Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Twente '65 win on 2025-09-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5bc54ecf6e304c48a8f7a7a8fc75dbf8ffadded555e1c671ee0a407fedf2c137
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,145
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,243
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,145 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0ed2…e7ccbacked No | 33c | 1,530$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc31d…93f4backed Yes | 67c | 1,525$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +121.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe427…4c44backed Yes | 69c | 1,310$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.11 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 34c | 1,050$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357 | 126 | 13.5%17 W · 109 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Yes | 66c | 950$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed Yes | 64c | 629.69$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.69 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +44%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed No | 32c | 599.99$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 31c | 531.96$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.91 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98a2…033fbacked Yes | 69c | 400$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2729…ae49backed No | 30c | 385.18$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes | 63c | 384$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.08 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd687…c066backed No | 31c | 329.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 37c | 320$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.4 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 33c | 304.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed Yes | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 74cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked No | 33c | 244.28$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed No | 30c | 197.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 65c | 163.94$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.23 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06da…3181backed Yes | 70c | 158.57$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.57 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 67c | 150$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbea6…eab2backed Yes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 27c | 112.72$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.58 | 464 | 54.3%252 W · 212 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf36…94e8backed No | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 46cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf99d…f867backed Yes | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 34c | 99.92$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.84 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed No | 30c | 87.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36c8…6737backed Yes | 69c | 87.39$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 32c | 85.63$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.26 | 294 | 25.9%76 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c5…b378backed Yes | 68c | 73.01$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.01 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 65cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c3f…0e6bbacked No | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a44…3fd2backed Yes | 68c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 32c | 58.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 169 | 53.8%91 W · 78 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 69c | 57.71$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.71 | 327 | 39.4%129 W · 198 L | -22.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 35c | 57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 495 | 28.7%142 W · 353 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a0…63b2backed Yes | 70c | 52.86$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 72cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 31c | 50.72$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 275 | 42.5%117 W · 158 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Yes | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc4…a6a9backed Yes | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…9c02backed No | 31c | 49.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa131…aea2backed Yes | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…46e6backed Yes | 70c | 42.93$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6522…d2dcbacked Yes | 67c | 40.3$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1258…fe08backed Yes | 68c | 30.88$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb72e…7c3bbacked Yes | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…31a3backed Yes | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a2…7f83backed Yes | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Yes | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc48d…8a40backed Yes | 67c | 27.97$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…9ab4backed Yes | 68c | 21.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…a8bcbacked Yes | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 57c | 17.9$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9193…c86cbacked Yes | 69c | 17.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa346…baefbacked Yes | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Twente '65 win on 2025-09-26?this page
- Will FC Twente '65 vs. Fortuna Sittard end in a draw?No won
- Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2025-09-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.