NHL · resolved market
Lightning vs. Senators
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x690130c3c2758658af9e9a9dbde6cf7e153139b0215dcace866bfaccaa5ca8ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Senatorsof Lightning, Senators
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $85,009
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $87,596
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,009 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Lightning | 57c | 11,038$6,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,281.31 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Lightning | 57c | 10,418$5,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,927.7 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Lightning | 57c | 7,504$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,300 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Senators | 42c | 6,593$2,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,805.74 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe829…f91cbacked Lightning | 61c | 4,784$2,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,896.25 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Lightning | 57c | 4,386$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Lightning | 29c | 3,943$1,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142.32 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Senators | 40c | 3,584$1,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,146.25 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Senators | 42c | 3,140$1,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,814.47 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Senators | 43c | 3,045$1,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,736.03 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cfe…d7b7backed Lightning | 56c | 2,500$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf89f…e5a8backed Senators | 44c | 2,500$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Senators | 52c | 2,484$1,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,191.42 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Lightning | 42c | 2,200$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.18 | 244 | 57.4%140 W · 104 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519f…2af7backed Senators | 46c | 2,177$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176.65 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Senators | 44c | 2,108$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,190.87 | 137 | 56.2%77 W · 60 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Lightning | 55c | 2,016$1,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,108.65 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Senators | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Senators | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.99 | 245 | 46.1%113 W · 132 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Lightning | 54c | 1,700$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.99 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe84…779ebacked Senators | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Senators | 43c | 1,487$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.62 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Senators | 44c | 1,484$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.5 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4c…5f4bbacked Senators | 45c | 1,400$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c19…c038backed Lightning | 55c | 1,400$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6760…2e12backed Lightning | 56c | 1,362$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.63 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Senators | 43c | 1,306$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.39 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0360…7be1backed Senators | 46c | 1,229$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.54 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…22f6backed Senators | 44c | 1,196$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.33 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe696…36a0backed Lightning | 54c | 1,085$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.77 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf7…7894backed Senators | 46c | 1,085$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.77 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Senators | 43c | 1,033$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.61 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Senators | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa10d…acc6backed Lightning | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0417…a81ebacked Lightning | 54c | 999.96$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.98 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1bab…b470backed Senators | 46c | 999.96$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.98 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Senators | 63c | 760.53$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.01 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8c…726cbacked Lightning | 29c | 750$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.66 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa33f…c25ebacked Senators | 69c | 727.88$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.88 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Senators | 45c | 657.71$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.9 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Senators | 43c | 635$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.95 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Senators | 44c | 599.82$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.9 | 206 | 49.5%102 W · 104 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Senators | 45c | 564.89$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.24 | 297 | 48.8%145 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Lightning | 20c | 487.65$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.53 | 413 | 40%165 W · 248 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Senators | 43c | 464.98$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.25 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Lightning | 20c | 436.76$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.36 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Lightning | 57c | 300$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Lightning | 45c | 264.26$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.85 | 237 | 61.6%146 W · 91 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Senators | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12de…2780backed Senators | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7be5…8491backed Senators | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…bc89backed Lightning | 61c | 215.48$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.14 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -6.3wins | -0.33per pick | 54cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b0…276fbacked Senators | 45c | 206.18$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.4 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 54cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Lightning | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 372 | 54.3%202 W · 170 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Senators | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Lightning | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 309 | 46.3%143 W · 166 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3d…bf10backed Lightning | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe64e…bf3ebacked Lightning | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24b6…e624backed Senators | 46c | 170$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf00e…884cbacked Lightning | 54c | 170$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.8 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Senators | 77c | 165.72$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.12 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7ceabacked Lightning | 54c | 158$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.32 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…0426backed Senators | 46c | 158$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.32 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Senators | 43c | 154$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.78 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Senators | 52c | 152.89$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.22 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x750c…b00abacked Senators | 45c | 152.22$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.72 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f4…0336backed Lightning | 53c | 150.53$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8011…e98ebacked Senators | 62c | 149.88$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.55 | 98 | 63.3%62 W · 36 L | +13.2wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6a…8dc5backed Senators | 46c | 141.3$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.3 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf07b…60a3backed Lightning | 55c | 136.36$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf716…7667backed Lightning | 57c | 132.89$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.75 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Senators | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.43 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x621d…2e43backed Senators | 43c | 127.56$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.71 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +84.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20f2…f805backed Senators | 43c | 126.23$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Lightning | 55c | 118.58$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.22 | 572 | 38.1%218 W · 354 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2171…bc1fbacked Senators | 43c | 114.86$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.47 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Senators | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0550…1e82backed Lightning | 54c | 111$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4302…1216backed Senators | 45c | 111$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9f…2a46backed Senators | 44c | 108.61$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.94 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa64…9f30backed Lightning | 55c | 105.45$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0735…da59backed Lightning | 55c | 104.65$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.56 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -5.1wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa30a…37afbacked Senators | 44c | 103.25$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa47d…c6acbacked Lightning | 56c | 102.32$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.3 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c3…4896backed Senators | 44c | 102.27$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.27 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +99.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed Lightning | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 731 | 57.5%420 W · 311 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b69…e32abacked Lightning | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d44…b15ebacked Lightning | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee6b…07d7backed Lightning | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d12…db9bbacked Lightning | 56c | 97.14$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec4…879dbacked Lightning | 57c | 96.11$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x991f…a469backed Senators | 45c | 93$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e31…84f1backed Lightning | 54c | 93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e19…dbf2backed Senators | 45c | 92.76$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.02 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x850e…39eebacked Senators | 45c | 88.27$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.55 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ad…48d1backed Lightning | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…5f89backed Senators | 46c | 87.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.57 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +119.9%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbd4f…2ce5backed Lightning | 58c | 87.28$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4d…4316backed Senators | 45c | 86.98$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +91.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c5…b66cbacked Lightning | 57c | 84.14$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.