NHL · resolved market
SHL: Brynaes vs. Vaexjoe
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd46919d8ade4e7d762a4bd8b125dae522be6a54a22167fef8b2794bc67ad53f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Brynaesof Brynaes, Vaexjoe
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,569
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,902
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,569 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe01a…d527backed Brynaes | 61c | 1,656$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.67 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc31d…93f4backed Vaexjoe | 39c | 1,654$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.06 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Brynaes | 60c | 555$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Brynaes | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Vaexjoe | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Vaexjoe | 39c | 271.6$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.69 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Vaexjoe | 40c | 220$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 492 | 49.6%244 W · 248 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…b79ebacked Brynaes | 59c | 176$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.16 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x086f…8bc3backed Vaexjoe | 38c | 101$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52bb…2b47backed Brynaes | 60c | 88$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Vaexjoe | 40c | 81$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 629 | 44%277 W · 352 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Brynaes | 65c | 70$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 182 | 62.1%113 W · 69 L | +15.6wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed Vaexjoe | 35c | 70$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Brynaes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 550 | 48.2%265 W · 285 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca4…0936backed Vaexjoe | 40c | 46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddf6…9bd5backed Vaexjoe | 41c | 36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Brynaes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6467…7cadbacked Brynaes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae69…0c24backed Vaexjoe | 41c | 31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…8f17backed Vaexjoe | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf9…142bbacked Vaexjoe | 41c | 28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Brynaes | 60c | 26.04$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cce…ebfebacked Vaexjoe | 41c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8358…956bbacked Vaexjoe | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.