Premier League · resolved market
Will Brentford win on 2024-11-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94febbe62e24627c5378522b13ee44f5b30b33ac75ec6f7e90fb0ac2be1eb61d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,780
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,233
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,780 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3fa3…dc66backed No | 33c | 3,000$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.99 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664e…340abacked Yes | 38c | 2,343$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,447.26 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.39per pick | 33cpaid | +151.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x95cc…7f08backed No | 62c | 2,303$1,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,418.56 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 59c | 2,066$1,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,212.45 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed No | 61c | 2,025$1,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,234.97 | 146 | 59.6%87 W · 59 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc0…53ddbacked Yes | 39c | 1,974$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204.36 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Yes | 42c | 1,667$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.67 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 13c | 1,457$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.58 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fde…ed39backed Yes | 39c | 1,289$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.95 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x306b…3ec5backed No | 65c | 1,185$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.53 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca95…fc40backed No | 62c | 1,086$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.25 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 39c | 1,073$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.95 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 38c | 973.68$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.68 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed No | 61c | 820$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.2 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Yes | 75c | 784.97$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.24 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Yes | 38c | 679.04$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421 | 155 | 54.8%85 W · 70 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 61c | 672.98$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.72 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d5…124bbacked No | 62c | 600$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56de…bc32backed Yes | 37c | 599.98$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.99 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 65c | 407.64$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.88 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…8d6fbacked No | 63c | 400$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -14.7wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 38c | 395.53$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.53 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95cd…32d0backed No | 61c | 385.92$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.77 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +10.6wins | +0.19per pick | 35cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x05ad…72d7backed Yes | 39c | 333.94$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.7 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…756abacked Yes | 32c | 325.91$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.92 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +6.0wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +97.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x48b5…10aebacked Yes | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x687f…b05fbacked No | 54c | 227.35$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d2…f555backed No | 63c | 222$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.86 | 182 | 60.4%110 W · 72 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07f6…2ed5backed Yes | 23c | 218.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.7 | 78 | 25.6%20 W · 58 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 65c | 218.69$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.54 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0129…53cebacked Yes | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.26 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Yes | 62c | 198.98$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.13 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef04…88c3backed No | 62c | 163$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.06 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed No | 57c | 153.74$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.63 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 32c | 142$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.86 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdc30…b440backed Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes | 39c | 127.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.65 | 156 | 36.5%57 W · 99 L | -11.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad9…ee23backed Yes | 67c | 115.82$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4329…b63bbacked No | 60c | 105.76$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa610…0461backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae7f…44afbacked Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc12…1e02backed Yes | 38c | 90.03$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b55…1438backed Yes | 67c | 87.87$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…45d5backed Yes | 37c | 81.58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.58 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4630…a058backed No | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0d…077dbacked Yes | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde5a…4db5backed Yes | 40c | 74.73$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.84 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23a6…9347backed Yes | 42c | 73.71$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.75 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +148.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 69c | 60$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebc5…f3e4backed Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 52cpaid | +84.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9311…dad6backed Yes | 43c | 51.7$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +101%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 342 | 51.8%177 W · 165 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 63c | 47.81$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.47 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x602c…7da0backed No | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed2…e7ccbacked No | 63c | 45.29$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc31d…93f4backed Yes | 39c | 45.1$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.51 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +27%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ed…f36abacked Yes | 37c | 41.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…b857backed Yes | 80c | 39$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9cd…e459backed Yes | 43c | 38.6$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked No | 61c | 38.56$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fe…2835backed Yes | 38c | 35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc7…9e98backed Yes | 43c | 27.21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c39…fc6bbacked No | 63c | 26.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50d2…0d35backed Yes | 39c | 26.33$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.06 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0476…5794backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Brentford win on 2024-11-09?this page
- Will Bournemouth win on 2024-11-09?No won
- Will Brentford vs. Bournemouth end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.