TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-03-02?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$116,378
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$133,511

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,378 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 186 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x83d2…d196backed Yes37c19,719$7,294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,424.617753.2%41 W · 36 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed No61c17,122$10,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,444.3220545.4%93 W · 112 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes38c6,720$2,547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,172.6128242.2%119 W · 163 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No62c6,218$3,862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,862.072,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked Yes39c5,128$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,128.2117634.1%60 W · 116 L-13.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-15.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes57c4,087$2,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,738.2820646.1%95 W · 111 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No37c3,417$1,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,252.484,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x447f…4f2abacked No37c3,298$1,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,215.662339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-25.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5ff…d8afbacked Yes39c3,024$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,853.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+158.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No62c2,812$1,741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,740.921,00751.5%519 W · 488 L+4.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x036c…178dbacked No62c2,727$1,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,690.53740.5%15 W · 22 L-4.1wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-24.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xeb8b…6d8abacked Yes39c2,564$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,564.12433.3%8 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-39.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed No63c2,500$1,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5759272.8%67 W · 25 L+20.5wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+47.1%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked No2c2,276$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.871305.4%7 W · 123 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-38.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No61c2,076$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,260.462,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee6e…b859backed Yes38c1,690$642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,047.693100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+120.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xec4f…a9babacked No62c1,687$1,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,045.94540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-27.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6199…59f1backed Yes39c1,642$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,001.71475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+56.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed No47c1,595$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741.6246943.5%204 W · 265 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked No63c1,500$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94513662.5%85 W · 51 L+14.3wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+24.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes38c1,372$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$856.361,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes38c1,370$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$850.516232.1%52 W · 110 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+19.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes38c1,326$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$822.327742.9%33 W · 44 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes38c1,158$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$717.8449544.2%219 W · 276 L-20.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No63c1,100$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6951,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes39c1,026$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.6435134.8%122 W · 229 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ce0…2b8abacked Yes77c876.89$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.672846.4%13 W · 15 L-3.8wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-29.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes37c798$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.7485048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No62c773.3$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.9384549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed No62c773.25$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.4119253.1%102 W · 90 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No31c761.57$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.251,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Yes38c747.3$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.3330149.5%149 W · 152 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No63c717.69$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.2359445.5%270 W · 324 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8de5…2b04backed Yes39c700$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4276549.2%32 W · 33 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes39c692.31$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.3126344.9%118 W · 145 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed Yes44c685.23$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.239451.1%48 W · 46 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked No44c681.8$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.999344.1%41 W · 52 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8a0…92dfbacked Yes38c657.42$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.63132.3%10 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No63c651.32$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.331,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4844…32c9backed Yes38c649.44$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.447847.4%37 W · 41 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce6c…41b5backed Yes39c612.82$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.82666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+44%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No63c604.03$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.6175850%379 W · 379 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf24…15ecbacked No14c544.46$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.226650%33 W · 33 L+7.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+58.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd0c5…8c8abacked Yes39c516.23$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.912935.7%46 W · 83 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x15d7…a861backed Yes39c512.82$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.8212143%52 W · 69 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+18.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed No63c476.19$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30017053.5%91 W · 79 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No62c415$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.372249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes39c414.77$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.3116233.3%54 W · 108 L-14.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1fb5…cabdbacked Yes39c358.97$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.972665.4%17 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No38c340.86$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.8574156.8%421 W · 320 L+46.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes39c300$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18318124.9%45 W · 136 L-0.8wins0.00per pick25cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8544…3d33backed Yes68c294.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.783450%17 W · 17 L-4.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-23.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No33c270.54$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.5657150.4%288 W · 283 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x214d…f5aabacked Yes38c265.11$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.37757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+45.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x751d…9f55backed Yes38c263.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.161752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Yes38c263$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.0654128.3%153 W · 388 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Yes39c256.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.4112748.8%62 W · 65 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+22.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4414…c9ffbacked Yes39c238.87$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.323630.6%11 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5136…0c60backed Yes61c213.04$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.211258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26d3…8a20backed Yes52c207.48$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.891154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Yes35c200$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13019632.7%64 W · 132 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1f0…6fb4backed No63c200$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12611750.4%59 W · 58 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No62c180$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.651847.3%245 W · 273 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2683…2be7backed No40c168.9$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674438.6%17 W · 27 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yes62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.299654.2%52 W · 44 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc1b…3b5bbacked No63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004647.8%22 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fdc…2234backed Yes64c156.48$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.424445.5%20 W · 24 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3b9…4df2backed Yes33c151.52$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.521060%6 W · 4 L+2.9wins+0.29per pick31cpaid+125.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x11f0…890dbacked Yes38c150$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9318052.2%94 W · 86 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No63c150$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.583459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked No62c149.98$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.9911866.1%78 W · 40 L+13.0wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+21.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed No62c149.93$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.9639948.4%193 W · 206 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ff5…50eabacked Yes39c141.03$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.033327.3%9 W · 24 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick31cpaid+6.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x88ff…5102backed Yes38c138.25$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.065330.2%16 W · 37 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No63c135$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.0565557.7%378 W · 277 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x71f6…e115backed Yes38c131.58$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.586553.8%35 W · 30 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Yes70c129.76$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.3727141.7%113 W · 158 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes39c128.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.2132737.6%123 W · 204 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9963…32e4backed No63c123.6$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.871050%5 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98f5…b491backed Yes39c122$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.422100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+96.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed No62c120$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.820763.8%132 W · 75 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No63c115$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.4535157.8%203 W · 148 L+18.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No63c112$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.5629259.2%173 W · 119 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No61c110.41$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.525544.7%114 W · 141 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfabc…2134backed Yes75c102.96$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.74250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8549…41f8backed Yes33c100.53$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.5327227.9%76 W · 196 L-1.2wins0.00per pick28cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed No63c100$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6337554.9%206 W · 169 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x639f…6b8dbacked Yes39c100$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618336.1%30 W · 53 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4324146.1%111 W · 130 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3af5…caebbacked No62c100$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8207…7edbbacked Yes38c100$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628338.6%32 W · 51 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No60c93$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.791,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed No63c90$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.727354.9%150 W · 123 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed No63c90$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.732357.6%186 W · 137 L+17.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x595d…c131backed No46c88.13$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.42450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No62c87.67$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.431,61553%856 W · 759 L+33.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa7f…3223backed Yes38c86.16$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.426956.5%39 W · 30 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes58c79$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3411549.6%57 W · 58 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dcc…031ebacked No63c78.12$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.222552%13 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02d…16cabacked Yes39c76.92$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.9214043.6%61 W · 79 L-9.6wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.