NFL · resolved market
Rams vs. Ravens
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b064e069647019e202bf9f76574a6f540a6a0ace4af94119e1bfabb20dba2c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ramsof Rams, Ravens
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,012,129
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,879,257
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,012,129 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 721 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed Rams | 76c | 1,138,018$866,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271,744.1 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5681…e113backed Ravens | 26c | 682,214$174,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174,082.9 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Ravens | 25c | 510,489$126,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126,654.88 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Rams | 74c | 193,900$143,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,414 | 100 | 61%61 W · 39 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Ravens | 23c | 184,353$42,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,520.28 | 418 | 51.9%217 W · 201 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Ravens | 23c | 148,696$34,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,498.43 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Ravens | 24c | 130,000$31,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,200 | 249 | 57%142 W · 107 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Rams | 76c | 95,271$72,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,847.85 | 244 | 56.6%138 W · 106 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Ravens | 24c | 72,068$17,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,296.43 | 195 | 53.8%105 W · 90 L | +16.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Ravens | 24c | 70,155$16,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,898.08 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Ravens | 24c | 55,305$13,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,297.06 | 313 | 50.2%157 W · 156 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Rams | 74c | 47,000$34,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,220 | 246 | 52%128 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Ravens | 5c | 42,089$1,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,911.17 | 192 | 35.4%68 W · 124 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Ravens | 16c | 41,791$6,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,781.18 | 419 | 47.3%198 W · 221 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Ravens | 24c | 41,397$9,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,935.27 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Rams | 74c | 37,996$28,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,843.64 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Ravens | 7c | 37,812$2,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,738.86 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Ravens | 13c | 31,662$4,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,065.49 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Ravens | 24c | 30,134$7,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,366.64 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Rams | 77c | 30,000$23,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,899.89 | 143 | 49%70 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Ravens | 6c | 27,934$1,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,610.59 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…4f16backed Ravens | 23c | 25,000$5,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,749.91 | 176 | 47.7%84 W · 92 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Rams | 74c | 23,000$17,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,880 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Ravens | 28c | 20,274$5,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,670.18 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96e1…50aabacked Rams | 75c | 19,173$14,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,883.27 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…a3c3backed Rams | 77c | 19,000$14,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,340 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Ravens | 5c | 17,576$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.11 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Ravens | 24c | 16,409$3,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,971.67 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Rams | 76c | 16,000$12,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,840 | 39 | 79.5%31 W · 8 L | +7.2wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Ravens | 23c | 15,000$3,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,449.95 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Ravens | 30c | 14,939$4,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,429.24 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Ravens | 24c | 14,624$3,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,509.76 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc98d…05d3backed Ravens | 13c | 14,276$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840.01 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Ravens | 12c | 13,735$1,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,581.75 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Rams | 75c | 13,429$10,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,333.84 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…74e1backed Rams | 77c | 12,976$9,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,984.41 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -5.3wins | -0.23per pick | 66cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Rams | 75c | 12,182$9,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,099.45 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x305e…7d29backed Ravens | 24c | 11,414$2,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,739.4 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Ravens | 3c | 11,228$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.54 | 217 | 13.8%30 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d3b…c46bbacked Ravens | 26c | 11,017$2,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,864.37 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Rams | 76c | 10,754$8,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,585.2 | 149 | 51%76 W · 73 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98b1…d855backed Rams | 70c | 10,568$7,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,186.69 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed Rams | 76c | 10,215$7,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,467 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Ravens | 23c | 10,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Rams | 76c | 9,114$6,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,153.7 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf05…70dabacked Rams | 71c | 8,421$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,420.61 | 147 | 63.9%94 W · 53 L | +12.0wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Rams | 78c | 7,511$5,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,652.5 | 105 | 66.7%70 W · 35 L | +12.6wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Ravens | 23c | 7,500$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Ravens | 23c | 7,500$1,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,725 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Ravens | 24c | 7,234$1,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,741.13 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rams | 74c | 7,041$5,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,841.8 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Rams | 70c | 7,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100.47 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Rams | 76c | 6,911$5,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,642.01 | 259 | 56.8%147 W · 112 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Ravens | 19c | 6,595$1,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,244 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Ravens | 23c | 6,478$1,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,513.25 | 412 | 48.5%200 W · 212 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x383d…a9f2backed Ravens | 22c | 6,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b86…0669backed Ravens | 23c | 6,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 104 | 34.6%36 W · 68 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Ravens | 0c | 5,937$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 112 | 8%9 W · 103 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +413.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Rams | 76c | 5,878$4,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,428.31 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b1…968abacked Rams | 70c | 5,421$3,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,645.83 | 79 | 39.2%31 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Ravens | 19c | 5,134$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.26 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x075f…833cbacked Ravens | 24c | 4,684$1,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,124.22 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Rams | 75c | 4,606$3,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160.94 | 310 | 56.8%176 W · 134 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…c9a1backed Ravens | 24c | 4,167$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Rams | 63c | 3,968$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,468.41 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf341…d026backed Ravens | 23c | 3,333$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.59 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.18per pick | 37cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…abffbacked Ravens | 26c | 3,086$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.3 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x778c…f3afbacked Ravens | 25c | 3,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Ravens | 1c | 2,788$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 101 | 3%3 W · 98 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Ravens | 1c | 2,751$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.33 | 148 | 6.8%10 W · 138 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 2cpaid | +296.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Ravens | 1c | 2,684$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc118…f4f4backed Ravens | 24c | 2,550$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Rams | 74c | 2,400$1,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Ravens | 12c | 2,391$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.32 | 229 | 50.2%115 W · 114 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09e3…48acbacked Rams | 77c | 2,299$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.77 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8926…5aacbacked Rams | 78c | 2,276$1,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.69 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +4.8wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Rams | 73c | 2,230$1,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.2 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Ravens | 22c | 2,225$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.55 | 320 | 50.9%163 W · 157 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Ravens | 24c | 2,181$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.94 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Ravens | 24c | 2,085$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.4 | 140 | 35%49 W · 91 L | -12.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ea…380dbacked Ravens | 24c | 2,050$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.12 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd724…b805backed Ravens | 27c | 2,027$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.75 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Ravens | 24c | 2,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 171 | 44.4%76 W · 95 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x264c…8250backed Rams | 74c | 2,000$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Rams | 68c | 1,988$1,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.03 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Ravens | 30c | 1,750$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.07 | 121 | 38.8%47 W · 74 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Rams | 77c | 1,741$1,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.62 | 195 | 51.3%100 W · 95 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Ravens | 4c | 1,741$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.75 | 276 | 44.2%122 W · 154 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…002bbacked Ravens | 24c | 1,704$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 34cpaid | +82.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Rams | 60c | 1,700$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679 | 281 | 51.6%145 W · 136 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Rams | 79c | 1,658$1,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.4 | 265 | 47.2%125 W · 140 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64ad…3050backed Rams | 75c | 1,557$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Ravens | 24c | 1,522$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.2 | 318 | 54.7%174 W · 144 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf0…153ebacked Rams | 74c | 1,500$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d5…1ccbbacked Rams | 74c | 1,495$1,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.77 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +6.0wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Ravens | 24c | 1,350$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaca…c1f9backed Rams | 76c | 1,339$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4eb…161fbacked Ravens | 24c | 1,337$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.88 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 38cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Ravens | 10c | 1,335$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Rams | 76c | 1,316$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.84 | 223 | 49.8%111 W · 112 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rams vs. Ravensthis page
- Rams vs. Ravens: O/U 43.5Under won
- Rams vs. Ravens: O/U 44.5Under won
- Spread: Rams (-7.5)Rams won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.