TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will West Ham win on 2024-11-09?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$29,365
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$28,981

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,365 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd0fd…a7dabacked No56c5,536$3,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,435.711080%8 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+61.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x95cc…7f08backed Yes43c3,420$1,476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,475.933650%18 W · 18 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed No54c2,159$1,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$993.214659.6%87 W · 59 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No55c2,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90068026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed No53c2,000$1,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$929.9632158.9%189 W · 132 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x479c…bcbcbacked No55c1,850$1,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832.55750.9%29 W · 28 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12ce…a6abbacked Yes45c1,850$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$832.53647.2%17 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed No65c1,814$1,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.1637841.8%158 W · 220 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Yes45c1,661$747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$747.3219652%102 W · 94 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fde…ed39backed Yes45c1,106$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40c4…c2b0backed Yes47c1,069$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.43450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+40.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1464…c83fbacked Yes44c1,000$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4351127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No55c869.31$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.1940046%184 W · 216 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bdd…dc27backed No56c815.3$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.69250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid-10.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes45c693.33$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31218433.7%62 W · 122 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9478…63f5backed No53c645.2$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.245959.3%35 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd2eb…f1b0backed No54c600$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02cb…ae38backed Yes46c554.24$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.4115554.8%85 W · 70 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x491e…6ff3backed No56c553.58$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.582100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+206.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x05ad…72d7backed Yes46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2305641.1%23 W · 33 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7cb5…98f8backed Yes44c500$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-41.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x48b5…10aebacked Yes44c392.77$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1711533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9db4…487abacked Yes35c375$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.2520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xabb6…2235backed Yes46c300.61$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe08c…e03cbacked Yes45c288.89$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe3…67bbbacked Yes45c288.67$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.9333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-58.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes18c281.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5029044.8%130 W · 160 L-1.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd1d…b57fbacked No57c256.79$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.423357.6%19 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9273…fcf8backed Yes46c248.27$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11520%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc14f…d22abacked Yes46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c7c…3228backed Yes46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e3d…0d60backed No56c214.29$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc31d…bef2backed Yes47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed Yes47c210$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.720447.1%96 W · 108 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x211d…bf15backed Yes46c209$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.14250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bea…1b86backed No54c209$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f7c…2d20backed No55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33f5…dde9backed Yes20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0c3…d201backed Yes45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Yes32c198.88$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.6428355.5%157 W · 126 L+17.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No54c191.61$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.1477336.4%281 W · 492 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef04…88c3backed No55c182$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.91471.4%10 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1266…cd8cbacked No53c176.03$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.2114450.7%73 W · 71 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes39c170$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6632736.4%119 W · 208 L-21.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed No69c150$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.2937652.4%197 W · 179 L+27.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1f90…38e7backed No67c149.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.56922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.25per pick48cpaid-68.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5f41…83f5backed No61c122.72$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487343.8%32 W · 41 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeea2…20bcbacked Yes47c121.34$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8784…f1aebacked Yes46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509151.6%47 W · 44 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ff6…b5dfbacked Yes46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-41.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc372…00aabacked Yes46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506743.3%29 W · 38 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-23.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf244…4cd5backed Yes47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501030%3 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3255…a972backed No55c101.81$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed No54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4642755%235 W · 192 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x178f…1f7fbacked No55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa610…0461backed Yes46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d5…124bbacked Yes45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.25per pick54cpaid-59.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc6ca…09a4backed Yes46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462142.9%9 W · 12 L-4.9wins-0.23per pick66cpaid-37.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2a0c…da01backed Yes46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3fb…f302backed No55c99.09$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb023…9117backed No55c99.09$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xacec…2017backed No55c99.09$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6217…678fbacked No55c99.09$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x530d…67eebacked No55c99.09$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee7e…8c5ebacked No55c99.09$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.592100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+62.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec59…44ecbacked No55c99.09$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.592100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+83.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe43a…f60abacked No55c99.09$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x847a…9b53backed No55c99.09$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c25…ec8cbacked No55c99.09$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.594100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xae6b…c797backed No55c99.09$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.59250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bfe…d714backed No55c99.09$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6f7…7d45backed No55c99.09$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.59250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e1b…5471backed No55c99.09$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.592100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+110%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f85…0bc9backed No55c99.09$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.59250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0272…73d3backed Yes46c98.91$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5feb…6aeabacked Yes46c98.91$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00a5…cf1fbacked Yes46c98.91$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69d4…3387backed Yes46c98.91$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+23.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5245…15c0backed Yes46c98.91$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b46…cce7backed Yes46c98.91$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0899…1e8fbacked Yes46c98.91$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d7d…92b2backed Yes46c98.91$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x898f…5538backed Yes46c98.91$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1ad…6421backed Yes46c98.91$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x71fe…92c9backed Yes46c98.91$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bdc…3d16backed Yes46c98.91$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2d2…0bd9backed Yes46c98.91$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d51…ac98backed Yes46c98.91$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7eec…2617backed Yes46c98.91$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xca95…fc40backed No54c98.84$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.663551.4%18 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+17.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5ed…dc9ebacked Yes45c93.76$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.19450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+264%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x07f6…2ed5backed Yes21c93.2$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207825.6%20 W · 58 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2f1…f229backed No55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.917949.4%39 W · 40 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4630…a058backed No57c87.98$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.986258.1%36 W · 26 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+14%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdee3…bca7backed Yes46c80.43$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2bcf…40b4backed No55c78.18$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3a3…7838backed Yes46c74.52$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.281450%7 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99c2…ef35backed No51c73.61$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.075959.3%35 W · 24 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+36.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2af0…a0c9backed No55c72.72$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2360…057ebacked Yes45c71.11$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.