NBA · resolved market
Hawks vs. Heat
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe736fd87d2c362939e5b45dcdc8893c7591d054b232f8d104383a2dd90dfbaf6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heatof Hawks, Heat
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $297,453
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $328,879
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $297,453 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 258 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Hawks | 47c | 22,587$10,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,625.82 | 271 | 63.5%172 W · 99 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Hawks | 24c | 16,183$3,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,909.87 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a1…c926backed Heat | 53c | 15,060$7,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,076.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Heat | 52c | 12,757$6,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,123.14 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac60…1e66backed Hawks | 47c | 10,700$5,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,029.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Hawks | 61c | 9,766$5,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,968.88 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Hawks | 43c | 8,866$3,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,830.47 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Heat | 53c | 7,383$3,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,470.15 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Hawks | 47c | 7,019$3,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,292.5 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6984…bcb3backed Heat | 55c | 6,778$3,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,050.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce4e…d762backed Heat | 55c | 6,539$3,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,927.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Heat | 53c | 5,498$2,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,609.13 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Hawks | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8acb…de36backed Hawks | 47c | 4,500$2,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,115 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7239…6591backed Heat | 50c | 4,012$1,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,019.27 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc123…50afbacked Hawks | 46c | 3,700$1,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,702 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Hawks | 70c | 3,294$2,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,293.02 | 258 | 65.5%169 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Heat | 54c | 3,194$1,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,465.15 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Heat | 47c | 3,000$1,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,597.53 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Heat | 63c | 3,000$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7784…5b6dbacked Hawks | 37c | 2,704$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Heat | 77c | 2,668$2,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.85 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Hawks | 39c | 2,610$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.45 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Heat | 55c | 2,571$1,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,156.95 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x192b…9607backed Hawks | 46c | 2,289$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,061.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d6c…c3abbacked Hawks | 47c | 2,273$1,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Hawks | 1c | 2,250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd22b…28a4backed Hawks | 47c | 2,228$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98b7…55e0backed Hawks | 47c | 2,187$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe637…71ecbacked Hawks | 47c | 2,181$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x007a…6835backed Hawks | 47c | 2,170$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x873c…ac48backed Hawks | 47c | 2,164$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.06 | 258 | 33.7%87 W · 171 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb92d…f84bbacked Heat | 54c | 2,143$1,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.99 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec2c…8f76backed Hawks | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Heat | 58c | 2,054$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.55 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Heat | 50c | 2,020$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.1 | 191 | 52.4%100 W · 91 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb215…b819backed Hawks | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Hawks | 1c | 2,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Heat | 53c | 1,950$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.39 | 191 | 49.7%95 W · 96 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc89b…451fbacked Hawks | 46c | 1,880$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.91 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519f…2af7backed Heat | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.85 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Heat | 54c | 1,848$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.48 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Hawks | 2c | 1,690$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.09 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…f46bbacked Heat | 46c | 1,523$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.98 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4779…7bcabacked Hawks | 46c | 1,520$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.07 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Heat | 53c | 1,513$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.55 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7967…f4a0backed Heat | 53c | 1,425$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.93 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb8…43f6backed Hawks | 12c | 1,400$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Heat | 37c | 1,340$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.5 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb34d…ef8bbacked Heat | 54c | 1,300$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Hawks | 20c | 1,269$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…7b91backed Heat | 54c | 1,244$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.07 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…dbbbbacked Hawks | 12c | 1,200$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Heat | 36c | 1,186$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.53 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Heat | 53c | 1,184$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.16 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Heat | 53c | 1,008$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.98 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Hawks | 1c | 1,003$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Hawks | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Heat | 54c | 1,000$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca21…b07cbacked Heat | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Heat | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3072…86b6backed Heat | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.25per pick | 48cpaid | +88.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…38cebacked Heat | 54c | 981$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.1 | 235 | 54.5%128 W · 107 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2d…8b38backed Heat | 54c | 956.19$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.85 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Heat | 53c | 950.58$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.77 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…9e23backed Heat | 54c | 926$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.96 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 28cpaid | -84.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Heat | 55c | 915.37$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.87 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Heat | 57c | 900.41$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.84 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…52dbbacked Hawks | 48c | 900$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0de7…fa00backed Heat | 52c | 900$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +94.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Hawks | 32c | 859.75$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.28 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x71da…35adbacked Hawks | 46c | 857.23$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.33 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Hawks | 47c | 766.91$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.86 | 389 | 42.9%167 W · 222 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6929…0e4bbacked Heat | 77c | 705.83$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.42 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d12…caa9backed Hawks | 48c | 697.92$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf901…51d3backed Hawks | 47c | 671$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.37 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c84…bacabacked Hawks | 46c | 638.76$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Heat | 54c | 630$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.8 | 248 | 55.6%138 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Heat | 53c | 600.01$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.01 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Heat | 53c | 582$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.54 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Hawks | 6c | 579.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.11 | 143 | 4.9%7 W · 136 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…3eedbacked Hawks | 47c | 528.11$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.21 | 277 | 35.4%98 W · 179 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Hawks | 46c | 522.92$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.72 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Heat | 35c | 503.57$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.32 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Hawks | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d80…219abacked Heat | 34c | 500$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Hawks | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed Heat | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Heat | 53c | 470$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.9 | 183 | 54.1%99 W · 84 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Heat | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.96 | 563 | 48.5%273 W · 290 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed Heat | 54c | 460$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.6 | 266 | 59%157 W · 109 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff72…512bbacked Hawks | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 219 | 35.6%78 W · 141 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x169e…de26backed Hawks | 58c | 450$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 100 | 66%66 W · 34 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Hawks | 25c | 406.27$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.96 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Heat | 50c | 402.65$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.76 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Heat | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 289 | 49.1%142 W · 147 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Heat | 53c | 375.99$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.71 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Hawks | 45c | 304.99$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.25 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Heat | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 958 | 48.7%467 W · 491 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc20c…fa4bbacked Heat | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.