MLB · resolved market
Diamondbacks vs. Giants
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x72baf26bb351a038f11141bbeec632681e9a2f31acbef7aa400d4ecb27255bb3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Giantsof Diamondbacks, Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,982
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,515
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,982 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Giants | 49c | 21,242$10,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,833.25 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Diamondbacks | 51c | 15,000$7,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,650 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a2…3b96backed Giants | 50c | 14,143$7,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,100.38 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Diamondbacks | 50c | 11,636$5,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,813.43 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Diamondbacks | 50c | 2,518$1,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,264.24 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7709…5852backed Diamondbacks | 8c | 2,513$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Diamondbacks | 51c | 2,482$1,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,265.63 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Giants | 49c | 2,400$1,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Diamondbacks | 51c | 2,086$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.62 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Diamondbacks | 51c | 1,600$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ac…957dbacked Diamondbacks | 52c | 1,320$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.4 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Diamondbacks | 56c | 1,078$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.76 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Diamondbacks | 34c | 1,033$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.73 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Diamondbacks | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Giants | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Diamondbacks | 51c | 992.57$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.12 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…3601backed Diamondbacks | 51c | 856.8$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.97 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed0…77f7backed Giants | 48c | 699.95$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.97 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b0…6815backed Diamondbacks | 80c | 625.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -5.0wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef8…dce7backed Giants | 48c | 600$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Diamondbacks | 51c | 487.07$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.7 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff5c…ccbdbacked Diamondbacks | 52c | 481.45$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Giants | 48c | 420.92$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.88 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Giants | 48c | 417.9$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.31 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Diamondbacks | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Diamondbacks | 52c | 325.21$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.11 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Giants | 52c | 321.36$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.08 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Giants | 64c | 300$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…8509backed Diamondbacks | 51c | 239.98$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.39 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Giants | 24c | 227.52$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.11 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Giants | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Giants | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Giants | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked Giants | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Giants | 30c | 200$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Diamondbacks | 52c | 196.15$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Diamondbacks | 50c | 194.97$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.49 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Diamondbacks | 51c | 156.86$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Diamondbacks | 52c | 156$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.58 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd33b…4e00backed Giants | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +8.4wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeeee…ccb7backed Giants | 50c | 140$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Giants | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Diamondbacks | 52c | 104.17$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.17 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8c…4bc2backed Giants | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Diamondbacks | 51c | 101.88$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.85 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Diamondbacks | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f36…4e9cbacked Giants | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Giants | 49c | 99.92$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.96 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b5…942abacked Giants | 49c | 97.2$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Diamondbacks | 52c | 84.62$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6f…0142backed Giants | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Giants | 49c | 80$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.2 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Diamondbacks | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0c…fbe4backed Giants | 50c | 72.87$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.44 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Diamondbacks | 21c | 63.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe21…0c36backed Giants | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19e0…c910backed Giants | 50c | 57.48$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.74 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -4.2wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd8aa…b890backed Diamondbacks | 52c | 53.86$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.76 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b6…27ddbacked Diamondbacks | 37c | 53.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe3…1ed6backed Giants | 50c | 52.38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.19 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Giants | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Giants | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.12 | 467 | 53.7%251 W · 216 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaca…c1f9backed Diamondbacks | 52c | 44.23$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b6…d8debacked Giants | 50c | 44.16$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.08 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf391…73c3backed Giants | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 295 | 52.2%154 W · 141 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Diamondbacks | 52c | 40.59$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6067…5aa2backed Giants | 50c | 33.9$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa14…8905backed Giants | 50c | 32.86$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +46%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b4f…cc00backed Diamondbacks | 52c | 32.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf980…6697backed Giants | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ef…40dbbacked Diamondbacks | 52c | 30.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae3a…bdd7backed Diamondbacks | 52c | 30.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb770…3a5abacked Diamondbacks | 52c | 30.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd982…214cbacked Giants | 66c | 30.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x012e…75f3backed Diamondbacks | 52c | 30.23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Diamondbacks | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 209 | 54.5%114 W · 95 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Diamondbacks | 34c | 29.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9f…3cc5backed Diamondbacks | 52c | 29.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e80…db21backed Diamondbacks | 51c | 29.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x946b…5857backed Diamondbacks | 51c | 28.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04d6…15d7backed Diamondbacks | 52c | 28.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfee…4a24backed Giants | 50c | 28.36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.18 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8065…4950backed Diamondbacks | 51c | 27.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Giants | 50c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5b…b6c1backed Giants | 49c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ced…4e34backed Giants | 50c | 26.92$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d5…e0e0backed Giants | 50c | 26.68$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1efd…5321backed Diamondbacks | 52c | 25.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…59f5backed Giants | 50c | 25.1$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…23f5backed Giants | 50c | 24.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c0…abdfbacked Giants | 51c | 24.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.13 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1013…d0cabacked Giants | 50c | 24.74$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.37 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa16d…2fdbbacked Giants | 50c | 24.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.11 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99e8…45c4backed Giants | 51c | 23.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.72 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3de…e08dbacked Diamondbacks | 52c | 23.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6d…5c60backed Diamondbacks | 52c | 23.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…cad9backed Giants | 50c | 22.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2be…f489backed Diamondbacks | 52c | 21.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -5.1wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x770b…0240backed Diamondbacks | 52c | 20.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Diamondbacks | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.