Premier League · resolved market
Will Everton win on 2024-11-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x784d9e43e80a4c98ade1cf958ae1d43495e41911f3f6f2c730f2f32dfd1f685f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,594
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,904
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,594 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb788…2b73backed No | 74c | 2,173$1,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.18 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 28c | 2,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.99 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 71c | 1,069$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.41 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 72c | 637.56$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.93 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 27c | 615.13$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.08 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe95b…9d2fbacked Yes | 27c | 475.77$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.46 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 72c | 457.14$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b84…c074backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e3…21d5backed No | 71c | 354$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.66 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d5…124bbacked Yes | 27c | 354$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.58 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1999…fedbbacked No | 74c | 312.34$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7a…f6dbbacked Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 29c | 297.28$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.21 | 292 | 38.4%112 W · 180 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfb…df99backed Yes | 28c | 221.32$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.97 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d2…f555backed No | 73c | 192$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.84 | 182 | 60.4%110 W · 72 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 72c | 191.61$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.65 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07f6…2ed5backed Yes | 31c | 162.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 78 | 25.6%20 W · 58 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…63e1backed No | 72c | 152.78$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.78 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f4…d323backed No | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +139.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x80f6…c28dbacked No | 74c | 134.38$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.38 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb840…9989backed Yes | 29c | 120.69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x137c…8dd5backed Yes | 29c | 115.56$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…45d5backed Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…a171backed Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed No | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…d68fbacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa635…918dbacked Yes | 29c | 91.38$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6787…5abdbacked Yes | 28c | 90$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98a5…bf89backed No | 72c | 90$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…f6febacked Yes | 25c | 55.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9478…63f5backed No | 70c | 48.74$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe38…162cbacked Yes | 30c | 33.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed No | 73c | 32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 129 | 59.7%77 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8abf…5bd5backed No | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x602c…7da0backed No | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6cf…afbdbacked No | 74c | 26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a7…21d4backed No | 79c | 25.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked No | 71c | 25.23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.37 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28f0…ceabbacked No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 18cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc3…7865backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +155.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4f…5241backed No | 73c | 19.51$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Everton win on 2024-11-09?this page
- Will West Ham vs. Everton end in a draw?Yes won
- Will West Ham win on 2024-11-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.