NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Knicks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff9ebfad8131371dee03670301f0f4da52a838921e289d1d84a248a6fb269a9b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cavaliersof Cavaliers, Knicks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,696
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,131
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,696 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Knicks | 45c | 12,751$5,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,757.57 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Cavaliers | 45c | 10,980$4,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,038.42 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21e7…5e93backed Cavaliers | 64c | 8,887$5,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,155.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Knicks | 57c | 6,337$3,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,581.88 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Knicks | 8c | 2,858$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.6 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Knicks | 57c | 1,679$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.09 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Cavaliers | 43c | 1,400$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.91 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab8a…681abacked Knicks | 29c | 1,200$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Cavaliers | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Knicks | 21c | 952.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…e0bebacked Cavaliers | 41c | 950.64$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +142.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Knicks | 56c | 949.89$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.94 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ec…a69abacked Knicks | 59c | 949.53$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Knicks | 57c | 784.43$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.26 | 367 | 48.2%177 W · 190 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Knicks | 30c | 702.89$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.73 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Cavaliers | 38c | 516.54$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.01 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700d…fa25backed Knicks | 57c | 490.19$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.41 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 58cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfcc…632fbacked Cavaliers | 45c | 490.18$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Cavaliers | 43c | 400$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…4e95backed Cavaliers | 33c | 363.64$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.64 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Knicks | 56c | 277.82$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.58 | 228 | 32%73 W · 155 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b9…f457backed Cavaliers | 44c | 250$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78da…9d47backed Knicks | 12c | 208.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdd…0b07backed Cavaliers | 41c | 186.03$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.76 | 103 | 34%35 W · 68 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd3…3c5abacked Knicks | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3462…d3d2backed Knicks | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 101 | 53.5%54 W · 47 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Cavaliers | 44c | 171$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.76 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00a9…36bbbacked Knicks | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2026…bd92backed Cavaliers | 44c | 159.09$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.09 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb3…9542backed Cavaliers | 44c | 150.68$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.68 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fab…5e80backed Knicks | 58c | 149.77$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.29 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9857…be38backed Cavaliers | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef7…ff8abacked Knicks | 57c | 140.5$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a8…6dfdbacked Knicks | 44c | 130.58$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 163 | 25.2%41 W · 122 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd968…bd18backed Knicks | 30c | 118.4$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.52 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf537…32a3backed Knicks | 59c | 110$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…e0c9backed Cavaliers | 44c | 106.82$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.82 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -10.0wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…281dbacked Cavaliers | 39c | 104.19$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.56 | 265 | 47.9%127 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfa…12a3backed Cavaliers | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbea6…aed7backed Knicks | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Cavaliers | 41c | 99.98$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.99 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55b8…1f22backed Cavaliers | 45c | 88.16$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Cavaliers | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.13 | 364 | 49.7%181 W · 183 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4442…d5c1backed Cavaliers | 43c | 74.97$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.69 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Cavaliers | 40c | 73.37$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.02 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…28fabacked Cavaliers | 42c | 70.93$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.93 | 224 | 30.8%69 W · 155 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0190…4778backed Knicks | 57c | 68.42$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0150…a67abacked Cavaliers | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x484f…0075backed Cavaliers | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -4.2wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3a23…16abbacked Cavaliers | 45c | 59.36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.65 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed Cavaliers | 20c | 55.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.64 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7439…40d2backed Cavaliers | 27c | 54.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.12 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1b…7ccabacked Knicks | 59c | 54.22$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.83 | 151 | 49%74 W · 77 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Knicks | 57c | 50.66$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.92 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf957…4d42backed Knicks | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f18…9536backed Knicks | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce7…fd4abacked Cavaliers | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5685…1233backed Knicks | 58c | 49.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…1de4backed Cavaliers | 22c | 49.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.99 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…10bdbacked Cavaliers | 45c | 48.89$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.89 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +23%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcab1…b2b1backed Knicks | 59c | 45.97$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -4.1wins | -0.17per pick | 65cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8369…3c94backed Knicks | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9adb…2f55backed Cavaliers | 44c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x073c…68a5backed Knicks | 59c | 39.54$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c7…c4dabacked Knicks | 59c | 38.63$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.1wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x09b8…918bbacked Cavaliers | 30c | 36.61$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.61 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.19per pick | 35cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f06…6203backed Knicks | 57c | 36.21$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Cavaliers | 42c | 35.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.73 | 84 | 36.9%31 W · 53 L | -10.5wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4f20…87c9backed Knicks | 60c | 35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e95…89d2backed Cavaliers | 41c | 35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.65 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbe…3ac2backed Cavaliers | 42c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90b1…b397backed Cavaliers | 43c | 34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e99…c594backed Knicks | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee21…9f82backed Knicks | 57c | 32.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f1c…5d3fbacked Knicks | 57c | 32.19$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e46…2bd3backed Knicks | 57c | 32.19$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1b…991bbacked Cavaliers | 44c | 32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74ea…04bebacked Cavaliers | 42c | 31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…5c69backed Knicks | 58c | 31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd187…b9acbacked Cavaliers | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +36%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x860b…e6a3backed Knicks | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 60cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe719…df47backed Cavaliers | 43c | 29.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50d2…0d35backed Cavaliers | 44c | 28.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.14 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…c78bbacked Knicks | 57c | 26.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa187…a526backed Knicks | 60c | 26.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x155e…60e3backed Cavaliers | 42c | 26.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5c…d4ccbacked Knicks | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f9…1b4ebacked Knicks | 57c | 24.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa6…0b3bbacked Knicks | 59c | 24.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.9wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +40%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…a092backed Cavaliers | 55c | 21.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde0c…770cbacked Knicks | 60c | 20.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48a4…fdb2backed Knicks | 59c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83b0…9da7backed Knicks | 59c | 16.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde64…8d2fbacked Knicks | 79c | 16.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87c6…c67cbacked Knicks | 80c | 15.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 75cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.