TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Brentford win on 2025-02-21?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$121,212
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$152,280

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $121,212 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 203 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xacb4…7595backed No50c39,224$19,754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,754.175747.4%27 W · 30 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e5f…bf45backed Yes49c13,087$6,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,611.619235.9%33 W · 59 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Yes50c10,082$5,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,060.4112037.5%45 W · 75 L-15.8wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-30.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb0e0…68a8backed Yes49c8,076$3,957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,118.584339.5%17 W · 26 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid+1.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed No23c3,691$852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851.7114732.7%48 W · 99 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-44%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No51c3,021$1,541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,540.7132037.2%119 W · 201 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe85e…2aebbacked Yes50c2,200$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,100955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+20%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No50c2,070$1,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,035.0579650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x037e…e009backed Yes71c2,063$1,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.18580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+27.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Yes48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,04040046%184 W · 216 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Yes50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0001968.4%13 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x821a…4920backed Yes49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.992100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+82.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x297e…0bf9backed No50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.89475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+81.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8773…302fbacked Yes50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.893256.3%18 W · 14 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+16.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x00db…80dabacked Yes50c1,321$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No51c1,226$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624.6190751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed No38c1,197$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.187458.1%43 W · 31 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd47…8277backed Yes50c1,005$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.399949.5%49 W · 50 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50044939.6%178 W · 271 L+1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d7a…15b5backed Yes50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5004139%16 W · 25 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+20.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed No51c999.98$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.9934643.9%152 W · 194 L-14.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes50c888$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44418433.7%62 W · 122 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x678c…3c02backed Yes50c610$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3051136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes50c603.94$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.9432737.6%123 W · 204 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x976d…54c6backed Yes50c596.04$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.02333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Yes50c595.24$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.628045%36 W · 44 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No51c588$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.8883459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x920d…38adbacked Yes50c550.44$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.222138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Yes49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25521153.1%112 W · 99 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed No50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25016660.8%101 W · 65 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25eb…8ce7backed Yes47c484$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.5217447.7%83 W · 91 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked No51c482.92$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.2513547.4%64 W · 71 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8769…48ecbacked Yes50c407.34$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.674252.4%22 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed Yes50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20020447.1%96 W · 108 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed No51c399.99$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.9929751.9%154 W · 143 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3bb…ad38backed Yes48c371.65$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.264949%24 W · 25 L-4.6wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-16.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Yes49c318.98$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.686741.8%28 W · 39 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Yes47c305$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.4440135.2%141 W · 260 L-0.7wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Yes49c305$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.556737.3%25 W · 42 L-6.3wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-30.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x034b…8bc0backed No51c298.48$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.222937.9%11 W · 18 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-23.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc745…9499backed Yes50c270.28$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.1411638.8%45 W · 71 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x24cc…d737backed Yes49c261.2$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.211741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No50c225.43$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.481559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d1b…5adbbacked Yes47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.779747.4%46 W · 51 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2e7…35b1backed Yes49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.086944.9%31 W · 38 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8bf…c049backed Yes50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1004346.5%20 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf25…224cbacked No51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1022040%8 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbddd…8559backed Yes50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+62.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd121…54c7backed Yes50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1006746.3%31 W · 36 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x49dc…9830backed Yes50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1005349.1%26 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5327…3b80backed Yes50c192.3$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.155740.4%23 W · 34 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x908d…b6aebacked Yes49c191.84$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.843754.1%20 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7127…8b72backed Yes47c189$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdd4…7696backed Yes50c183.92$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.9614643.2%63 W · 83 L-0.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1475…e632backed Yes50c163.7$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.85785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick63cpaid+36%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7311…6b60backed No53c151$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.03333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-53.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes78c150$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3328070%196 W · 84 L+49.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+54.1%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Yes50c150$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75850%4 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked Yes51c146.89$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.5826054.2%141 W · 119 L+1.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No49c145.04$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.0779639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf805…8adbbacked No53c137.19$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.71850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4424…88a8backed Yes50c134.6$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.3633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-43.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4345…77fabacked Yes65c131.72$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.63228.1%9 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-25.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3cbb…dff8backed Yes48c126.98$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.03850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04ef…c0f1backed Yes48c123.21$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.07580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+34.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xef48…3448backed No54c123$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b7b…f74ebacked No53c118$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.544456.8%25 W · 19 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x70d5…3f12backed Yes48c117.38$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.04366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+19.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc614…b14bbacked Yes52c115.77$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.545829.3%17 W · 41 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-38.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x470f…400fbacked No51c115$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1de8…4115backed Yes49c115$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.65366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+17%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf62d…d3a0backed Yes48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1712053.3%64 W · 56 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe121…9f3bbacked Yes48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.171233.3%4 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05ff…b701backed Yes49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.046544.6%29 W · 36 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7308…8058backed Yes49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.04366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+15.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7921…4f39backed Yes49c102.02$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.031526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-45.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked No50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014754.4%80 W · 67 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23be…da4fbacked Yes51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493828.9%11 W · 27 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaedb…3de3backed Yes50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501030%3 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2085…6307backed Yes51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+55.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x599d…f3cabacked Yes51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491030%3 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-49.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7425…4028backed Yes46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541957.9%11 W · 8 L+4.3wins+0.22per pick35cpaid+91.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Yes49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5114732%47 W · 100 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca65…3dbbbacked No30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30825%2 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-66.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9f10…bf5abacked Yes50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+44.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb42c…f70dbacked Yes50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501070%7 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.25per pick45cpaid+39.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No50c99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9965557.7%378 W · 277 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd88…1ca6backed Yes49c99$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.496854.4%37 W · 31 L-6.7wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-20.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0a3f…3aa3backed Yes49c93.88$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.88366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+27.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3785…5c5fbacked Yes48c83.33$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.33633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-39.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b50…6c55backed Yes49c80.12$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.865630.4%17 W · 39 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-3.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7be1…200ebacked Yes51c78.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.4311353.1%60 W · 53 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x221f…6be8backed Yes66c75.66$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.725536.4%20 W · 35 L-0.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1d4…2f06backed Yes47c63.83$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.831353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x550d…6e19backed Yes50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick42cpaid+72.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3762…778fbacked Yes47c59.13$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.342100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+95.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No51c57$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.071,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a09…8150backed Yes50c51.58$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.79333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9dd…6b64backed Yes49c51$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.01633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a0e…4dc6backed No55c50.91$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286167.2%41 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.