Premier League · resolved market
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-02-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x50d3b0d91c4b1709fa7eac248cc91ea565c14f21c206a5c7cd6c1916c2c721f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,865
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,769
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,865 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked No | 0c | 11,355$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 28c | 4,102$1,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,964.45 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 72c | 3,036$2,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,185.71 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 73c | 1,576$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150.43 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 27c | 1,500$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 28c | 1,209$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.93 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed No | 34c | 1,078$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.95 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 69c | 1,000$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacb4…7595backed Yes | 79c | 812.3$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.31 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 73c | 634.2$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.97 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Yes | 45c | 384.84$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.84 | 120 | 53.3%64 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d1b…5adbbacked Yes | 27c | 367.72$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.72 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 15c | 350.45$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.43 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 25c | 299.99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.59 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31b7…bde1backed Yes | 59c | 257.54$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.59 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 25c | 208$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | -23.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 61c | 114.57$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf93…bdc8backed Yes | 66c | 90.91$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.91 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4279…05cabacked Yes | 27c | 81.48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.48 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d2…f555backed No | 74c | 80$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.2 | 182 | 60.4%110 W · 72 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa303…6933backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb8…7471backed Yes | 80c | 66$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 140 | 62.9%88 W · 52 L | +16.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x30d8…f9c5backed Yes | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce86…f868backed Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.56 | 93 | 34.4%32 W · 61 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55c6…c338backed Yes | 61c | 49.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.17 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 59c | 48.78$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed No | 73c | 48.15$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.15 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057f…e694backed Yes | 68c | 45.12$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 26c | 40.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.21 | 197 | 35.5%70 W · 127 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0460…e16abacked Yes | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Yes | 58c | 34.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 72c | 29.71$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 599 | 58.9%353 W · 246 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd47…8277backed Yes | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a05…7afdbacked No | 75c | 24.35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-02-22?this page
- Will Fulham vs. Crystal Palace end in a draw?No won
- Will Fulham win on 2025-02-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.