NBA · resolved market
Pelicans vs. Nuggets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x534ff14b63ae0cd96ec61d984d5cf7f2587ba4bceb466432058a249f6b2a7b0e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Pelicans, Nuggets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $148,628
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $162,514
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $148,628 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pelicans | 9c | 10,404$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.87 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…be17backed Pelicans | 15c | 9,467$1,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,420.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Nuggets | 77c | 7,000$5,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,610 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Pelicans | 17c | 5,987$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.93 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Pelicans | 2c | 5,938$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.09 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Pelicans | 19c | 5,470$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.3 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Pelicans | 18c | 5,150$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.5 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Pelicans | 23c | 4,758$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.01 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Pelicans | 13c | 4,083$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.78 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Pelicans | 9c | 4,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Pelicans | 18c | 3,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Pelicans | 16c | 2,828$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.98 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pelicans | 10c | 2,674$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.79 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce4…8733backed Pelicans | 18c | 2,417$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa67…0ef4backed Pelicans | 28c | 2,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 80 | 16.3%13 W · 67 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Pelicans | 20c | 1,699$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.82 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c3…16adbacked Pelicans | 18c | 1,435$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.3 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 39cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Nuggets | 79c | 1,401$1,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.11 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Pelicans | 3c | 1,290$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Pelicans | 16c | 1,252$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.33 | 364 | 23.4%85 W · 279 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Pelicans | 17c | 1,010$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.7 | 308 | 26.6%82 W · 226 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Pelicans | 10c | 910.05$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.01 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Pelicans | 18c | 844$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.04 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa6…99eabacked Pelicans | 7c | 769.87$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.52 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Pelicans | 21c | 666.67$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Pelicans | 19c | 661.14$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.54 | 623 | 49.6%309 W · 314 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…3e58backed Pelicans | 21c | 643.33$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.1 | 235 | 39.1%92 W · 143 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf409…f3c3backed Pelicans | 16c | 625.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Pelicans | 5c | 586.61$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.36 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Pelicans | 3c | 571.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Nuggets | 74c | 505$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.3 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6199…1f61backed Pelicans | 16c | 500.02$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fe…029cbacked Pelicans | 16c | 500.01$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Pelicans | 17c | 500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Pelicans | 14c | 500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.83 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2d…e123backed Pelicans | 18c | 499.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Pelicans | 16c | 473.63$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.78 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Pelicans | 18c | 465.83$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.85 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…3d28backed Pelicans | 14c | 463.66$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.55 | 364 | 34.9%127 W · 237 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Pelicans | 17c | 460.71$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.55 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa6…0b3bbacked Pelicans | 18c | 450.35$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.06 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.9wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +40%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Pelicans | 15c | 400$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 350 | 46%161 W · 189 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Pelicans | 3c | 385.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 238 | 35.7%85 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Pelicans | 16c | 385.01$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 949 | 51.3%487 W · 462 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9730…4504backed Pelicans | 15c | 339.98$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 93 | 34.4%32 W · 61 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Pelicans | 4c | 338$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 192 | 31.3%60 W · 132 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Pelicans | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7a…dc19backed Pelicans | 15c | 327.98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b67…584fbacked Pelicans | 4c | 325$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -52%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Pelicans | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 336 | 38.1%128 W · 208 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2a…0e15backed Pelicans | 17c | 294.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a0…16e9backed Pelicans | 7c | 285.85$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 718 | 23.3%167 W · 551 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76a2…1f3cbacked Pelicans | 18c | 277.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 168 | 25.6%43 W · 125 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef6…4641backed Pelicans | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 104 | 26%27 W · 77 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Pelicans | 20c | 251.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.23 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…5c3cbacked Pelicans | 18c | 233.34$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4582…b05bbacked Pelicans | 15c | 200.01$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x453c…f5eebacked Pelicans | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +5.2wins | +0.29per pick | 43cpaid | +92.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Pelicans | 16c | 199.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 378 | 31.2%118 W · 260 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Pelicans | 21c | 190.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 563 | 52%293 W · 270 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…a39cbacked Pelicans | 8c | 155.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 657 | 26%171 W · 486 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb116…940abacked Nuggets | 79c | 155.14$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.58 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x442a…7c94backed Pelicans | 18c | 150$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d9b…5624backed Pelicans | 23c | 139.58$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Pelicans | 18c | 138.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 345 | 51.3%177 W · 168 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9b…a0a0backed Pelicans | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e7…dc3ebacked Nuggets | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ece…2340backed Pelicans | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed37…5849backed Pelicans | 16c | 110.65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Pelicans | 18c | 108.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 303 | 31.4%95 W · 208 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa369…92acbacked Pelicans | 10c | 101.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Pelicans | 18c | 100.02$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 178 | 38.2%68 W · 110 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…9d02backed Pelicans | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Pelicans | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 357 | 34.5%123 W · 234 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ed…7aeabacked Pelicans | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 163 | 41.7%68 W · 95 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x893d…6b68backed Pelicans | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5303…d66ebacked Pelicans | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 89 | 21.3%19 W · 70 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Pelicans | 16c | 99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 930 | 41.9%390 W · 540 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…ebe9backed Pelicans | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 138 | 47.8%66 W · 72 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa59b…69d2backed Pelicans | 18c | 90$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdba2…cb54backed Pelicans | 18c | 88.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7093…7b72backed Pelicans | 23c | 84.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd4…8643backed Pelicans | 22c | 68.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 192 | 59.4%114 W · 78 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90cd…9498backed Pelicans | 16c | 63.08$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3541…c96dbacked Pelicans | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 243 | 29.6%72 W · 171 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Pelicans | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Nuggets | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5744…8884backed Nuggets | 77c | 22.14$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.09 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5769…a5dabacked Nuggets | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 71cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc21…f227backed Nuggets | 80c | 14.87$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb3…e68cbacked Nuggets | 80c | 12.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.53 | 350 | 50.6%177 W · 173 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.