Premier League · resolved market
Will Birmingham City FC vs. Middlesbrough FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x302283d2275e82d2d4555227088607ef659d4451e89ede15e0771a5e7a89a299
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,169
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,559
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,169 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 72c | 4,050$2,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.93 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…90eabacked Yes | 28c | 3,571$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 176 | 34.1%60 W · 116 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…2134backed Yes | 28c | 3,500$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 14c | 2,467$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.78 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed No | 73c | 2,130$1,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.14 | 157 | 57.3%90 W · 67 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 72c | 1,978$1,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.01 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 15c | 1,557$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.4 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 14c | 1,444$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.53 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8b…6d8abacked Yes | 28c | 1,429$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed No | 73c | 740.41$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.91 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79a4…3358backed Yes | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 73c | 662.07$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.81 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 15c | 656.67$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.69 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed No | 72c | 613.41$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.76 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Yes | 15c | 611.1$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.75 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Yes | 13c | 572.77$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.55 | 271 | 41.7%113 W · 158 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes | 28c | 549.5$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.86 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…32c9backed Yes | 10c | 499.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce6c…41b5backed Yes | 28c | 496.43$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +44%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa5…7cc9backed No | 73c | 413$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.51 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +6.8wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +62%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 72c | 400$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 399 | 48.4%193 W · 206 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 12c | 387.38$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.24 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 112 | 23.2%26 W · 86 L | -10.0wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb1…3272backed Yes | 28c | 285.71$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 72c | 250$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 594 | 45.5%270 W · 324 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4414…c9ffbacked Yes | 24c | 204.17$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 28c | 198.36$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.54 | 162 | 33.3%54 W · 108 L | -14.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed Yes | 27c | 186$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.22 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa69a…3360backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 23c | 174$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.02 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x447f…4f2abacked Yes | 8c | 168$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9963…32e4backed No | 73c | 124.6$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.64 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb72e…7c3bbacked Yes | 28c | 114.14$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.96 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 78c | 111.58$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.08 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x751d…9f55backed Yes | 27c | 103.7$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 272 | 27.9%76 W · 196 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc7…5536backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…9ac1backed Yes | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58e0…ebecbacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -18%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +28%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72b1…4f69backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…f632backed No | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 74c | 63$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 73c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 207 | 63.8%132 W · 75 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 72c | 59.46$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb9c…5a62backed Yes | 28c | 57.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdc…8e06backed Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1feb…5d9abacked Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 297 | 51.9%154 W · 143 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Yes | 25c | 46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 253 | 48.2%122 W · 131 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…f9c4backed Yes | 27c | 45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdaf…e58fbacked No | 73c | 44.25$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 27c | 42.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed No | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…9190backed No | 76c | 23.17$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.56 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0568…d5a7backed No | 74c | 21.88$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.79 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 270 | 51.5%139 W · 131 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed9d…444abacked No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed No | 72c | 16.66$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.66 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5043…979ebacked No | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Birmingham City FC vs. Middlesbrough FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Birmingham City FC win on 2026-03-02?No won
- Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-03-02?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.