TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Fulham win on 2025-02-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$39,449
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$39,321

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,449 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9e5f…bf45backed Yes48c9,275$4,448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,447.889235.9%33 W · 59 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked No53c8,019$4,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,741.5613547.4%64 W · 71 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes45c5,000$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,25079639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No51c3,099$1,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,518.3879650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe85e…2aebbacked Yes47c2,126$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+20%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No53c2,005$1,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$934.290751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7221…df5ebacked Yes16c1,274$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003043.3%13 W · 17 L-3.8wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-42.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb033…bedbbacked Yes48c1,200$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed No53c1,132$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.2732158.9%189 W · 132 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf240…03c2backed Yes47c1,064$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004136.6%15 W · 26 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+21.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed No53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47016660.8%101 W · 65 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacb4…7595backed No52c933.73$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.195747.4%27 W · 30 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No65c888.65$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.2138645.3%175 W · 211 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4407…8f2bbacked Yes47c844.68$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3971741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-33.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No52c843.77$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.7883459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x686e…af8cbacked Yes25c802.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.268825%22 W · 66 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick27cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked No51c725.16$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.339754.6%53 W · 44 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24cc…d737backed Yes17c654.04$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.191741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb7b…1476backed Yes47c652.32$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.593435.3%12 W · 22 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-31.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd5a7…6a2abacked Yes47c531.25$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes30c528.16$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16032737.6%123 W · 204 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked No51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24517837.6%67 W · 111 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8bf…c049backed Yes47c425.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004346.5%20 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2b2…66d8backed Yes46c380.43$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-40.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4345…77fabacked Yes47c319.15$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503228.1%9 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-25.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked No53c299.99$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.0540135.2%141 W · 260 L-0.7wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Yes46c260.87$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12013336.1%48 W · 85 L-12.7wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-27.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x49dc…9830backed Yes47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005349.1%26 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029653%157 W · 139 L-23.0wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-15.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Yes48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006737.3%25 W · 42 L-6.3wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-30.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10042755%235 W · 192 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x678c…3c02backed Yes46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b7b…f74ebacked No53c180$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.64456.8%25 W · 19 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No54c138.99$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.9481559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No53c131$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.9265557.7%378 W · 277 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes47c130.09$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.1432736.4%119 W · 208 L-21.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd121…54c7backed Yes48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506746.3%31 W · 36 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a4f…c4f2backed No59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417146.5%33 W · 38 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb978…a2a0backed Yes48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cc…a23abacked No54c99.99$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467651.3%39 W · 37 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62a8…97d0backed Yes47c99.82$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.548453.6%45 W · 39 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb6c…e44fbacked No54c91.99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.317159.2%42 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8239…ddd7backed Yes15c88.82$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139027.8%25 W · 65 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed No54c77.19$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.897458.1%43 W · 31 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe107…4d7bbacked Yes46c76.19$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.0540%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb701…7cf6backed Yes47c63.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3022932.3%74 W · 155 L-0.4wins0.00per pick32cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6173…4258backed Yes44c60$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.45026%13 W · 37 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-29%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed No56c59.88$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.3937652.4%197 W · 179 L+27.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd9dd…6b64backed Yes46c59$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.14633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0460…e16abacked Yes47c53.45$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253158.1%18 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99f9…004dbacked Yes48c52.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256051.7%31 W · 29 L+7.1wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+27.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xae7c…6d3bbacked Yes48c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1413…4bddbacked Yes46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2320059.5%119 W · 81 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a0e…4dc6backed No54c49.81$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.816167.2%41 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xec4f…a9babacked Yes47c49.15$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-27.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x457c…fa41backed No55c49.05$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.07450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb418…a7d5backed Yes47c46.52$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.74742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-25%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f92…35a7backed No55c46.4$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.88757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5936…d71abacked No53c44.93$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.12250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3097…a2cabacked Yes47c44.68$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfaca…c1f9backed No55c44.55$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.05666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+39.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed No55c43.84$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.7336845.7%168 W · 200 L-1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd32d…3c32backed Yes46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203959%23 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa79c…36c6backed Yes46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204045%18 W · 22 L+5.0wins+0.13per pick32cpaid+36.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3e78…098ebacked Yes46c43.29$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.92250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43ea…c57abacked No53c42.98$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.2475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+36.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x320a…ffe0backed Yes47c42.98$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.230%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x908d…b6aebacked Yes47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203754.1%20 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f22…a26ebacked Yes47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206045%27 W · 33 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x773c…02f4backed Yes46c42.18$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.41425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-65.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4623…4fc9backed Yes46c41.91$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.28366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+49%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78a5…50b7backed Yes48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick30cpaid-63.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xebe1…1226backed No53c41.16$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.354100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe471…c87cbacked Yes42c40$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.82536%9 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+41.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Yes42c40$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.825339.1%99 W · 154 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+3.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6327…a05fbacked No53c39.82$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.723100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+91.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x87ba…f6eabacked No54c39.6$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.22250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c38…de7ebacked No54c39.3$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.08333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba97…315bbacked Yes46c39.3$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5cd…cb2bbacked Yes46c38.97$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9320%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f10…c028backed Yes46c37.8$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3920%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e07…1424backed No54c37.8$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.39540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-26.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x558d…6abbbacked Yes46c37.59$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2920%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x83e8…e2ccbacked Yes47c37.3$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5330%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb9df…13c5backed Yes46c37.24$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1320%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x52e4…0c2ebacked No54c37.24$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.132100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x19b9…aa4dbacked No54c37.16$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e5c…cde9backed Yes46c36.9$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.97333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f47…b44dbacked No54c36.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.9250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5861…386dbacked No54c36.59$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.83333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-38.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e65…daeabacked Yes46c36.59$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95ac…d7b7backed Yes46c36.38$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7320%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc628…0df4backed No54c35.84$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.49333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-38.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6120…6d0ebacked Yes46c35.84$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.49425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-52.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd8ec…2fc6backed Yes46c35.49$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3330%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No52c35$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.7559958.9%353 W · 246 L+26.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9163…c5dfbacked Yes47c34.35$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7edc…035dbacked No53c34.28$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.11450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf96…531dbacked Yes47c34.28$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa3f…0218backed No54c34.16$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.71366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+43%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.