TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pelicans vs. Hornets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hornetsof Pelicans, Hornets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$178,619
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$212,928

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $178,619 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 210 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0269…cb2dbacked Pelicans25c27,837$6,834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,833.8665642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c2b…b42bbacked Pelicans0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1030%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Hornets48c9,909$4,735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,173.9647542.3%201 W · 274 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6410…1ff4backed Pelicans18c6,639$1,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,191.5711164%71 W · 40 L+13.0wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1008…5b2abacked Pelicans55c6,524$3,559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,55910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc383…2577backed Pelicans57c5,500$3,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,135475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick42cpaid+159.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5fe0…d994backed Hornets43c4,998$2,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,837.1737448.7%182 W · 192 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2863…0e3ebacked Hornets46c4,460$2,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,408.5415741.4%65 W · 92 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Pelicans15c4,023$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618.7734532.8%113 W · 232 L-16.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed Pelicans55c4,015$2,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,221.6319152.4%100 W · 91 L+16.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+23%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2cc0…f722backed Hornets46c4,004$1,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,173.5412663.5%80 W · 46 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4c4…8441backed Hornets45c3,302$1,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,801.693450%17 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3698…1580backed Hornets43c3,000$1,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,710714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.32per pick46cpaid-66.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1638…339bbacked Pelicans56c2,613$1,463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,463.479952.5%52 W · 47 L+9.6wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+28.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x29de…70a7backed Hornets43c2,500$1,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,425728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick40cpaid+12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Pelicans55c2,366$1,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,298.4973051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Pelicans50c2,000$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,008.51,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Pelicans28c1,958$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.555,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17c9…ee76backed Hornets48c1,670$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$869.52650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf00f…711abacked Hornets46c1,595$733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$862.4517047.1%80 W · 90 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48d2…7d97backed Pelicans56c1,500$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$840650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa633…4d27backed Hornets43c1,500$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$855666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+16.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f79…1db4backed Hornets40c1,486$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$891.7516838.7%65 W · 103 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9614…5247backed Pelicans56c1,465$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$820.14850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92eb…44c4backed Hornets45c1,460$657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8032152.4%11 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+24.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa63d…7c74backed Hornets39c1,434$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$874.5771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick46cpaid+59.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb645…4845backed Pelicans61c1,434$875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$874.5633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-48.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x90b6…1d6bbacked Pelicans56c1,326$739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$738.650245.8%230 W · 272 L+2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Pelicans59c1,200$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704.9672341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Hornets43c1,044$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593.081,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Pelicans10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62a8…97d0backed Pelicans54c1,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54024855.6%138 W · 110 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc441…92eabacked Pelicans60c1,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+12.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xccff…e845backed Hornets46c1,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54048137.2%179 W · 302 L-15.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03e5…dd0fbacked Hornets44c999.8$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.86622.7%15 W · 51 L-8.4wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-48.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9729…4541backed Hornets43c946.87$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.722100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+254.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc203…74f3backed Pelicans28c877.68$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.0725957.5%149 W · 110 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Hornets43c832$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.2457760.5%349 W · 228 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Pelicans15c750$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11047535.8%170 W · 305 L+41.1wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+26.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Hornets76c705$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.0536843.8%161 W · 207 L-17.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f3b3backed Hornets39c703.59$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.19850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56b8…2ee0backed Pelicans61c703.59$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.19728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-39.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Pelicans57c600$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3421,05353.5%563 W · 490 L-15.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Pelicans57c593.18$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.641,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Pelicans37c571.94$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.4470640.8%288 W · 418 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ee2…46e1backed Pelicans9c558.03$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.52528%7 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-53.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Pelicans53c510$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.3285542%359 W · 496 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Hornets50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25096447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe505…d18bbacked Hornets43c497.67$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.676253.2%33 W · 29 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+23.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Hornets43c420$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.462351.4%320 W · 303 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Pelicans53c301.32$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.7612657.1%72 W · 54 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…7ff3backed Pelicans55c300$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16528651.4%147 W · 139 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Pelicans56c299.98$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.9961532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Pelicans58c282.85$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.0847948%230 W · 249 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Pelicans60c248$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.7871747.6%341 W · 376 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4cd3…9642backed Hornets44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.2730354.1%164 W · 139 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Hornets59c225.99$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.7170951.3%364 W · 345 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Pelicans53c225$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11961345.5%279 W · 334 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Pelicans37c216.84$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.431,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Hornets40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12068642.1%289 W · 397 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb1c…963ebacked Pelicans58c200$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.559646.9%45 W · 51 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Pelicans62c150$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.631,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Hornets69c136.5$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.81,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2d0…3319backed Hornets40c125$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick50cpaid+34.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Pelicans57c118.58$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.1288053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Pelicans62c117.9$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.130648.7%149 W · 157 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x027e…988cbacked Hornets44c116.73$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.37757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+18.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed Hornets43c116$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.1225836.8%95 W · 163 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc13f…c93bbacked Pelicans54c113.78$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6263445.1%286 W · 348 L+24.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x23be…da4fbacked Hornets44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.6433638.1%128 W · 208 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x974c…53d8backed Hornets40c112.5$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.53148.4%15 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+24.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x97dc…4eb3backed Pelicans55c109.09$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid+3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b6a…81d6backed Hornets46c102$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.081154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid+12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc647…efa0backed Pelicans55c102$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.11346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8258…ae68backed Pelicans54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541540%6 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Pelicans51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5185347.9%409 W · 444 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49d1…7b96backed Hornets41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5924147.3%114 W · 127 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Hornets40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6035734.5%123 W · 234 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1ae…3327backed Pelicans56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566942%29 W · 40 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-25%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5036…416bbacked Pelicans55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5538845.9%178 W · 210 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71bc…28f4backed Pelicans18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183231.3%10 W · 22 L-4.0wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-36.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Hornets43c99$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.4393041.9%390 W · 540 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2b7…d8d2backed Pelicans55c94.09$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.75714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.36per pick50cpaid-78.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5930…f3fdbacked Hornets47c85.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.114344.2%19 W · 24 L+5.0wins+0.12per pick33cpaid+28.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0566…7bfebacked Hornets47c85.09$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.1540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-30%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0e0…2b21backed Pelicans58c80.26$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.55650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9587…39a8backed Pelicans21c80$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.82832.1%9 W · 19 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-20.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9b42…5090backed Hornets79c80$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.83154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+29.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d1a…13babacked Pelicans21c80$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.83141.9%13 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-4.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0cdf…560cbacked Hornets79c80$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.83148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cf8…db7fbacked Hornets79c80$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.83050%15 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x068e…f8b6backed Pelicans19c80$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.23253.1%17 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+27.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x186e…2112backed Pelicans21c80$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.82729.6%8 W · 19 L-5.1wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-42.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd83b…1cccbacked Pelicans21c80$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.83151.6%16 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+15.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x251b…40b3backed Pelicans21c80$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.83336.4%12 W · 21 L-3.9wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x16ff…1962backed Hornets79c80$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.83250%16 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb59a…0d99backed Pelicans21c80$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.82934.5%10 W · 19 L-3.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb10a…178cbacked Pelicans21c80$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.83151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+17.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99d0…7a03backed Pelicans21c80$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.83234.4%11 W · 21 L-4.1wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x497b…8b5abacked Hornets79c80$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.83256.3%18 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid+12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.