Premier League · resolved market
Will Bournemouth win on 2024-11-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b4fe7706b1c66ef2095894c944fd920e39fc0099f5ce6847e40c2b029b2e11a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,777
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,958
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,777 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee5f…9a8bbacked No | 66c | 10,000$6,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,450 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes | 34c | 8,980$3,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,097.83 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa3…dc66backed Yes | 33c | 3,000$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 66c | 2,928$1,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982.87 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Yes | 37c | 2,026$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed No | 62c | 1,215$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.5 | 146 | 59.6%87 W · 59 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 60c | 1,073$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.9 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 38c | 1,066$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.71 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0129…53cebacked Yes | 42c | 700$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed No | 66c | 506.51$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.81 | 155 | 54.8%85 W · 70 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50ef…3abdbacked Yes | 40c | 503.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d5…124bbacked No | 64c | 309$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.24 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb5…98f8backed Yes | 34c | 308.73$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.97 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed No | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1d…b57fbacked No | 65c | 210.09$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.53 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 63c | 204.76$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.76 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked No | 63c | 181.25$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.06 | 179 | 45.8%82 W · 97 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 41c | 181$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.15 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed No | 62c | 166.69$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.34 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe68c…23cebacked Yes | 34c | 143.32$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d7…8adcbacked Yes | 37c | 142$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a3…07c2backed No | 66c | 141.55$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95cc…7f08backed Yes | 35c | 110.09$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.53 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc31d…bef2backed Yes | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…d68fbacked Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05b0…955ebacked Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 182 | 32.4%59 W · 123 L | -15.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e01…3312backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -71%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked No | 63c | 91.6$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.26 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46ee…eb1ebacked Yes | 37c | 90$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…a171backed Yes | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd7…c1f3backed No | 64c | 80$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -5.7wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -33%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd1…7918backed No | 64c | 75.5$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.18 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44d3…9a80backed Yes | 43c | 70.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Yes | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed No | 59c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a97…0fc7backed No | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfb…5ce8backed Yes | 38c | 45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8d…da4fbacked Yes | 38c | 44.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b8…a992backed No | 65c | 44.42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.55 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78ea…bf18backed Yes | 36c | 42.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6540…d055backed No | 66c | 41.59$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.14 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +34%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4329…b63bbacked Yes | 42c | 38.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…f6febacked Yes | 34c | 34.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb26f…78f4backed Yes | 38c | 34.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8efe…6933backed Yes | 38c | 31.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x251e…d015backed No | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb3…c1d4backed Yes | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a8…6b00backed Yes | 37c | 28.24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4f…5241backed No | 65c | 21.91$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3978…2f24backed No | 59c | 18.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.61 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bournemouth win on 2024-11-09?this page
- Will Brentford vs. Bournemouth end in a draw?No won
- Will Brentford win on 2024-11-09?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.