Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will SC Heerenveen win on 2025-11-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x54143dfa3500bf9f12fcbfe7bccd5515894588308ed64f5b32975e19dec4f5ca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,091
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $88,179
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,091 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 24c | 30,000$7,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,200 | 362 | 43.1%156 W · 206 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 79c | 17,253$13,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,537.55 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 76c | 10,932$8,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,648.43 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 6c | 7,110$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.83 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked No | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 71 | 7%5 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -89.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 23c | 2,279$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.62 | 293 | 57.3%168 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 60c | 2,115$1,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275.63 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc31d…93f4backed Yes | 34c | 1,627$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +121.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe01a…d527backed No | 66c | 1,623$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Yes | 43c | 1,605$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.84 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 76c | 1,488$1,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.14 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 76c | 948.56$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.35 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed No | 24c | 777$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.48 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe930…b44dbacked Yes | 43c | 705.2$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.2 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 34c | 691.65$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.86 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0501…7f87backed No | 12c | 670$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…69ebbacked No | 20c | 499.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.95 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | +6.8wins | +0.12per pick | 16cpaid | +78.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x81d8…2b8dbacked No | 23c | 453.56$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.79 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…c123backed Yes | 41c | 289.38$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.38 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 10c | 266.41$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.89 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 34c | 173.88$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.76 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb531…b230backed Yes | 39c | 154.52$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 64c | 124.89$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.93 | 250 | 46.8%117 W · 133 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 66c | 120$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8993…222dbacked Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…4d9abacked Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…8502backed No | 16c | 111.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc22c…bfc7backed Yes | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.11 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 44c | 111$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.16 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Yes | 38c | 52.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 91 | 20.9%19 W · 72 L | -11.0wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 67c | 52$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.84 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…d24cbacked Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed No | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb375…59d6backed Yes | 35c | 30.59$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x109f…1691backed Yes | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc8…58e2backed Yes | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed68…3555backed Yes | 68c | 17.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…ca52backed No | 70c | 16.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 65cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SC Heerenveen win on 2025-11-23?this page
- Will AZ win on 2025-11-23?No won
- Will SC Heerenveen vs. AZ end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.