Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will AZ win on 2025-11-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x179ba259a8588bb2eef9260180fbe425ae5163faca1ffc34366d34682cbffc5b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,281
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $84,818
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,281 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 45c | 15,000$6,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,750 | 362 | 43.1%156 W · 206 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 55c | 14,952$8,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,728.07 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 2c | 13,242$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.91 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 57c | 12,965$7,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,549.98 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 42c | 11,495$4,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,797.92 | 297 | 42.8%127 W · 170 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 43c | 10,379$4,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,438.6 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 60c | 4,132$2,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,652.74 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +5.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd2…b035backed Yes | 1c | 3,584$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.39 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -93.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 71c | 3,451$2,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.94 | 293 | 57.3%168 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 71c | 2,678$1,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.81 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Yes | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 39c | 999.98$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.99 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96a4…12e2backed Yes | 40c | 638.58$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9769…7cd7backed Yes | 36c | 577.65$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.41 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.19per pick | 35cpaid | -69%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…69ebbacked Yes | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | +6.8wins | +0.12per pick | 16cpaid | +78.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc22c…bfc7backed Yes | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 36c | 487.42$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.33 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 57c | 461$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.23 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39a2…a471backed Yes | 16c | 450$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 61c | 408.97$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.5 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked No | 58c | 382.57$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.96 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 58c | 302.63$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.92 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed Yes | 41c | 299.99$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes | 6c | 290$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x347c…525abacked Yes | 44c | 279.93$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.97 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked No | 62c | 256.55$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.55 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb93b…454bbacked Yes | 39c | 238.46$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 60c | 237.63$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.95 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…b1b1backed Yes | 39c | 230.77$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 5c | 225$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 242 | 42.1%102 W · 140 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 60c | 201.41$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.2 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2011…f296backed No | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Yes | 42c | 161.9$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -5.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb14…0da7backed Yes | 10c | 154.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc2…d923backed No | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…3ce1backed No | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 141 | 37.6%53 W · 88 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 328 | 35.4%116 W · 212 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 64c | 124.94$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.53 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…6c3fbacked Yes | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada6…5f4dbacked Yes | 17c | 116.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9083…622ebacked Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x711d…4e8dbacked Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…9a7dbacked Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked No | 59c | 94.92$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.92 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Yes | 37c | 94.18$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.84 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…598dbacked No | 59c | 81$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.21 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 125 | 30.4%38 W · 87 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x109f…1691backed Yes | 19c | 70$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…ca64backed Yes | 34c | 67.65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e80…ee89backed Yes | 39c | 61.54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x438c…481abacked Yes | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf09d…115fbacked Yes | 36c | 57.89$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.84 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9e…4580backed Yes | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x638b…dec6backed Yes | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2412…b5a1backed No | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Yes | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…a271backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ba…b18bbacked Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 56c | 45.2$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x796a…b0a4backed Yes | 40c | 43.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d40…f95abacked Yes | 42c | 31.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed No | 63c | 31.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…ca52backed Yes | 46c | 30.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 65cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d4…ef77backed Yes | 42c | 28.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed No | 59c | 28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfab1…4e6cbacked Yes | 42c | 26.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e8…a236backed Yes | 43c | 25.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AZ win on 2025-11-23?this page
- Will SC Heerenveen vs. AZ end in a draw?No won
- Will SC Heerenveen win on 2025-11-23?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.