NHL · resolved market
Avalanche vs. Senators
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2ee3d2b172f4cfc9214a1b02a206bd79ea2137af533a0a5bc12ea0dcd048101
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Avalancheof Avalanche, Senators
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $135,873
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $144,108
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $135,873 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8ffc…18f3backed Avalanche | 53c | 88,334$46,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,516.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5356…ed53backed Senators | 47c | 88,250$41,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,477.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Senators | 47c | 8,400$3,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,929.81 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Avalanche | 51c | 7,449$3,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,644.68 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7239…6591backed Avalanche | 54c | 6,248$3,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,873.94 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Senators | 50c | 2,884$1,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,441.99 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Senators | 46c | 2,444$1,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130.83 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x519f…2af7backed Avalanche | 53c | 1,873$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.4 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Senators | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Senators | 48c | 1,568$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.93 | 228 | 42.5%97 W · 131 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Avalanche | 72c | 1,411$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.59 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…22f6backed Senators | 49c | 1,150$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.5 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Avalanche | 51c | 1,100$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.87 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Senators | 49c | 1,005$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.44 | 245 | 46.1%113 W · 132 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Senators | 49c | 999.88$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.07 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Avalanche | 51c | 714.37$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.04 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Avalanche | 51c | 599.95$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.98 | 253 | 40.7%103 W · 150 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99cf…a86abacked Senators | 17c | 557.38$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.75 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Avalanche | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 129 | 55.8%72 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Senators | 50c | 444$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Avalanche | 78c | 435.71$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.71 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf98c…bf06backed Senators | 48c | 384.67$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.64 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc8…a401backed Avalanche | 53c | 380.97$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8d…7e4fbacked Avalanche | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa1…fd2dbacked Avalanche | 53c | 377$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.19 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Avalanche | 62c | 366.32$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.2 | 323 | 31.3%101 W · 222 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Avalanche | 52c | 350$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169 | 212 | 55.7%118 W · 94 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Senators | 47c | 304.03$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.13 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x930d…1dd8backed Avalanche | 53c | 303$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.41 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e2…322bbacked Senators | 47c | 299.9$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.95 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Senators | 49c | 293.43$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.01 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Avalanche | 52c | 274.93$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.97 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e1…cc42backed Senators | 48c | 267.88$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.58 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7526…fb52backed Senators | 48c | 252.5$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.2 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ab…fc79backed Senators | 47c | 231.49$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.8 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f96…3839backed Avalanche | 54c | 220$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.2 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d44…b15ebacked Avalanche | 53c | 220$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.4 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Avalanche | 54c | 217.46$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.03 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe08e…9841backed Senators | 48c | 209.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.21per pick | 47cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x31d0…73cdbacked Senators | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb1…fd70backed Senators | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Avalanche | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb5…ebaebacked Senators | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Senators | 51c | 196.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf408…305fbacked Avalanche | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77b8…4a7fbacked Avalanche | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Avalanche | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac44…2468backed Avalanche | 54c | 182.98$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.17 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce19…08a6backed Avalanche | 54c | 179.85$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.73 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c72…80bbbacked Avalanche | 54c | 174.96$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.58 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83d8…9a77backed Senators | 15c | 170$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca6…b719backed Senators | 48c | 164.58$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x259a…70e8backed Avalanche | 54c | 162.81$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.89 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x850c…672ebacked Senators | 48c | 160.13$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.86 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf85…117bbacked Avalanche | 51c | 146.36$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.36 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03a5…ae2fbacked Senators | 48c | 145.83$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfed…9510backed Senators | 48c | 120.92$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.04 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x950d…d965backed Avalanche | 54c | 116.96$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.8 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf789…7702backed Avalanche | 54c | 116.83$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.16 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71b7…958dbacked Avalanche | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…4e59backed Avalanche | 54c | 113.46$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.19 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Avalanche | 50c | 110$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Avalanche | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd7…3fa5backed Avalanche | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Avalanche | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Avalanche | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb123…0a15backed Senators | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b72…9a29backed Senators | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Avalanche | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Avalanche | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3a…159bbacked Avalanche | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99e5…f14dbacked Senators | 48c | 93.35$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.81 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 62cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Avalanche | 54c | 92.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.62 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…d471backed Senators | 48c | 91.94$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.13 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed Avalanche | 51c | 89.52$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.86 | 731 | 57.5%420 W · 311 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x706d…0f3cbacked Senators | 48c | 86.31$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.43 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Avalanche | 51c | 80.01$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.47 | 284 | 40.1%114 W · 170 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf04f…a8c4backed Senators | 48c | 72$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.29 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f6…d17dbacked Avalanche | 53c | 70.28$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.03 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Avalanche | 66c | 68.49$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 979 | 55.5%543 W · 436 L | +21.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Senators | 17c | 67.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda8a…9c0cbacked Senators | 48c | 65.13$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.26 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…5025backed Avalanche | 51c | 65$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.85 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…e041backed Senators | 48c | 57.69$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.69 | 124 | 62.9%78 W · 46 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…f2afbacked Avalanche | 52c | 57.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.68 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x368c…b415backed Senators | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…be07backed Avalanche | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc696…e69fbacked Senators | 49c | 48.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Senators | 48c | 48.75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 297 | 48.8%145 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Avalanche | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf112…6bdabacked Avalanche | 53c | 44.91$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.11 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc31d…93f4backed Senators | 49c | 43.31$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.22 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6540…d055backed Avalanche | 52c | 42.98$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.63 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a97…5d56backed Avalanche | 54c | 41.85$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d02…d6f4backed Senators | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8807…1ea8backed Senators | 48c | 40.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 57cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Senators | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2388…a491backed Senators | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -52%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3a…b6afbacked Senators | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f4…0336backed Avalanche | 52c | 40.38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.