NHL · resolved market
Senators vs. Lightning
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x260eab949d9b4ecf2e97b82b3d4452616714e0e6cf732e5ea9cd09c6c15b3188
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lightningof Senators, Lightning
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,303
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,276
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,303 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 207 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Senators | 15c | 6,140$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.41 | 323 | 31.3%101 W · 222 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49dd…2a32backed Lightning | 79c | 5,053$3,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.82 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +8.1wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcee5…73c6backed Senators | 41c | 4,000$1,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,640 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3df6…bb77backed Lightning | 59c | 4,000$2,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Senators | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 228 | 42.5%97 W · 131 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Lightning | 58c | 1,847$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.92 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb63d…9dd6backed Lightning | 59c | 1,202$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.82 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +5.0wins | +0.29per pick | 53cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xce13…a213backed Senators | 41c | 1,200$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Senators | 1c | 1,040$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 87 | 20.7%18 W · 69 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Senators | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Senators | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Lightning | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Lightning | 65c | 900.82$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.29 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Lightning | 59c | 890.83$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.24 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945e…2acabacked Lightning | 74c | 811.62$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.02 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Senators | 42c | 736.29$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.38 | 237 | 61.6%146 W · 91 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Lightning | 59c | 686.9$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.63 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Senators | 11c | 527.68$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.53 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Senators | 40c | 499.89$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.96 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Senators | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb174…d896backed Senators | 42c | 432.58$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2105…64adbacked Lightning | 59c | 429.52$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.52 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Senators | 40c | 340.41$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.17 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Lightning | 59c | 334.96$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.33 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Senators | 41c | 288.18$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.15 | 203 | 45.3%92 W · 111 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Senators | 42c | 285.72$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 154 | 56.5%87 W · 67 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Senators | 42c | 285.71$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 128 | 59.4%76 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Lightning | 59c | 285.36$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +11.1wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Senators | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Senators | 42c | 239.05$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x193d…2eb4backed Senators | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Lightning | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1d…0cbbbacked Lightning | 59c | 163$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dfe…9213backed Senators | 41c | 163$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf22a…1697backed Lightning | 59c | 149.99$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.08 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b1c…18e9backed Senators | 42c | 147.6$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.99 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ce…b4e3backed Senators | 43c | 138.61$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.46 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x950d…d965backed Senators | 42c | 135.37$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.21 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Lightning | 58c | 133.86$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.92 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7441…233cbacked Lightning | 59c | 131$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29fc…e36cbacked Senators | 41c | 131$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2a…0e15backed Senators | 41c | 121.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcef6…4641backed Senators | 41c | 121.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Senators | 42c | 120.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 285 | 42.1%120 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb869…c4c6backed Lightning | 77c | 119.99$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bca…16bfbacked Lightning | 60c | 116.67$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…aa79backed Senators | 41c | 116.64$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -8.5wins | -0.25per pick | 48cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…d96fbacked Senators | 42c | 114.43$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.06 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Lightning | 58c | 113.48$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.66 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce7…baa8backed Lightning | 59c | 111.32$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.64 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf3…c359backed Senators | 41c | 109.76$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f4…e5f6backed Lightning | 59c | 108$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.28 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2424…2751backed Lightning | 60c | 107.45$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.98 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb5…eb0abacked Lightning | 60c | 107.43$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.97 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc2…61d3backed Senators | 41c | 106.05$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.48 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Lightning | 58c | 106.05$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.54 | 137 | 56.2%77 W · 60 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Senators | 24c | 105.95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.43 | 724 | 48.3%350 W · 374 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x706d…0f3cbacked Senators | 42c | 105.86$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.46 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24e2…6c2ebacked Lightning | 59c | 105.42$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.22 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e87…a5b0backed Senators | 41c | 105.27$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.16 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.7wins | +0.19per pick | 49cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Lightning | 77c | 102.38$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.55 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…b190backed Lightning | 60c | 101.75$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.7 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1f…0227backed Lightning | 59c | 100.41$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.17 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Senators | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34e1…5392backed Senators | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe34…6839backed Lightning | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Lightning | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Lightning | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.75 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c3…1fb7backed Lightning | 59c | 99.85$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.94 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4e…510cbacked Lightning | 59c | 97.61$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.02 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8d…c769backed Lightning | 59c | 97.51$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.98 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5980…a3e6backed Senators | 41c | 95.81$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.28 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeba7…f213backed Lightning | 60c | 95.5$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.2 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x498f…7b7fbacked Senators | 15c | 94.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf112…6bdabacked Senators | 41c | 90.73$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…1282backed Lightning | 60c | 87.82$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.13 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b00…a87dbacked Lightning | 59c | 77.81$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33b…d2e8backed Senators | 42c | 76.88$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Lightning | 59c | 76.69$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.62 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x280e…a392backed Senators | 42c | 76.25$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62ab…fd2dbacked Senators | 42c | 74.69$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x789f…9a70backed Lightning | 59c | 74.42$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.51 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x349b…5a5bbacked Lightning | 59c | 74.05$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e42…37d4backed Lightning | 60c | 72.32$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.93 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13ac…6e6ebacked Senators | 42c | 71.31$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5d…06c8backed Senators | 42c | 70.34$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d8…9a77backed Lightning | 64c | 70.33$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.33 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd713…1bd2backed Lightning | 60c | 70.12$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…b387backed Lightning | 60c | 70$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e5…be51backed Lightning | 58c | 70$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd3…f11cbacked Senators | 42c | 66.35$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.03 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df7…94d6backed Lightning | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d3…2425backed Lightning | 59c | 60.98$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +84.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Senators | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 249 | 45.8%114 W · 135 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd216…d911backed Senators | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x235d…315dbacked Senators | 42c | 60.86$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.75 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Senators | 42c | 59.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Senators | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf78d…8e3ebacked Lightning | 59c | 59.32$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.32 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb1…dd7abacked Lightning | 59c | 59$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.