Euroleague · resolved market
Shenzhen Leopards vs. Shanxi Loongs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa18ed375c436a6fd48c9797b9724a0f4372ca38c9020a39e2a7724bfed045ffd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shenzhen Leopardsof Shenzhen Leopards, Shanxi Loongs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,007
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,215
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,007 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Shenzhen Leopards | 64c | 2,433$1,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.24 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc31d…93f4backed Shenzhen Leopards | 68c | 1,545$1,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08f1…8f37backed Shanxi Loongs | 32c | 1,543$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300c…7708backed Shanxi Loongs | 33c | 1,467$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Shanxi Loongs | 36c | 1,389$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.03 | 162 | 35.2%57 W · 105 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9edc…b088backed Shanxi Loongs | 34c | 1,262$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.35 | 118 | 35.6%42 W · 76 L | +10.8wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +27%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Shanxi Loongs | 35c | 1,177$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.15 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Shenzhen Leopards | 64c | 1,094$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.75 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Shenzhen Leopards | 67c | 746.27$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.27 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e5…5a2cbacked Shenzhen Leopards | 67c | 589.98$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.65 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Shenzhen Leopards | 71c | 580.43$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.94 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Shanxi Loongs | 36c | 520$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.2 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Shenzhen Leopards | 66c | 499.01$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.66 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Shanxi Loongs | 32c | 336$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.52 | 316 | 51.6%163 W · 153 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1850…8903backed Shenzhen Leopards | 63c | 328.57$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Shanxi Loongs | 33c | 302$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.66 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Shanxi Loongs | 22c | 229.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Shenzhen Leopards | 61c | 165.2$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.43 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Shenzhen Leopards | 62c | 153.58$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.63 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Shanxi Loongs | 39c | 143$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.77 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Shanxi Loongs | 40c | 104.49$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c3c…0696backed Shenzhen Leopards | 80c | 97$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Shanxi Loongs | 20c | 93.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 159 | 8.2%13 W · 146 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…4432backed Shenzhen Leopards | 64c | 90$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Shenzhen Leopards | 78c | 89$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Shanxi Loongs | 33c | 83$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d0…c927backed Shenzhen Leopards | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -4.9wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc8…4d6fbacked Shanxi Loongs | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Shanxi Loongs | 34c | 59.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Shanxi Loongs | 35c | 57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x98df…41b7backed Shanxi Loongs | 35c | 56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Shanxi Loongs | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 273 | 38.1%104 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Shenzhen Leopards | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Shanxi Loongs | 37c | 39.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 85 | 34.1%29 W · 56 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Shenzhen Leopards | 65c | 38.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6580…6fa8backed Shenzhen Leopards | 66c | 32.06$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Shanxi Loongs | 34c | 30.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Shenzhen Leopards | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Shenzhen Leopards | 64c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.