Premier League · resolved market
Will Leicester win on 2025-02-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x97bc7998b9a1b198d552b348a780940bf3c59367c69006ccc6094e6e8fe2139e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $78,753
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,950
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,753 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x20e8…b663backed No | 74c | 32,480$24,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,444.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63a4…b5dcbacked Yes | 26c | 18,500$4,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,810 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacb4…7595backed Yes | 26c | 17,160$4,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,457.84 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9056…df79backed Yes | 26c | 13,980$3,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,634.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 7c | 8,261$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed No | 74c | 8,067$5,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,097.3 | 146 | 59.6%87 W · 59 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 74c | 3,796$2,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.99 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 73c | 3,784$2,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.11 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Yes | 27c | 1,881$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.86 | 91 | 11%10 W · 81 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -46%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 27c | 1,854$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.62 | 320 | 37.2%119 W · 201 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked No | 74c | 1,184$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.84 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…d4dabacked Yes | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes | 27c | 988.89$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267 | 156 | 36.5%57 W · 99 L | -11.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4e…1370backed No | 74c | 900$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked No | 74c | 750$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 141 | 56.7%80 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x193d…2eb4backed Yes | 14c | 724.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7a…15b5backed Yes | 28c | 722.61$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.33 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 73c | 657.9$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.63 | 245 | 66.1%162 W · 83 L | +24.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1192…32ebbacked Yes | 26c | 625$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…1601backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 29c | 484.99$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.54 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25eb…8ce7backed No | 72c | 464$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.92 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 73c | 412$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.24 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x678c…3c02backed Yes | 26c | 400$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed No | 74c | 371.95$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.71 | 153 | 47.7%73 W · 80 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb686…513fbacked Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e95…89d2backed Yes | 26c | 355.05$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73cb…b0d0backed No | 74c | 350.9$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.23 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed No | 74c | 299.99$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4424…88a8backed Yes | 26c | 269.19$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aea…abf1backed No | 74c | 247.26$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked No | 75c | 230.9$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.72 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…b4b2backed No | 74c | 201.93$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.02 | 214 | 63.1%135 W · 79 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f1…c55ebacked Yes | 26c | 199.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…4374backed Yes | 27c | 178.78$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.27 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +379.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 27c | 170$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.1 | 157 | 26.8%42 W · 115 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked No | 74c | 131.2$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.11 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Yes | 9c | 130.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22f7…82f4backed Yes | 27c | 125.93$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc167…4056backed No | 74c | 125.14$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.54 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…8509backed No | 74c | 125$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 73c | 102.99$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.81 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7de4…6912backed No | 75c | 101.33$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0bc…d214backed No | 74c | 100.05$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56f3…2265backed Yes | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f10…6e12backed No | 74c | 86.07$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4345…77fabacked Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1577…3612backed Yes | 26c | 82.81$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.53 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76c2…7d9abacked No | 74c | 81.08$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d2…f555backed No | 74c | 75$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 182 | 60.4%110 W · 72 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…45ebbacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc294…6aa2backed No | 74c | 73.97$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc7e…4832backed No | 74c | 73.64$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b0…9da7backed Yes | 26c | 72.69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 42cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x416a…1712backed No | 74c | 71.97$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa303…6933backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6c…e44fbacked No | 73c | 67.98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30b9…dc4ebacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked No | 75c | 66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab4e…8622backed Yes | 27c | 60.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec9…8ef2backed Yes | 25c | 56.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc5…49afbacked No | 74c | 55.65$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4279…05cabacked Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…ebe9backed Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x807b…89b7backed Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31af…4d47backed No | 74c | 52.78$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad20…3b57backed No | 74c | 52.15$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +69%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 26c | 52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 196 | 32.7%64 W · 132 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7f…d498backed Yes | 27c | 40.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 27c | 40.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a1…ad7bbacked No | 74c | 34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2f…fcd1backed No | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbee4…caa5backed No | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf0…5c64backed No | 74c | 32.26$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 76cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49bc…86ebbacked No | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Leicester win on 2025-02-21?this page
- Will Brentford win on 2025-02-21?Yes won
- Will Leicester vs. Brentford end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.