MLB · resolved market
Mariners vs. Twins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x40f3bf0e84388d405f236c0eb6bcd72df155253bb15fc9dd6af7fe066d7b5f28
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marinersof Mariners, Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,217
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,752
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,217 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Twins | 49c | 6,159$3,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,028.98 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Twins | 24c | 2,946$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.56 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Twins | 47c | 2,880$1,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,346.13 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Twins | 27c | 2,505$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.17 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Mariners | 80c | 2,423$1,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.14 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Mariners | 51c | 2,353$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,153.14 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Mariners | 46c | 2,191$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,191.06 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Mariners | 58c | 2,072$1,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.1 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Twins | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Twins | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f50…8341backed Mariners | 49c | 2,000$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.91 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Twins | 49c | 1,979$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.5 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Twins | 51c | 1,890$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.9 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mariners | 49c | 1,759$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.17 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Mariners | 47c | 1,654$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.64 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Twins | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Mariners | 51c | 1,395$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.93 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa365…d26ebacked Mariners | 52c | 1,135$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.23 | 140 | 52.9%74 W · 66 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Twins | 51c | 1,104$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Mariners | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bff…e03abacked Twins | 51c | 919.46$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.77 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Mariners | 47c | 844.23$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.23 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Twins | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Mariners | 50c | 595.86$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.86 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Mariners | 45c | 568$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.06 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Twins | 50c | 541$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.99 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Mariners | 39c | 512.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.92 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Twins | 49c | 426.42$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.95 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc626…2beabacked Mariners | 50c | 396.66$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.66 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Mariners | 51c | 394.94$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.94 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Twins | 54c | 392.98$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4a…15c7backed Mariners | 49c | 334.41$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.55 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Twins | 48c | 320$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.76 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Mariners | 48c | 312.89$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.89 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Mariners | 46c | 304.22$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.22 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…c3a5backed Mariners | 50c | 234.06$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.03 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9171…a0c6backed Mariners | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…55a0backed Twins | 49c | 214.86$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.28 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -5.2wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2313…3ee6backed Mariners | 50c | 210$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Mariners | 49c | 205$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.55 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Twins | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Twins | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c7…2c25backed Mariners | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Twins | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Mariners | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked Twins | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -9.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Twins | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 170 | 37.6%64 W · 106 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Twins | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Twins | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c88…5685backed Mariners | 44c | 134.97$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.97 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Twins | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac46…ca4abacked Twins | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Mariners | 50c | 99.84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.92 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Mariners | 42c | 83.37$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.37 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed Mariners | 49c | 83.33$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9839…040ebacked Mariners | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 141 | 46.8%66 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Twins | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc458…b0e9backed Mariners | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Twins | 37c | 73.62$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.37 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91a2…1199backed Mariners | 50c | 70.96$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.48 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe10e…cfddbacked Twins | 17c | 70$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…0e11backed Twins | 47c | 62.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.55 | 429 | 55%236 W · 193 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x145d…1912backed Twins | 51c | 59.49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6f…482cbacked Mariners | 50c | 59$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6c…1dc7backed Mariners | 50c | 57.76$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe49d…8ea9backed Twins | 51c | 56.61$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Mariners | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 504 | 47.2%238 W · 266 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae00…5586backed Twins | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee6e…b859backed Mariners | 51c | 46.24$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfb…5ce8backed Twins | 52c | 46.09$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…f16bbacked Mariners | 50c | 45.46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.73 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f33…c1febacked Mariners | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80fc…c14fbacked Mariners | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ff1…4457backed Twins | 51c | 39.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Mariners | 48c | 36.43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.94 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc676…f35cbacked Mariners | 50c | 34.2$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Mariners | 49c | 32.65$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 375 | 52.5%197 W · 178 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d5…4d77backed Twins | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe23e…b336backed Twins | 51c | 31.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Twins | 47c | 30.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked Mariners | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…fbbcbacked Mariners | 50c | 25.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Twins | 55c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 209 | 54.5%114 W · 95 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…b03fbacked Mariners | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 150 | 80%120 W · 30 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…a9d7backed Mariners | 68c | 24.71$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.91 | 249 | 53%132 W · 117 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Mariners | 43c | 24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.73 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Mariners | 47c | 23.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.68 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeacf…ed1dbacked Twins | 51c | 23.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 108 | 53.7%58 W · 50 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…3601backed Mariners | 50c | 21.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.79 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1afa…7053backed Mariners | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.