Premier League · resolved market
Will Leicester vs. Brentford end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6972e7771000793cee71370b91c53fa881545a43b4a38093a59da33ffef1eaaf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,011
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,867
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,011 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8498…d219backed Yes | 26c | 1,939$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.9 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1872…ae0fbacked Yes | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 24c | 901.73$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.21 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed No | 74c | 888.35$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24cc…d737backed Yes | 5c | 883.2$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.52 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Yes | 2c | 827.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 147 | 32.7%48 W · 99 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed No | 74c | 726.1$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.79 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…1601backed Yes | 28c | 653.57$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd69a…81eabacked Yes | 27c | 560.04$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.71 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb8…2823backed No | 76c | 521.07$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5051…c3bbbacked No | 76c | 521.05$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 25c | 480$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x193d…2eb4backed Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0858…bde0backed Yes | 25c | 411.54$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f8b…822bbacked Yes | 25c | 410.31$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 74c | 404$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.04 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a66…fbf3backed Yes | 25c | 396.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25eb…8ce7backed No | 73c | 388$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.76 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 25c | 324.37$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.09 | 327 | 36.4%119 W · 208 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 73c | 296.72$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.11 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe860…cdaabacked No | 76c | 263.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.27 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ef…8ea9backed No | 76c | 263.18$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x002d…2bb4backed No | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Yes | 28c | 205$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.3 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9a…dcbebacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 150 | 25.3%38 W · 112 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 6c | 191.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…4374backed Yes | 26c | 185.62$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.26 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +379.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed Yes | 25c | 179.86$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.97 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked No | 75c | 179.86$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.96 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Yes | 7c | 171.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ec…dcc8backed Yes | 26c | 161.42$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.97 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 24c | 139.8$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.15 | 157 | 26.8%42 W · 115 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…0220backed Yes | 26c | 102$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 103 | 41.7%43 W · 60 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 74c | 101$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.26 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfba4…8964backed No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa954…bfdabacked Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed37…5849backed No | 76c | 92.11$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.11 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2fb…1187backed Yes | 25c | 92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd14f…d46dbacked Yes | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 54cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4279…05cabacked Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4b…2746backed Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked No | 75c | 57$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…c3f5backed No | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6956…c37fbacked No | 75c | 48$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06a…0fb2backed No | 76c | 47.37$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.37 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…a8f9backed Yes | 26c | 46.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 74c | 34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 655 | 57.7%378 W · 277 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Leicester vs. Brentford end in a draw?this page
- Will Brentford win on 2025-02-21?Yes won
- Will Leicester win on 2025-02-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.