Premier League · resolved market
Will Swansea City AFC win on 2025-12-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe853eec747a8375a5e8d8d89ccd557023a50a406ff23fdbdfb2b66c6c9549edf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $94,379
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $96,486
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,379 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 32c | 59,999$19,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,099.5 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 70c | 39,576$27,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,055.07 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 65c | 11,370$7,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,946.54 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Yes | 62c | 5,756$3,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,187.34 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 32c | 4,369$1,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,404.8 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 65c | 4,005$2,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,393.38 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Yes | 79c | 3,736$2,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.6 | 277 | 50.9%141 W · 136 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 46c | 3,074$1,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,407.79 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed Yes | 35c | 2,852$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,852.46 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed Yes | 38c | 2,633$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,632.22 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…02aabacked Yes | 36c | 2,438$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,553.51 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8655…a314backed No | 65c | 1,605$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043.32 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…ba57backed Yes | 35c | 1,603$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.95 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe788…1938backed No | 65c | 1,547$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.35 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.34per pick | 51cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfaca…c1f9backed Yes | 35c | 1,545$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 62c | 1,044$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.72 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4160…e42dbacked No | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | +4.8wins | +0.10per pick | 21cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2885…486cbacked Yes | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -6.7wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 37c | 995.53$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.9 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 62c | 747.95$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.8 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Yes | 62c | 645.16$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.16 | 86 | 62.8%54 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 55c | 593.49$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.54 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked No | 63c | 592.94$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.55 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 72c | 575.3$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.21 | 1,161 | 57.4%666 W · 495 L | +40.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…ec91backed No | 65c | 400$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…cad3backed No | 65c | 280.02$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.01 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -16%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 38c | 280$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.42 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 62c | 253$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.86 | 457 | 51.2%234 W · 223 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Yes | 77c | 210.64$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.07 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed Yes | 35c | 177$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.05 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed No | 62c | 150$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Yes | 61c | 137.89$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.28 | 219 | 65.3%143 W · 76 L | +20.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Yes | 35c | 137$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.05 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 36c | 128.85$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.92 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 35c | 110.17$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.61 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Yes | 35c | 108$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 37c | 105.42$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.96 | 423 | 24.3%103 W · 320 L | -36.4wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -47%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 196 | 54.6%107 W · 89 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed No | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 48c | 93.46$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.59 | 290 | 41.7%121 W · 169 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 34c | 78.88$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.82 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Yes | 35c | 70$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bea…6ce6backed Yes | 35c | 65$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.25 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…d934backed Yes | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -9.7wins | -0.26per pick | 53cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 33-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf9…1abfbacked Yes | 35c | 62$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.3 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf9…0930backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…47edbacked No | 65c | 55$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.75 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba8…bc05backed Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00c0…4523backed Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd1…0100backed No | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 59cpaid | +32%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 22c | 48.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa04…d609backed Yes | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Yes | 62c | 46.82$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.79 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…ab38backed No | 65c | 46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9acf…bd74backed No | 65c | 44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…c966backed Yes | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked No | 38c | 41.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 104 | 33.7%35 W · 69 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…8137backed No | 65c | 41$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.65 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 64c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 396 | 51.5%204 W · 192 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…7b2ebacked No | 65c | 39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.35 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 60c | 36.11$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 307 | 39.4%121 W · 186 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…9b15backed No | 65c | 36$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaac…1045backed No | 65c | 35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 52c | 34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…d47ebacked No | 65c | 34$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d19…0b39backed No | 65c | 32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9431…6270backed No | 65c | 31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b3…27babacked No | 65c | 31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaad1…d674backed No | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29ab…b38dbacked No | 65c | 29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Yes | 74c | 28.06$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63ab…71dfbacked Yes | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 55c | 20.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.09 | 182 | 51.6%94 W · 88 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fec…8dc3backed No | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf470…67fdbacked No | 62c | 19.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d78…4756backed No | 65c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Swansea City AFC win on 2025-12-29?this page
- Will Oxford United FC vs. Swansea City AFC end in a draw?No won
- Will Oxford United FC win on 2025-12-29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.