NFL · resolved market
Jets vs. Cardinals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x125174db5a13ddf665c5844be06a2ef614a99b1a457a15826bf42614e4e03958
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cardinalsof Jets, Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $198,519
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $196,456
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $198,519 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 476 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Jets | 17c | 26,017$4,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,398.41 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Cardinals | 45c | 22,347$10,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,240.74 | 103 | 34%35 W · 68 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…c487backed Jets | 55c | 19,531$10,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,699.09 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -8.7wins | -0.19per pick | 54cpaid | -37%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Jets | 54c | 13,423$7,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,293.35 | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e9…af79backed Jets | 55c | 8,000$4,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,434.81 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.25per pick | 52cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xccf2…41b7backed Cardinals | 69c | 6,717$4,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,101.6 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Jets | 4c | 5,924$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.23 | 217 | 13.8%30 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Cardinals | 45c | 5,882$2,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,235.17 | 397 | 54.4%216 W · 181 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd6…27d3backed Jets | 15c | 4,358$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.08 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Cardinals | 67c | 4,228$2,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,392.68 | 144 | 57.6%83 W · 61 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…c5b2backed Jets | 53c | 2,913$1,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,545.2 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed4…366abacked Cardinals | 46c | 2,843$1,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,535.22 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 61cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fd…a7dabacked Cardinals | 46c | 2,826$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,526.09 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +39%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5368…9dd4backed Cardinals | 69c | 2,775$1,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.42 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked Cardinals | 55c | 2,556$1,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,138.44 | 137 | 51.8%71 W · 66 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Cardinals | 46c | 2,227$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197.67 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…dce5backed Cardinals | 45c | 2,084$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,143.99 | 273 | 39.2%107 W · 166 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49d3…ea4ebacked Jets | 1c | 2,009$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.09 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -84.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed Cardinals | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Jets | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 106 | 24.5%26 W · 80 L | -12.6wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Jets | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.97 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Cardinals | 47c | 1,827$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.81 | 239 | 37.7%90 W · 149 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…c7f9backed Jets | 18c | 1,777$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.86 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Cardinals | 45c | 1,618$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.17 | 251 | 37.5%94 W · 157 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e71…3838backed Jets | 5c | 1,450$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x986f…cac8backed Jets | 36c | 1,388$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84b0…4940backed Jets | 54c | 1,376$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.23per pick | 54cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac34…b0fcbacked Cardinals | 51c | 1,373$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.55 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb88…0e56backed Jets | 45c | 1,356$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.31 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1475…e632backed Cardinals | 55c | 1,222$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.99 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b9…cf5ebacked Jets | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.95 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa532…cc03backed Jets | 54c | 1,050$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Cardinals | 46c | 1,049$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.41 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Jets | 29c | 1,042$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.71 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe274…ee86backed Jets | 18c | 1,010$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.8 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79a1…5801backed Cardinals | 80c | 1,002$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.33 | 107 | 68.2%73 W · 34 L | +9.6wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Cardinals | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Cardinals | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 330 | 47.9%158 W · 172 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ad…5c65backed Jets | 54c | 999.98$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.99 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Jets | 32c | 952.65$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.93 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e5…316dbacked Jets | 40c | 941.44$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Cardinals | 47c | 935.91$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.03 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb492…b7edbacked Cardinals | 47c | 915.7$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.7 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6b…3ba7backed Jets | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b8…9272backed Jets | 32c | 855.91$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.89 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcefa…bef8backed Cardinals | 66c | 829.7$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.1 | 162 | 59.9%97 W · 65 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…f9d6backed Jets | 43c | 800$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | -10.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa03b…c3f1backed Jets | 55c | 800$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x814a…ab7abacked Cardinals | 46c | 769.5$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.53 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd35d…7089backed Cardinals | 71c | 703.81$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.81 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa3…dc66backed Cardinals | 50c | 700$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc29f…2f53backed Jets | 39c | 700$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…f3d9backed Jets | 51c | 638$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.69 | 211 | 51.2%108 W · 103 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Jets | 44c | 630.96$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.34 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Cardinals | 70c | 569.99$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Cardinals | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.83 | 214 | 54.7%117 W · 97 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Jets | 33c | 505.03$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.54 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -7.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x876d…5238backed Cardinals | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200a…d498backed Jets | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Cardinals | 46c | 499.96$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.98 | 147 | 50.3%74 W · 73 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Cardinals | 45c | 444.01$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.21 | 207 | 36.2%75 W · 132 L | -13.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Jets | 55c | 444$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.2 | 198 | 64.6%128 W · 70 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…1787backed Jets | 56c | 442.5$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.8 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b14…d18cbacked Jets | 50c | 418.36$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.18 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3832…35e1backed Jets | 54c | 414.98$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 164 | 51.2%84 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Cardinals | 44c | 411.33$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.35 | 247 | 38.1%94 W · 153 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Cardinals | 46c | 400.1$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.81 | 392 | 42.6%167 W · 225 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7941…c675backed Jets | 8c | 398.54$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.88 | 209 | 50.7%106 W · 103 L | -15.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0693…6dabbacked Cardinals | 51c | 397.54$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dfb…48a2backed Jets | 54c | 387.69$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.35 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa10d…66f5backed Jets | 52c | 386.54$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd25…f900backed Cardinals | 46c | 332.61$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd24b…0672backed Jets | 56c | 332.14$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac9…7d06backed Cardinals | 57c | 328$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.56 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Cardinals | 56c | 319.12$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.41 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x603a…fc8bbacked Jets | 55c | 299.89$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -3.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Jets | 8c | 298.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.35 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…d745backed Cardinals | 46c | 286.87$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.91 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd482…355dbacked Cardinals | 47c | 285$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.05 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +112.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa273…7786backed Cardinals | 54c | 278.57$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1564…8668backed Cardinals | 80c | 274.1$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.02 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3185…7c83backed Jets | 21c | 269.08$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.42 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cee…1832backed Jets | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0e…68e6backed Jets | 54c | 259.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.39 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca95…fc40backed Jets | 50c | 251.86$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.93 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7701…24e6backed Jets | 45c | 246.24$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.81 | 168 | 45.8%77 W · 91 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8186…e3d2backed Cardinals | 68c | 243.88$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.88 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4f…5241backed Cardinals | 76c | 234.66$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.1 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x26c3…d484backed Cardinals | 45c | 226.47$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.56 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbd…29bfbacked Jets | 56c | 223.21$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -48%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff50…de6fbacked Cardinals | 45c | 223$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.65 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Jets | 55c | 220$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 293 | 56%164 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc745…9499backed Cardinals | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfda0…e18abacked Cardinals | 70c | 214.83$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.83 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1b…7ccabacked Cardinals | 47c | 214.69$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.69 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d9…682cbacked Jets | 8c | 208.61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28f0…1b45backed Cardinals | 50c | 201$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.5 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5834…f0cbbacked Cardinals | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 186 | 50.5%94 W · 92 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b89…b2aabacked Jets | 34c | 200$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb4…2794backed Cardinals | 57c | 199.99$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.