TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Fulham win on 2025-01-18?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$51,075
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$59,861

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,075 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes56c11,805$6,611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,194.214156.7%80 W · 61 L+0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked No44c10,803$4,753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,753.3340254.7%220 W · 182 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No47c7,131$3,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,349.9932037.2%119 W · 201 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37d8…b6ddbacked Yes56c3,593$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,593.4211548.7%56 W · 59 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1396…b149backed Yes56c3,401$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,501.792454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+17.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No47c3,000$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,409.9841437.9%157 W · 257 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71bc…28f4backed Yes47c2,000$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,060850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+13.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes53c1,855$983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87240640.9%166 W · 240 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd34b…0004backed No45c1,613$726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$725.771250%6 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+80.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc745…9499backed Yes56c1,091$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.8211638.8%45 W · 71 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed No38c1,016$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.1537841.8%158 W · 220 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91c0…846cbacked Yes53c930.51$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.871637.5%6 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0ff…ca90backed No47c700$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32921353.1%113 W · 100 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30b9…9b83backed No53c690$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.71040%4 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7eaf…e782backed Yes59c661.99$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.14944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7dc…9908backed Yes55c644.34$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.348937.1%33 W · 56 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-19.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2fd3…7214backed No53c500$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-38.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed No53c477.3$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.6737652.4%197 W · 179 L+27.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5eae…f263backed Yes53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.369037.8%34 W · 56 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x79e8…6ef1backed Yes55c350$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39eb…7240backed No45c350$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No45c333$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.8583459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed No47c288.6$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13524044.2%106 W · 134 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f47…0043backed Yes55c223.69$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.662045%9 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No46c208.98$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.2960557.5%348 W · 257 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x034b…8bc0backed No46c182$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.722937.9%11 W · 18 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-23.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3025…fccdbacked Yes55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.824940.8%20 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+17.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4b1…34dabacked Yes55c167.51$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.38742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-22%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No37c165.66$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.6238645.3%175 W · 211 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No45c158.69$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.4156158.6%329 W · 232 L+29.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5ce2…060bbacked No47c150.49$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick54cpaid-70.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked Yes53c139.63$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.6326054.2%141 W · 119 L+1.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…12ddbacked No47c126.83$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.06366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe980…75e1backed No47c104.17$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.962352.2%12 W · 11 L-3.9wins-0.17per pick69cpaid-25.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Yes53c103.71$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.6440135.2%141 W · 260 L-0.7wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a2a…9146backed Yes46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+41.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf22a…1697backed No46c99.99$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.534645.7%21 W · 25 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a78…8ed1backed Yes53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.341662.5%10 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.19per pick44cpaid+38.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaaba…819cbacked Yes56c92.32$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.62475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+16.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x362c…ac6ebacked Yes54c91.36$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.669348.4%45 W · 48 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2708…a502backed No47c89.55$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.0930%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x05fe…022ebacked Yes56c80.36$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.36250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x581d…24c3backed Yes45c80$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44875%6 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+92.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed No51c79.69$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.8934251.8%177 W · 165 L+21.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xec89…3286backed Yes51c78.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.4317146.8%80 W · 91 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6218…36e8backed Yes54c73.4$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.4757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2580…2986backed Yes49c67.35$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.35366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+17%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes55c63.68$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.3415636.5%57 W · 99 L-11.7wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No45c62.08$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1559958.9%353 W · 246 L+26.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4fca…4657backed Yes50c59.54$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.542450%12 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a06…d20ebacked Yes55c54.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.555541.8%23 W · 32 L-9.4wins-0.17per pick59cpaid-31%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x1413…4bddbacked Yes53c51.15$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.1520059.5%119 W · 81 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd83b…8345backed Yes55c50.04$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.52250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b60…4007backed Yes51c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.51471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+14.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x576b…280dbacked No48c49.75$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.88250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee6e…b859backed Yes53c49.66$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.343100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+120.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5802…c68bbacked Yes54c46.37$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.333100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+52.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5082…f514backed No51c43.68$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3103…0b8fbacked Yes54c43.05$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.83100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+51.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fa8…4f9bbacked No46c43.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.830%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x85aa…b0afbacked No46c43.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.81250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d32…ce7dbacked Yes54c42.34$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.472100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+63%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5dd6…0c2dbacked No46c42.34$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4730%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7461…8668backed Yes54c42.09$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.36366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22a6…38c0backed Yes52c42$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.162835.7%10 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd981…bae7backed Yes54c41.96$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc06c…2f6ebacked Yes52c41.76$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e61…a21fbacked No48c41.76$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0420%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xda2c…f6e9backed Yes49c40.52$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7101…33b1backed No51c40.52$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e61…8ba9backed Yes53c40.39$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.982100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+60.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd580…4263backed No46c39.85$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaca7…63a7backed No48c39.77$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.09250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd26…9cffbacked Yes52c39.77$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x246d…1c6dbacked No51c37.64$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6ac…0973backed Yes54c36.92$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.99450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3a3…7838backed Yes54c36.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.951450%7 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f58…2b48backed Yes55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.361241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-32.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf955…ec13backed No46c36.33$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.71250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c05…fc5ebacked Yes56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.713545.7%16 W · 19 L-4.5wins-0.13per pick59cpaid-20.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x448d…255abacked Yes52c35.66$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7bc…a3bbbacked Yes53c34.7$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ce6…ff66backed No46c33.88$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5920%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa0a…8ca5backed Yes53c33.83$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-32%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe455…05cabacked Yes55c33.37$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.022100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+63.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c3a…bfdbbacked No45c33.37$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1df…6122backed No45c33.31$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bbe…6f33backed Yes53c33.08$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.543100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+58.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd7cd…9973backed No46c32.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157536%27 W · 48 L-9.9wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-31.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x98ca…a638backed No48c32.17$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.44250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-30.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7638…00d9backed No46c32.13$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbad5…386bbacked Yes54c32.13$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.78580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+29.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3aa…07f9backed No45c32.08$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.44633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-50.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb028…1085backed Yes54c32.06$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75fe…63cebacked No47c31.63$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50e9…1c5ebacked Yes53c31.06$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a0b…f974backed Yes53c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.11560%9 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x746f…2014backed Yes54c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.81070%7 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x66f0…6ad0backed Yes50c29.9$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2e5…f5d4backed No47c29.71$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.