NHL · resolved market
Maple Leafs vs. Golden Knights
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf84cb5815958a432648ba803b61bd8073e7451a56d92dac61ec1a8267d48d3ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Golden Knightsof Maple Leafs, Golden Knights
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $81,705
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $90,627
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,705 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 212 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Golden Knights | 58c | 20,821$11,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,839.9 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Maple Leafs | 0c | 10,000$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Maple Leafs | 42c | 5,922$2,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,495.71 | 228 | 42.5%97 W · 131 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Maple Leafs | 40c | 5,021$2,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,008.33 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Maple Leafs | 43c | 4,905$2,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,112.67 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0360…7be1backed Maple Leafs | 42c | 3,882$1,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,630.48 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…ca37backed Golden Knights | 60c | 2,712$1,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,084.67 | 152 | 61.8%94 W · 58 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1187…cb53backed Maple Leafs | 40c | 2,083$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.17 | 115 | 33%38 W · 77 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Maple Leafs | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Maple Leafs | 35c | 1,860$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e47…d77cbacked Maple Leafs | 41c | 1,683$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44d9…cce7backed Golden Knights | 60c | 1,653$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae7…4602backed Maple Leafs | 37c | 1,545$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9244…b955backed Maple Leafs | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +36%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb37c…164ebacked Golden Knights | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Golden Knights | 60c | 1,478$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.34 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8992…2dcfbacked Maple Leafs | 3c | 1,131$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Golden Knights | 59c | 852.74$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.85 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1990…e954backed Maple Leafs | 42c | 800$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.55 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b1e…8bf1backed Golden Knights | 59c | 788.8$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.41 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5493…3b86backed Maple Leafs | 41c | 788.8$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…76fabacked Maple Leafs | 42c | 759.77$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.1 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Golden Knights | 58c | 684.83$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.47 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Golden Knights | 79c | 568.74$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.86 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Maple Leafs | 3c | 550$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 87 | 20.7%18 W · 69 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Maple Leafs | 41c | 436.99$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.31 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Golden Knights | 60c | 406.67$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.67 | 129 | 55.8%72 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Maple Leafs | 39c | 406.36$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.48 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Maple Leafs | 23c | 390.53$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.37 | 288 | 42%121 W · 167 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Maple Leafs | 40c | 382.75$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.1 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Golden Knights | 59c | 357.96$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.76 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…88e3backed Maple Leafs | 17c | 346.94$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fca…a099backed Maple Leafs | 5c | 299.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 52 | 5.8%3 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06d8…1aefbacked Maple Leafs | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Golden Knights | 76c | 280.57$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.64 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Maple Leafs | 44c | 261.12$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.15 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Maple Leafs | 42c | 250$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 216 | 20.4%44 W · 172 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Maple Leafs | 41c | 245$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.45 | 212 | 55.7%118 W · 94 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…15eabacked Maple Leafs | 43c | 240$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f5e…a726backed Golden Knights | 50c | 228$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28b6…4eddbacked Maple Leafs | 7c | 226.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -7.3wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Golden Knights | 58c | 205.59$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.19 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Golden Knights | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee4…80f2backed Golden Knights | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8f…61d9backed Maple Leafs | 41c | 163.41$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e6e…5617backed Golden Knights | 60c | 163.33$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x894a…793fbacked Golden Knights | 56c | 150$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…bca0backed Maple Leafs | 44c | 150$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -4.7wins | -0.36per pick | 44cpaid | -84.6%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Maple Leafs | 40c | 149.43$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.49 | 583 | 46.5%271 W · 312 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8a…ec4cbacked Golden Knights | 59c | 149.15$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf04f…a8c4backed Maple Leafs | 41c | 148.49$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.54 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked Maple Leafs | 41c | 145.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.26 | 209 | 42.6%89 W · 120 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x213e…4728backed Golden Knights | 56c | 145$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6864…93fdbacked Maple Leafs | 44c | 145$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.8 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe22f…0f5dbacked Maple Leafs | 44c | 145$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.8 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…abb6backed Golden Knights | 56c | 145$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.8 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x625a…681ebacked Maple Leafs | 40c | 142.95$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.18 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec1d…c32abacked Maple Leafs | 40c | 139.45$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.78 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b85…3d86backed Golden Knights | 56c | 139$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.16 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +4.1wins | +0.31per pick | 53cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7125…8b04backed Maple Leafs | 44c | 139$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.16 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5948…877abacked Maple Leafs | 40c | 134.13$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.65 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac3…c4afbacked Golden Knights | 57c | 133.33$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd6…1833backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 133.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f4a…61c1backed Maple Leafs | 41c | 131.76$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.02 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4480…4ebcbacked Maple Leafs | 40c | 125.85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.34 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x227b…7ab7backed Maple Leafs | 40c | 122.23$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.89 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4128…021cbacked Maple Leafs | 40c | 115.08$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ff…c60dbacked Maple Leafs | 40c | 110.8$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.32 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7054…6d9bbacked Golden Knights | 61c | 110.49$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.09 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x850e…39eebacked Golden Knights | 61c | 107.21$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.81 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c2…1f15backed Golden Knights | 61c | 106.84$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.92 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Golden Knights | 52c | 106$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.38 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85cd…febebacked Golden Knights | 61c | 103.61$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.41 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Golden Knights | 58c | 102.6$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.6 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa761…990ebacked Maple Leafs | 40c | 100.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.18 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Golden Knights | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 351 | 54.1%190 W · 161 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Maple Leafs | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -25%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2db4…f62abacked Maple Leafs | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Golden Knights | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Maple Leafs | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 285 | 42.1%120 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec5…58f5backed Golden Knights | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8c…726cbacked Golden Knights | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba4…8964backed Golden Knights | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcff3…59dabacked Golden Knights | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Maple Leafs | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d9…36e6backed Golden Knights | 60c | 99.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4848…c4c4backed Golden Knights | 60c | 99.98$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.99 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfa…12a3backed Maple Leafs | 39c | 99.97$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.99 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…0d50backed Maple Leafs | 41c | 99.93$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfba8…78e6backed Golden Knights | 61c | 95.95$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.42 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0755…b1fdbacked Golden Knights | 61c | 95.9$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.4 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.3wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc553…38a7backed Golden Knights | 61c | 95.82$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.37 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9b62…ef31backed Maple Leafs | 41c | 91.78$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.63 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b98…41b0backed Golden Knights | 61c | 90.46$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.28 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e38…c01bbacked Golden Knights | 61c | 87.97$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.31 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd19e…ac6dbacked Maple Leafs | 40c | 87.7$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.08 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1f…087abacked Golden Knights | 61c | 87.28$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.04 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c2…f1fbbacked Golden Knights | 61c | 87.08$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8028…52e7backed Maple Leafs | 40c | 85.88$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.35 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d29…fae3backed Golden Knights | 61c | 85.57$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.37 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.