Will Birmingham City FC win on 2026-03-02?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xecb75271d36442a8fe0be79bf094f28a65f715b088fa24d72853497ba484724b

Rebuilt 20 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 2, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $134,979
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $151,288

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $134,979 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Yes	2c	65,263$1,544 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,543.91	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xd425…603ebacked Yes	4c	5,085$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.96	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.17per pick	37cpaid	-59.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2dd2…b035backed Yes	0c	4,200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.3	56	14.3%8 W · 48 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No	65c	3,386$2,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,185.66	1,007	51.5%519 W · 488 L	+4.6wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf6de…95e8backed No	65c	2,916$1,895 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,020.59	45	48.9%22 W · 23 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	0%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Yes	25c	2,882$732 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$731.56	271	41.7%113 W · 158 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x170f…095bbacked Yes	3c	2,431$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.6wins	+0.27per pick	39cpaid	+91.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x447f…4f2abacked Yes	3c	1,986$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.34	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes	35c	1,396$485 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$485.18	2,550	47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L	+45.2wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50ec…c1f5backed No	66c	1,153$761 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$392.03	77	59.7%46 W · 31 L	-4.7wins	-0.06per pick	66cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes	35c	842.83$295 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$294.99	162	32.1%52 W · 110 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	+19.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes	35c	715.62$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250.47	108	38.9%42 W · 66 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes	37c	708.35$262 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$262.09	1,204	50.7%610 W · 594 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x595d…c131backed No	61c	516.48$314 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$202.77	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb8b…6d8abacked Yes	3c	441.18$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	24	33.3%8 W · 16 L	-1.8wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-39.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Yes	35c	400$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	399	48.4%193 W · 206 L	+9.1wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes	35c	395.99$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.6	1,283	48%616 W · 667 L	-5.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed No	66c	378.79$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128.79	263	44.9%118 W · 145 L	-10.9wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb023…f142backed No	65c	322.95$209 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$114.24	78	53.8%42 W · 36 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fcd…42f2backed No	65c	309.99$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110	41	70.7%29 W · 12 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	68cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes	34c	299$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.66	845	49%414 W · 431 L	-9.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa383…a2f0backed Yes	9c	274.14$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	220	40.5%89 W · 131 L	-9.7wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes	35c	265$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.73	282	42.2%119 W · 163 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9963…32e4backed Yes	35c	249.2$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.22	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes	34c	213.79$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.69	1,224	42.3%518 W · 706 L	-27.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x59dc…2a03backed Yes	19c	200$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.5	28	32.1%9 W · 19 L	-2.5wins	-0.09per pick	41cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf07…5129backed Yes	20c	194.2$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.79	50	22%11 W · 39 L	-3.8wins	-0.08per pick	30cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x457a…44debacked No	63c	158.73$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.73	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.36per pick	64cpaid	+55.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d8a…e03fbacked No	66c	134.35$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.68	48	64.6%31 W · 17 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	64cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes	30c	131.32$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.96	1,264	33.7%426 W · 838 L	+13.1wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4414…c9ffbacked Yes	35c	114.29$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	36	30.6%11 W · 25 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6e2…c751backed No	65c	99.98$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.99	52	63.5%33 W · 19 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	66cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7817…c596backed No	65c	99$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.65	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.07per pick	68cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa7f…3223backed Yes	36c	96.31$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.67	69	56.5%39 W · 30 L	+3.0wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No	76c	95.88$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.15	1,272	50.4%641 W · 631 L	-53.9wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No	70c	90.29$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27	364	62.9%229 W · 135 L	+32.1wins	+0.09per pick	54cpaid	+33.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x88ff…5102backed Yes	35c	79.84$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.14	53	30.2%16 W · 37 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed No	66c	75.76$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.76	289	50.9%147 W · 142 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f14…c845backed No	66c	75.76$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.76	65	50.8%33 W · 32 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed No	65c	60$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.3	207	63.8%132 W · 75 L	+5.8wins	+0.03per pick	61cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe324…9189backed Yes	35c	57.14$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	26	42.3%11 W · 15 L	-1.3wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa469…4985backed Yes	35c	57.14$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	106	47.2%50 W · 56 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22ed…d9d0backed Yes	35c	57.14$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.35per pick	35cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86a8…fe31backed Yes	36c	55.56$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.36per pick	36cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes	34c	53.84$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.3	964	43.7%421 W · 543 L	-10.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d19…bf25backed Yes	28c	53.82$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	75	38.7%29 W · 46 L	-7.8wins	-0.10per pick	49cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No	65c	50.36$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.7	594	45.5%270 W · 324 L	-15.8wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb9c…5a62backed Yes	35c	45.71$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	33	48.5%16 W · 17 L	+1.4wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked No	66c	45.45$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.45	243	49%119 W · 124 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6398…0485backed No	66c	44.79$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.23	14	78.6%11 W · 3 L	+3.0wins	+0.21per pick	57cpaid	+38.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x75e2…2ed0backed No	66c	44.24$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.04	73	65.8%48 W · 25 L	+4.2wins	+0.06per pick	60cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3fee…842bbacked Yes	36c	44.03$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.85	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x96d7…0e9fbacked Yes	38c	39.74$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xbdaf…e58fbacked No	66c	38.18$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.98	32	56.3%18 W · 14 L	-1.6wins	-0.05per pick	61cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes	34c	38.04$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.93	809	53.6%434 W · 375 L	+11.8wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes	39c	34$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.26	1,662	34.9%580 W · 1,082 L	-32.0wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafcd…8014backed Yes	36c	32.25$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.61	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No	78c	32$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.04	451	42.6%192 W · 259 L	-4.4wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No	64c	31.71$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.42	850	48.4%411 W · 439 L	+12.5wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xac3f…1966backed Yes	36c	31.25$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.25	72	52.8%38 W · 34 L	-3.5wins	-0.05per pick	58cpaid	-11%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe4d8…19c5backed No	66c	30$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.2	60	56.7%34 W · 26 L	-3.8wins	-0.06per pick	63cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes	35c	29.56$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.35	758	50%379 W · 379 L	+20.6wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc00c…ddc2backed No	66c	26.15$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.89	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No	67c	25$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.15	419	56.3%236 W · 183 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44b6…98b4backed No	80c	22.76$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.58	52	50%26 W · 26 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked No	76c	20$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.8	115	49.6%57 W · 58 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked No	76c	14$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.36	154	70.8%109 W · 45 L	+22.5wins	+0.15per pick	56cpaid	+29.2%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Birmingham City FC win on 2026-03-02?this page
Will Birmingham City FC vs. Middlesbrough FC end in a draw?No won
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-03-02?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Birmingham City FC win on 2026-03-02?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event