Premier League · resolved market
Will Oxford United FC win on 2025-12-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3983290bac087ba5f3a3461610ffe3009d281002e8a9452319a06a42c49fae07
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,100
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,632
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,100 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 12c | 1,161$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.02 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes | 36c | 840$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.4 | 149 | 43%64 W · 85 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 63c | 834.54$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.39 | 111 | 62.2%69 W · 42 L | +10.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 20c | 574.6$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.37 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 64c | 446.77$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Yes | 37c | 407.45$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 328 | 22.3%73 W · 255 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 63c | 250.67$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.75 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…f51dbacked No | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20fb…e5fabacked Yes | 35c | 150$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Yes | 15c | 149.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde77…8cd3backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 36c | 141$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.76 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…0dd0backed No | 65c | 135$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.25 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Yes | 14c | 112.93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 18c | 100.68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 423 | 24.3%103 W · 320 L | -36.4wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -47%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf09f…87d8backed No | 66c | 98$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 36c | 79$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.44 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd88e…b784backed No | 65c | 76$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 65cpaid | +55%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2885…486cbacked Yes | 35c | 75.78$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -6.7wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…418dbacked No | 65c | 67$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.45 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf9…0930backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 232 | 20.7%48 W · 184 L | -12.5wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 64c | 44$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x604d…4608backed Yes | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 84 | 38.1%32 W · 52 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e74…32c3backed Yes | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec94…931ebacked Yes | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94d…2b20backed Yes | 35c | 33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1315…d32ebacked Yes | 35c | 31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 289 | 50.9%147 W · 142 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Oxford United FC win on 2025-12-29?this page
- Will Oxford United FC vs. Swansea City AFC end in a draw?No won
- Will Swansea City AFC win on 2025-12-29?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.