MLB · resolved market
Blue Jays vs. Red Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa8ac0972ea6bc811a46b7f171c135693ba51bb7ee3f46561b84c516a3f4c67e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blue Jaysof Blue Jays, Red Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $104,935
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $115,959
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,935 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Red Sox | 51c | 17,557$8,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,954.32 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Blue Jays | 52c | 8,500$4,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,085.16 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Blue Jays | 47c | 7,036$3,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,729.02 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Red Sox | 52c | 6,150$3,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,224.44 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Blue Jays | 47c | 5,227$2,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,767.66 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Blue Jays | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,649.99 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Red Sox | 53c | 4,215$2,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,234 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9708…925bbacked Blue Jays | 45c | 3,394$1,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,866.87 | 166 | 43.4%72 W · 94 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Red Sox | 54c | 3,143$1,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,694.15 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Red Sox | 53c | 3,111$1,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,658.2 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Red Sox | 53c | 2,500$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Blue Jays | 47c | 2,500$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Blue Jays | 70c | 2,417$1,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.26 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Blue Jays | 68c | 2,360$1,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.74 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Blue Jays | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.98 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…f0b6backed Red Sox | 51c | 1,943$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.13 | 76 | 63.2%48 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Blue Jays | 49c | 1,780$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$907.57 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Red Sox | 53c | 1,700$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa365…d26ebacked Blue Jays | 66c | 1,598$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.25 | 140 | 52.9%74 W · 66 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…b3d7backed Red Sox | 33c | 1,576$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.64 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…7993backed Blue Jays | 67c | 1,278$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.49 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Red Sox | 1c | 1,144$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Blue Jays | 48c | 1,129$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.89 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…1bfbbacked Blue Jays | 48c | 1,077$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.08 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Blue Jays | 78c | 1,030$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.93 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Blue Jays | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Blue Jays | 47c | 994.68$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.18 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Blue Jays | 52c | 962.25$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.25 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Red Sox | 53c | 943$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.79 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x605a…c6debacked Blue Jays | 64c | 899.22$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.9 | 122 | 67.2%82 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Blue Jays | 60c | 836.07$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.07 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Blue Jays | 48c | 833.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.33 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Red Sox | 49c | 809$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.41 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Red Sox | 9c | 666.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Red Sox | 2c | 608.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 167 | 25.1%42 W · 125 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Blue Jays | 49c | 600$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Red Sox | 29c | 527.79$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.46 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Blue Jays | 51c | 524.36$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.34 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Blue Jays | 48c | 523.26$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.32 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Blue Jays | 66c | 454.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.55 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Blue Jays | 63c | 434$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.27 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Red Sox | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 170 | 37.6%64 W · 106 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Blue Jays | 48c | 400$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.6 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Blue Jays | 46c | 399.98$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.99 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…7d12backed Red Sox | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33fe…0cccbacked Red Sox | 12c | 322.28$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Red Sox | 53c | 277$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.81 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Blue Jays | 49c | 257$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.07 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Blue Jays | 68c | 256.42$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.15 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed Red Sox | 45c | 250.19$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.09 | 203 | 43.8%89 W · 114 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Blue Jays | 52c | 219.57$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.08 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Blue Jays | 72c | 217.1$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.36 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Red Sox | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked Red Sox | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -9.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Red Sox | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24a0…2569backed Red Sox | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9839…040ebacked Red Sox | 49c | 164$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.36 | 141 | 46.8%66 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf082…ae27backed Blue Jays | 49c | 150.74$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.19 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8910…c9b6backed Red Sox | 50c | 138.18$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.09 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cb…9c85backed Red Sox | 55c | 125$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.75 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0127…7addbacked Blue Jays | 45c | 125$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.75 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Blue Jays | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffc8…8a1dbacked Red Sox | 53c | 122.53$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.94 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Blue Jays | 48c | 119$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.88 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb89a…fe5fbacked Blue Jays | 49c | 116.98$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.66 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc9…7e5bbacked Blue Jays | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 189 | 51.3%97 W · 92 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ec…0bd8backed Red Sox | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Blue Jays | 49c | 110.2$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.2 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2107…d72fbacked Red Sox | 50c | 107.32$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.66 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Red Sox | 54c | 106.81$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.68 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Blue Jays | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Red Sox | 35c | 102.68$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.03 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd61e…de34backed Blue Jays | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 39 | 74.4%29 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a00…c3cbbacked Blue Jays | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 63 | 63.5%40 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9295…04f3backed Blue Jays | 51c | 88.29$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.26 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…178cbacked Blue Jays | 57c | 87.77$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.74 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…a9d7backed Blue Jays | 47c | 85.85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.85 | 249 | 53%132 W · 117 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Red Sox | 51c | 82.35$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Red Sox | 22c | 77.27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecb8…42c6backed Red Sox | 23c | 74.81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d75…41dcbacked Blue Jays | 47c | 74.57$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.52 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Blue Jays | 47c | 74.46$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.46 | 375 | 52.5%197 W · 178 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae7f…59a7backed Blue Jays | 48c | 70.71$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.77 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Blue Jays | 71c | 67.35$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.57 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad9e…ca58backed Red Sox | 53c | 63.43$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.62 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…0e11backed Blue Jays | 70c | 62.69$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.05 | 429 | 55%236 W · 193 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5992…9e40backed Blue Jays | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f33…c1febacked Red Sox | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9327…9ea2backed Blue Jays | 49c | 59.84$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.52 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcd…6bddbacked Blue Jays | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e20…fd40backed Blue Jays | 47c | 53.96$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +78.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf391…73c3backed Blue Jays | 52c | 52.12$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.02 | 295 | 52.2%154 W · 141 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…4b6fbacked Blue Jays | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71f9…8518backed Blue Jays | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Blue Jays | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 1,299 | 56.7%737 W · 562 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Blue Jays | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 504 | 47.2%238 W · 266 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Blue Jays | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 171 | 39.2%67 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Blue Jays | 73c | 49$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…6f9cbacked Red Sox | 52c | 47.73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfaca…c1f9backed Red Sox | 51c | 45.29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.