NBA · resolved market
Bucks vs. Pacers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x008af4e889a49d8d0e20d79993b0419f79e7d802be2cbfd8ccc53c7bf718922c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pacersof Bucks, Pacers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,125,361
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,212,727
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,125,361 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 421 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8e0…1dd2backed Pacers | 62c | 119,987$73,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,133.21 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Pacers | 62c | 83,366$51,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,985.58 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93fc…34b6backed Bucks | 39c | 63,974$24,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,950 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Bucks | 6c | 56,521$3,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,179.88 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…3afabacked Bucks | 31c | 55,887$17,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,215.2 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Bucks | 38c | 54,868$20,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,646.3 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf55…eb6abacked Pacers | 63c | 49,350$31,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,259.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57bc…ec65backed Pacers | 63c | 48,780$30,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,048.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +140.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe841…d8a4backed Bucks | 37c | 45,560$16,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,857.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f97…555fbacked Bucks | 37c | 44,310$16,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,394.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x418e…481ebacked Bucks | 37c | 41,440$15,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,332.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e66…0401backed Bucks | 39c | 37,426$14,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,534 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc139…2fabbacked Pacers | 63c | 31,740$19,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,743.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Pacers | 72c | 30,000$21,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,400 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8b…f69dbacked Pacers | 63c | 25,950$16,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,601.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…d81bbacked Pacers | 62c | 25,807$16,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,733.61 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72f7…e10bbacked Bucks | 37c | 24,510$9,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,068.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Bucks | 37c | 21,694$8,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,022.75 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Bucks | 29c | 20,000$5,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,700 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Bucks | 15c | 19,642$2,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,929.63 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Bucks | 37c | 18,745$6,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,935.81 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Pacers | 72c | 18,660$13,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,261.6 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Bucks | 38c | 18,481$7,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,022.74 | 191 | 49.7%95 W · 96 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Bucks | 25c | 11,378$2,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,797.35 | 236 | 46.6%110 W · 126 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Bucks | 37c | 11,075$4,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,053.88 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Bucks | 0c | 10,000$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Bucks | 19c | 8,777$1,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,644.49 | 109 | 26.6%29 W · 80 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Bucks | 29c | 8,410$2,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,462.44 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b7e…ce6dbacked Pacers | 63c | 8,292$5,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,085.65 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Bucks | 37c | 7,985$2,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,957.76 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Bucks | 26c | 7,869$2,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,033.5 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa849…c825backed Bucks | 32c | 7,725$2,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,457.66 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Bucks | 25c | 7,530$1,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,847.94 | 129 | 38%49 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Pacers | 62c | 6,225$3,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,365.49 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7967…f4a0backed Bucks | 38c | 5,500$2,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,090 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Pacers | 77c | 5,495$4,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,252.06 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Pacers | 63c | 5,483$3,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,005.54 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Bucks | 39c | 5,427$2,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,116.39 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfaf…4513backed Bucks | 38c | 5,080$1,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,954 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Pacers | 61c | 5,015$3,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,955.67 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6790…5e06backed Pacers | 62c | 5,000$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,899.99 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Pacers | 79c | 4,712$3,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.81 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c70…232abacked Bucks | 39c | 4,506$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Pacers | 78c | 4,254$3,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.18 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68a1…303bbacked Bucks | 24c | 4,173$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Bucks | 30c | 4,085$1,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,246.02 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a27…b9ddbacked Pacers | 63c | 4,000$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,480 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2fd…b3cebacked Bucks | 37c | 3,977$1,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,471.49 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -44%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99cf…a86abacked Bucks | 16c | 3,957$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.09 | 140 | 34.3%48 W · 92 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Bucks | 15c | 3,886$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.05 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…e8f1backed Bucks | 36c | 3,674$1,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,333 | 248 | 31.9%79 W · 169 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…a89abacked Bucks | 39c | 3,077$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Pacers | 61c | 3,000$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Pacers | 69c | 2,912$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.6 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Pacers | 63c | 2,902$1,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.08 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2f…e5d7backed Bucks | 3c | 2,852$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Bucks | 14c | 2,825$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.44 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12bd…730dbacked Bucks | 38c | 2,632$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Pacers | 62c | 2,500$1,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a9a9backed Bucks | 39c | 2,419$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.58 | 348 | 52.3%182 W · 166 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…4347backed Pacers | 80c | 2,373$1,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.62 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Pacers | 62c | 2,328$1,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.82 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Pacers | 63c | 2,263$1,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.31 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Bucks | 38c | 2,252$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.05 | 144 | 34%49 W · 95 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad6f…2246backed Pacers | 62c | 2,061$1,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89ed…52d3backed Bucks | 38c | 2,050$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4447…a0e7backed Pacers | 75c | 2,030$1,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.17 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Bucks | 15c | 2,017$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Pacers | 63c | 2,000$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Pacers | 69c | 1,995$1,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.59 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Bucks | 1c | 1,946$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Pacers | 62c | 1,929$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.93 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Pacers | 63c | 1,860$1,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.8 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Bucks | 14c | 1,800$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fca…523abacked Bucks | 39c | 1,729$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7709…5852backed Bucks | 23c | 1,706$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 112 | 29.5%33 W · 79 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Bucks | 1c | 1,605$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 244 | 23.8%58 W · 186 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Bucks | 38c | 1,561$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.1 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Pacers | 78c | 1,500$1,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.19 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Bucks | 38c | 1,499$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.62 | 232 | 37.1%86 W · 146 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63d8…b86abacked Pacers | 63c | 1,493$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.37 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.25per pick | 52cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Pacers | 62c | 1,485$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.36 | 155 | 51%79 W · 76 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Bucks | 1c | 1,400$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f55…0f1bbacked Bucks | 39c | 1,314$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.38 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Bucks | 21c | 1,287$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.44 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…5eb9backed Bucks | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 68 | 73.5%50 W · 18 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…072dbacked Pacers | 80c | 1,262$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.76 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Pacers | 64c | 1,250$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Bucks | 24c | 1,221$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Bucks | 38c | 1,200$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf65…45d7backed Bucks | 1c | 1,130$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Bucks | 39c | 1,127$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.71 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f72…4d8ebacked Bucks | 1c | 1,100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Bucks | 37c | 1,080$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.6 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Bucks | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Bucks | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ff…805cbacked Bucks | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 428 | 27.3%117 W · 311 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Bucks | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 200 | 50.5%101 W · 99 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed Pacers | 63c | 1,000$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.96 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Pacers | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.