TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Spread: Rams (-7.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Ramsof Rams, Ravens
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$474,249
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$475,712

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $474,249 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Ravens55c334,103$185,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185,329.5141851.9%217 W · 201 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x68df…4815backed Rams44c181,010$80,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100,559.9618156.9%103 W · 78 L+11.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xed88…f3c4backed Rams44c141,035$62,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78,979.658344.6%37 W · 46 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5681…e113backed Ravens56c40,153$22,486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,485.681546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick36cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9249…4f16backed Rams46c36,000$16,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,44017647.7%84 W · 92 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdefe…5432backed Rams45c26,235$11,806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,429.223863.2%24 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Rams48c20,000$9,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,40025956.8%147 W · 112 L+14.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rams44c20,000$8,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,28083147.8%397 W · 434 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfcc…441bbacked Ravens57c18,635$10,622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,6223138.7%12 W · 19 L-3.9wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-29.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Ravens52c17,149$8,917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,917.4827454.7%150 W · 124 L+13.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Ravens53c14,957$7,927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,927.2144652.9%236 W · 210 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbad…9c95backed Ravens56c14,711$8,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,238.125550.9%28 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Rams44c10,001$4,397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,604.0737350.9%190 W · 183 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Ravens55c5,000$2,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,75011146.8%52 W · 59 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Ravens52c3,000$1,559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,558.88551.8%44 W · 41 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x53e5…6177backed Ravens55c2,123$1,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,167.7614450%72 W · 72 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Ravens56c1,838$1,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,024.7126648.9%130 W · 136 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1699…7644backed Rams45c1,820$819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,001.051752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Ravens52c1,753$912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$911.7222450%112 W · 112 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9def…d1a5backed Ravens56c1,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56014945.6%68 W · 81 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a38…8fb5backed Ravens56c892.86$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50014252.1%74 W · 68 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7292…6bd3backed Ravens57c878.63$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005334%18 W · 35 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Ravens55c817.24$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.4811750.4%59 W · 58 L+7.0wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rams43c796.55$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.041,06551.3%546 W · 519 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Rams45c724.62$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.5414344.1%63 W · 80 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Rams44c641.26$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.2941248.5%200 W · 212 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d45…9054backed Rams45c631.74$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.0931350.2%157 W · 156 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x44a0…c3b9backed Ravens57c600$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3427544%33 W · 42 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x35de…b39abacked Rams46c565.22$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.2220143.3%87 W · 114 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Ravens56c475.89$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.554451.7%281 W · 263 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c03…f8bebacked Ravens54c456.46$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.7119459.3%115 W · 79 L+15.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+15.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Rams43c423.02$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.2183447.1%393 W · 441 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71b3…a5d6backed Ravens56c357.14$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003046.7%14 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad45…c2eabacked Ravens57c350.88$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002737%10 W · 17 L-4.6wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-33.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Rams43c338.26$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.8161148.6%297 W · 314 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Rams46c330$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.859453.7%319 W · 275 L+24.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd49b…abffbacked Ravens63c317.46$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003141.9%13 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Ravens56c309.07$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.021,19649.9%597 W · 599 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Rams44c300$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16810940.4%44 W · 65 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Rams40c283.21$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.7841947.3%198 W · 221 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9ca…e8d0backed Rams50c279.73$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.787131%22 W · 49 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-36%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x83f7…fb38backed Rams48c248.23$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.08862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+5.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf48d…fe48backed Ravens56c240$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.414949%73 W · 76 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd5fb…dcb0backed Rams44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.27771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+36.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3832…35e1backed Ravens56c223.21$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12516451.2%84 W · 80 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e3…68b9backed Rams46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.396839.7%27 W · 41 L-6.7wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6884…6ccfbacked Rams46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.397751.9%40 W · 37 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Ravens51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10255345%249 W · 304 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x864a…7cacbacked Rams46c198.02$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.9312850%64 W · 64 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x258e…d16cbacked Rams45c166.67$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.678747.1%41 W · 46 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2cb…ac5abacked Rams46c139.52$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.34862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xad5c…ac13backed Rams46c110$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.46036.7%22 W · 38 L-8.4wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-29.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7daf…f1b3backed Rams46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.73040%12 W · 18 L-3.9wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-24.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb225…d86bbacked Rams49c103$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.538956.2%50 W · 39 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Rams44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5629751.5%153 W · 144 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Rams45c93.52$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.4417648.9%86 W · 90 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8217…3984backed Rams44c90.91$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.911225%3 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-52%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0078…bca0backed Rams46c86.96$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.9622745.4%103 W · 124 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x861d…c6bfbacked Rams45c77.78$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.781758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked Rams45c77.18$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.3941450.5%209 W · 205 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5f8…1affbacked Ravens55c72.73$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405440.7%22 W · 32 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9418…4f2abacked Ravens55c72.73$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4019844.9%89 W · 109 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Ravens54c62.17$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.5751352.2%268 W · 245 L+16.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf53b…4340backed Ravens57c61.82$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351450%7 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+20.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Ravens62c60$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.264747.3%306 W · 341 L+42.5wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+56.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa936…4b8ebacked Ravens55c60$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-63.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Ravens55c54.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305152.9%27 W · 24 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0338…4f11backed Ravens56c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4e3…2dd1backed Rams46c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5025…dd30backed Rams45c46.67$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.672100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f52…de78backed Rams48c44.94$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.37666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc757…f18cbacked Rams45c44.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.447157.7%41 W · 30 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf593…f07ebacked Rams45c44.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.44650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a74…d69ebacked Rams46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.488242.7%35 W · 47 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7de7…ef81backed Rams46c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.37per pick52cpaid-68.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3491…6037backed Rams48c40$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2059…5203backed Rams46c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.611646.6%54 W · 62 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x18a1…f335backed Ravens53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xacd8…b9f6backed Ravens55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202948.3%14 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0cf3…2b57backed Ravens56c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203161.3%19 W · 12 L+4.1wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+41.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf7c5…bf7abacked Ravens56c34$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.042462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1cfc…d3e7backed Ravens56c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5318…2a91backed Ravens56c23.21$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1310549.5%52 W · 53 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc067…d9adbacked Rams46c21.97$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.863745.9%17 W · 20 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5d…7af4backed Ravens56c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.