1,734$1,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.22 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Mavericks | 49c | 1,713$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.49 | 290 | 43.8%127 W · 163 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb464…3b89backed Nuggets | 63c | 1,668$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.37 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…8416backed Mavericks | 38c | 1,668$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.16 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +79.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x75c8…8079backed Nuggets | 56c | 1,608$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.31 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7274…5d7abacked Nuggets | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x096b…8eafbacked Nuggets | 34c | 1,274$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Nuggets | 62c | 1,267$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.04 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Nuggets | 65c | 1,236$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.76 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Mavericks | 35c | 1,234$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.05 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc2…758bbacked Nuggets | 35c | 1,232$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.6 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa56d…27f2backed Mavericks | 42c | 1,230$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 45cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Mavericks | 35c | 1,227$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.55 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71f7…0fb5backed Nuggets | 66c | 1,163$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.33 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c9…5a0cbacked Mavericks | 72c | 1,104$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.96 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Nuggets | 57c | 1,063$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.27 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09df…5ca9backed Mavericks | 40c | 1,000$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.07 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked Mavericks | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9454…6d22backed Mavericks | 38c | 999.96$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.97 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Mavericks | 42c | 990.1$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.8 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Nuggets | 57c | 824.24$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.84 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Mavericks | 40c | 821.2$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.56 | 259 | 39%101 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79ee…ae97backed Nuggets | 49c | 817.52$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2b…ed08backed Nuggets | 51c | 808.25$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.86 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…73b8backed Mavericks | 37c | 804.98$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.98 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9423backed Nuggets | 65c | 799.99$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa431…677fbacked Nuggets | 24c | 783.33$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.38 | 84 | 17.9%15 W · 69 L | -10.2wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x624f…2fa6backed Mavericks | 50c | 776.33$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.17 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa55f…c3d6backed Nuggets | 61c | 772.24$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.15 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb4…2794backed Nuggets | 49c | 749.71$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.38 | 164 | 43.3%71 W · 93 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc61c…1a04backed Nuggets | 10c | 740.3$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab7…d178backed Nuggets | 66c | 734.11$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.51 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Nuggets | 62c | 725.81$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd2…5e2abacked Mavericks | 43c | 699.53$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.53 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -6.5wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -38%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked Mavericks | 49c | 692.36$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.04 | 172 | 44.2%76 W · 96 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Mavericks | 56c | 683.02$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.92 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e09…1c3fbacked Nuggets | 56c | 661.97$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.78 | 116 | 62.9%73 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Mavericks | 42c | 622.79$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.3 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Nuggets | 49c | 613.9$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…91e3backed Nuggets | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdd…0b07backed Mavericks | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 103 | 34%35 W · 68 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x581c…7f94backed Nuggets | 55c | 599.98$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.49 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Mavericks | 48c | 575.47$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.79 | 191 | 37.7%72 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked Mavericks | 43c | 513.25$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.55 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Nuggets | 33c | 500$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.5 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab15…dd2fbacked Mavericks | 33c | 500$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335 | 47 | 12.8%6 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b52…2c31backed Mavericks | 26c | 500$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8df2…97a5backed Mavericks | 56c | 488.11$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.32 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bad…74a7backed Mavericks | 59c | 450$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 152 | 34.9%53 W · 99 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeee1…5962backed Mavericks | 43c | 431.53$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.97 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +5.4wins | +0.26per pick | 50cpaid | +54%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x172b…e2cdbacked Mavericks | 53c | 429.17$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.26 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce7…fd4abacked Nuggets | 62c | 427.14$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.9 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7961…2da2backed Mavericks | 37c | 419.35$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.19 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -4.9wins | -0.21per pick | 47cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Mavericks | 43c | 411.74$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.85 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…715cbacked Nuggets | 52c | 385.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…085fbacked Nuggets | 8c | 378.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 166 | 17.5%29 W · 137 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x719d…4e73backed Mavericks | 53c | 375.75$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.36 | 118 | 34.7%41 W · 77 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b92…8bb4backed Nuggets | 13c | 371.06$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.1 | 76 | 23.7%18 W · 58 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x487f…30babacked Mavericks | 42c | 350$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf64…7e54backed Nuggets | 58c | 350$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…6130backed Nuggets | 56c | 345.62$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.55 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…63e1backed Nuggets | 60c | 330$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.77 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | -14.2wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x05d7…676fbacked Mavericks | 36c | 324.82$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.88 | 96 | 25%24 W · 72 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70de…5688backed Nuggets | 53c | 317.57$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.31 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…8509backed Mavericks | 53c | 309.65$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.86 | 258 | 51.6%133 W · 125 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78ab…75e1backed Mavericks | 41c | 302.17$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Nuggets | 53c | 301.79$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.64 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa95a…cc43backed Mavericks | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 107 | 37.4%40 W · 67 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ea…7776backed Mavericks | 35c | 300$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 62cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1166…94acbacked Mavericks | 43c | 290$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.6 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.