TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Red Wings vs. Sabres

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Red Wingsof Red Wings, Sabres
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$192,025
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$198,215

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $192,025 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 300 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee5f…9a8bbacked Sabres56c41,044$22,951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,951.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20cc…ebc0backed Red Wings46c22,557$10,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,174.656657.6%38 W · 28 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Red Wings39c17,205$6,715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,489.4635545.4%161 W · 194 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8996…fbcebacked Red Wings23c11,031$2,589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,441.945743.9%25 W · 32 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0822…c30ebacked Red Wings42c10,008$4,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,804.822100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+89.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b81…38cfbacked Sabres58c10,006$5,803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,803.420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x08a0…a79abacked Red Wings42c10,004$4,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,802.462100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+89.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7485…600abacked Sabres58c10,002$5,801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,801.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Red Wings44c9,221$4,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,163.559459.6%56 W · 38 L+11.1wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+20.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9a2a…9146backed Red Wings32c7,483$2,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,088.372951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Sabres67c6,261$4,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,200.1244848.9%219 W · 229 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3240…5d25backed Red Wings43c5,888$2,532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,356.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3d7…3377backed Sabres57c5,832$3,324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,324.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Red Wings18c3,133$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,571.0731334.8%109 W · 204 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93b0…69c8backed Red Wings45c2,867$1,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,589.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+124.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8734…2e6cbacked Sabres54c2,631$1,421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,420.85650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa97b…388dbacked Red Wings46c2,609$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,408.681361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+23.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3168…6734backed Red Wings36c2,312$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,487.085149%25 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Sabres55c2,200$1,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,209.9731849.4%157 W · 161 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5550…5b4dbacked Sabres58c1,724$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003850%19 W · 19 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa8cd…3cf2backed Red Wings41c1,341$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$791.13641.7%15 W · 21 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Red Wings8c1,188$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,092.8892848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8769…48ecbacked Sabres57c1,017$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.596149.2%30 W · 31 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb341…cbdcbacked Red Wings46c1,001$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.54757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+24.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xccfb…376ebacked Sabres54c1,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+21.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Sabres58c1,000$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.0585148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Red Wings45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55054349.5%269 W · 274 L+2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc8e…c683backed Red Wings45c982.9$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+124.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9542…4295backed Sabres53c879.51$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.141533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-35.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Sabres55c594.11$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.0625340.7%103 W · 150 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bdc…3a4ebacked Red Wings41c500$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2951776.5%13 W · 4 L+4.2wins+0.25per pick52cpaid+44.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Red Wings45c499.97$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.9829847%140 W · 158 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf848…03abbacked Red Wings46c499.94$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.97333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcabf…c2d7backed Red Wings47c497.87$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.871060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bea…cf42backed Sabres55c497.06$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2731030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Red Wings45c381.79$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.995250%26 W · 26 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8f7…039abacked Sabres56c365.51$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.693534.3%12 W · 23 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick42cpaid+8.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0ff5…314cbacked Red Wings43c350.07$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.54757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+24.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d4e…9520backed Sabres57c350.07$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.54250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+22%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7551…a8e9backed Red Wings45c350$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cb4…3b72backed Red Wings43c349.13$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+25.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe558…ccb0backed Sabres57c349.13$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1299…356ebacked Red Wings43c347.18$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.891060%6 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+41.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0cb2…3f22backed Sabres57c347.18$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.89450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f3b3backed Red Wings43c340.22$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.93366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+30.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x786a…74d1backed Sabres57c340.22$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.93944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x511e…c7b5backed Red Wings43c307.24$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.13450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf532…ab13backed Sabres57c307.24$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.13250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Red Wings7c287.27$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.175633.9%19 W · 37 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid+21.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Red Wings42c284.78$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.171,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7b2…ece3backed Red Wings43c264.5$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.774645.7%21 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Red Wings43c255$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.2972444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c91…0505backed Red Wings44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.277650%38 W · 38 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Red Wings43c202.82$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.2984051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20a5…c8d4backed Sabres57c200.39$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.22742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ba4…dd66backed Red Wings43c200.39$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.22837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Red Wings37c199.99$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1261,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47e0…d485backed Red Wings44c199.99$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.992630.8%8 W · 18 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-32.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5541…fd12backed Red Wings43c196.64$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.08812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.30per pick42cpaid-70.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x97bc…6dfbbacked Sabres57c196.24$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.86728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.25per pick54cpaid-46.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x664b…8509backed Red Wings45c195.99$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.797660.5%46 W · 30 L+9.6wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+26.2%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Sabres55c181.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9541340%165 W · 248 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b41…e0d3backed Red Wings44c179$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.2424457.4%140 W · 104 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25b8…79eabacked Red Wings43c178.95$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick51cpaid+70.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7e37…8925backed Sabres57c178.95$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10220%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x076e…887ebacked Red Wings43c177.57$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.21250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cf3…ce57backed Sabres57c177.57$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.2120%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd926…4755backed Red Wings43c177.41$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.123100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+80%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3aed…a933backed Sabres57c177.41$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.12616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.31per pick47cpaid-73.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7e4d…07cbbacked Red Wings44c176.6$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.91471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+38.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x97d5…d0d7backed Sabres56c176.6$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.930%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b60…dffabacked Sabres57c176.35$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa87…55adbacked Red Wings43c176.35$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.52250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc018…018abacked Red Wings12c173.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.756752.2%35 W · 32 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x185c…dee1backed Sabres58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001450%7 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda4d…c8eebacked Red Wings10c168.43$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.811915.8%3 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick16cpaid-25.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x413c…9a07backed Red Wings44c141$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.961233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7bbb…5176backed Sabres57c141$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.37540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-25.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf151…acdfbacked Red Wings44c141$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.96728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-39.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3296…8d88backed Sabres57c141$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.37955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Red Wings44c140.99$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.481,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8bf…d806backed Red Wings12c131.65$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.441747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+31.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6144…2fffbacked Sabres36c130$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.894452.3%23 W · 21 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f49…b096backed Red Wings46c107.02$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf518…1655backed Sabres57c105.26$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick39cpaid-49.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e29…c99cbacked Sabres59c102.33$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-50.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc6be…88d8backed Sabres57c100.11$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x177e…a572backed Sabres58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584254.8%23 W · 19 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4582…39bebacked Sabres57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cf9…1289backed Sabres58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58633.3%2 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.34per pick68cpaid-49.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf93b…bb37backed Red Wings10c100$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$902035%7 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9784…7437backed Red Wings44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9155…f5d7backed Red Wings43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa19…bb1ebacked Red Wings45c99.33$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.63333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Sabres70c97.56$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.4191334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcbb0…d23ebacked Sabres57c97$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.430%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2686…7a67backed Sabres54c91.81$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509665.6%63 W · 33 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5bf…42a9backed Sabres58c86.2$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaeb6…9d14backed Red Wings43c85.96$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b9b…6e4abacked Red Wings42c83.33$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.33771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.25per pick46cpaid+46.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.