Premier League · resolved market
Will West Ham vs. Everton end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa56238a8d27460ef68b1d84555df3521556db4f1ddd68ae5305e1188a5022ab1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,485
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,732
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,485 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Yes | 41c | 3,322$1,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960.92 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…f6dcbacked No | 75c | 2,632$1,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,961.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9595…1b16backed No | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x306b…3ec5backed No | 22c | 1,788$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.59 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 38c | 1,650$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.79 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 73c | 1,281$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.01 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Yes | 26c | 1,200$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9423backed No | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Yes | 27c | 999.96$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.97 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Yes | 23c | 694.95$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.11 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeffa…8be3backed Yes | 42c | 443.1$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.37 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…a478backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.83 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +120.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8815…e147backed No | 55c | 336.63$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.15 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 71c | 306.98$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.96 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x687f…b05fbacked Yes | 36c | 298.67$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 30c | 298.66$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.06 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab2…6435backed No | 73c | 295.1$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07f6…2ed5backed Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 78 | 25.6%20 W · 58 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed No | 23c | 232.86$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.46 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae7f…44afbacked No | 68c | 207.68$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.99 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 73c | 191.61$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.88 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 27c | 178.96$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.64 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6451…025fbacked Yes | 48c | 175.51$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.51 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf244…4cd5backed Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.41 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe08c…e03cbacked No | 56c | 165.61$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc372…00aabacked Yes | 30c | 165.35$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.35 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe3…67bbbacked No | 58c | 164.24$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ed…dc9ebacked Yes | 29c | 162.28$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +264%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6787…5abdbacked No | 72c | 160$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd075…df51backed Yes | 28c | 160$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked No | 70c | 159.91$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.74 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7a…f6dbbacked Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfb…df99backed No | 73c | 145.18$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.98 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fe…2835backed Yes | 53c | 143.13$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.85 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0692…10fbbacked No | 49c | 140$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.8 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.19per pick | 40cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e01…3312backed No | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -71%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95cc…7f08backed Yes | 27c | 135.51$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.92 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4e…bfb2backed No | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 69cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8e…70d6backed Yes | 31c | 132.26$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.26 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3384…bbedbacked No | 73c | 121.02$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629a…b9d6backed No | 9c | 120$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc9…5effbacked No | 73c | 113.58$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5405…3d7cbacked Yes | 28c | 112.93$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 22cpaid | +185.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.77 | 291 | 46%134 W · 157 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x259a…991dbacked Yes | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.77 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0b…be66backed Yes | 31c | 90.1$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b55…1438backed Yes | 78c | 86.73$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Yes | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.21 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbea9…02f9backed Yes | 68c | 85.65$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.29 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebc5…f3e4backed Yes | 29c | 84.83$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.33 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 52cpaid | +84.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03d7…8260backed No | 64c | 81.65$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.94 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 65cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 27c | 75.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.83 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0d…077dbacked Yes | 49c | 73.47$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa416…84d9backed No | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…45d5backed No | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f6d…6632backed No | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 72cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…d96abacked Yes | 31c | 65.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +131.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2347…90b1backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +147.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…3601backed Yes | 29c | 63.79$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.29 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5342…0f95backed Yes | 29c | 61.28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.51 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…f6febacked Yes | 26c | 60$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.4 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…7defbacked Yes | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9a…089fbacked No | 73c | 47.94$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 43c | 46.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.86 | 172 | 34.3%59 W · 113 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Yes | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3978…2f24backed No | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…8848backed Yes | 31c | 37.32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +60%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b64…c72dbacked No | 74c | 35.27$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc516…5f28backed No | 75c | 29.37$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 68cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x92b3…5e9fbacked No | 70c | 26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.32per pick | 70cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…b857backed Yes | 69c | 21.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.81 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b80…28b7backed No | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9b…0f44backed No | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 64 | 25%16 W · 48 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca95…fc40backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e66…c5dcbacked No | 74c | 15.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will West Ham vs. Everton end in a draw?this page
- Will Everton win on 2024-11-09?No won
- Will West Ham win on 2024-11-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.