NHL · resolved market
Penguins vs. Rangers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d6fe56f5bcaa41b711b6a1ba51296af9b9c587ac79a2e069947b7ba3b0ff732
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Penguinsof Penguins, Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $625,018
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $614,446
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $625,018 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 309 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed Penguins | 33c | 217,771$71,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146,002.8 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Penguins | 33c | 76,934$25,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,624.04 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Rangers | 67c | 60,000$40,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,200 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Rangers | 67c | 58,716$39,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,340.05 | 167 | 43.1%72 W · 95 L | -12.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Rangers | 67c | 50,183$33,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,654.5 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Penguins | 38c | 46,742$17,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,818.39 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Rangers | 67c | 35,000$23,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,449.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96e1…50aabacked Penguins | 56c | 34,483$19,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,302.92 | 105 | 65.7%69 W · 36 L | +15.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Rangers | 47c | 28,697$13,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,470 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Rangers | 67c | 25,000$16,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,750 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -9.5wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Penguins | 32c | 24,898$7,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,930.94 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Penguins | 53c | 21,478$11,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,199.69 | 308 | 48.4%149 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Rangers | 34c | 17,480$5,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,943.2 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaefe…1e4abacked Rangers | 68c | 14,706$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 52cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Rangers | 60c | 12,924$7,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,735.09 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Rangers | 67c | 10,228$6,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,852.48 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Rangers | 68c | 8,992$6,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,088.65 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Rangers | 67c | 8,676$5,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,775.95 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Penguins | 68c | 8,625$5,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,757.94 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Rangers | 66c | 7,832$5,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,168.93 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc32e…a8b0backed Penguins | 34c | 7,800$2,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,148 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rangers | 67c | 6,000$4,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,020 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Penguins | 33c | 6,000$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,019.97 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1679…7823backed Penguins | 33c | 4,630$1,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,102.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Rangers | 67c | 4,575$3,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,055.64 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b2…0edebacked Rangers | 67c | 4,480$3,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,001.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8db1…1eeabacked Rangers | 67c | 4,290$2,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,871.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf19c…434bbacked Rangers | 67c | 4,280$2,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,867.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Rangers | 66c | 4,048$2,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,692.01 | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc264…2560backed Penguins | 33c | 3,939$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,638.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +157.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf40d…f922backed Rangers | 66c | 3,860$2,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,547.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Penguins | 38c | 3,721$1,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,303.36 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Rangers | 67c | 3,600$2,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,411.96 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b1…a75ebacked Penguins | 33c | 3,377$1,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,262.49 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb99…5d0fbacked Rangers | 45c | 3,336$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.42 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Penguins | 33c | 3,220$1,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,157.54 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9465…cfeebacked Penguins | 33c | 3,035$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,033.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Penguins | 34c | 3,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,980 | 351 | 54.1%190 W · 161 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Penguins | 36c | 3,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,919.97 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…93fcbacked Penguins | 33c | 3,000$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,009.69 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Rangers | 66c | 2,905$1,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,924.23 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Penguins | 33c | 2,897$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,940.99 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Rangers | 37c | 2,870$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.2 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Rangers | 68c | 2,840$1,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,931.2 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Rangers | 64c | 2,831$1,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,811.8 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x091e…e155backed Rangers | 67c | 2,540$1,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,701.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3a…64b7backed Rangers | 67c | 2,500$1,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,675 | 120 | 41.7%50 W · 70 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb9…ce7ebacked Penguins | 63c | 2,500$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed Rangers | 68c | 2,500$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Rangers | 66c | 2,500$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.99 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rangers | 67c | 2,382$1,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,584.79 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Rangers | 66c | 2,066$1,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,371.64 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Penguins | 73c | 2,031$1,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.06 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Rangers | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Penguins | 33c | 2,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340 | 254 | 46.5%118 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Penguins | 33c | 2,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,339.98 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Rangers | 65c | 1,946$1,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,268.54 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Rangers | 39c | 1,795$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +4.4wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +66%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x540c…a634backed Penguins | 34c | 1,765$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,164.71 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd724…b805backed Rangers | 36c | 1,748$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.28 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79d4…9dafbacked Penguins | 35c | 1,692$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,101.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Rangers | 67c | 1,692$1,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,127.74 | 378 | 47.4%179 W · 199 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee6e…b859backed Penguins | 37c | 1,613$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.19 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Penguins | 35c | 1,600$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +106.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf341…d026backed Penguins | 33c | 1,515$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.15 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.35per pick | 53cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x30ba…e054backed Penguins | 33c | 1,515$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b2…87afbacked Penguins | 33c | 1,514$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +93.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9b…1fb3backed Penguins | 33c | 1,510$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc5…63c0backed Rangers | 63c | 1,502$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.26 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0432…1660backed Rangers | 67c | 1,500$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.99 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Rangers | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.98 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69c6…5040backed Rangers | 67c | 1,494$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e94…a463backed Rangers | 67c | 1,492$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea9…e3c0backed Rangers | 66c | 1,485$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.11 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -23%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…228ebacked Rangers | 68c | 1,471$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked Penguins | 33c | 1,200$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ff…252ebacked Rangers | 67c | 1,200$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0944…6771backed Rangers | 67c | 1,142$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.14 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Rangers | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Penguins | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Rangers | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Rangers | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 353 | 49.6%175 W · 178 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3a…1440backed Rangers | 66c | 994.98$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.39 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Penguins | 32c | 990$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.2 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x043d…2807backed Penguins | 33c | 990$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.3 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Rangers | 67c | 886.93$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.24 | 154 | 48.1%74 W · 80 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rangers | 44c | 849.38$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.41 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9d9…e01fbacked Penguins | 33c | 800$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8655…39c0backed Rangers | 68c | 800$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Rangers | 8c | 766.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc4…9d6ebacked Penguins | 33c | 750$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58d8…d61fbacked Rangers | 68c | 735.29$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…3099backed Rangers | 68c | 735.29$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Rangers | 28c | 725.57$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Rangers | 37c | 662.14$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.99 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -19.2wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9f60…bbccbacked Rangers | 51c | 630.04$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Penguins | 33c | 614.95$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.02 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe341…2e5ebacked Penguins | 33c | 600$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +149.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Rangers | 39c | 583$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.37 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…28e2backed Penguins | 34c | 579.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.83 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.